432 E Euclid Ave · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$212,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
[Highest and Best due Thursday 6/11 12:00 Noon] Beautiful Views of South Mountain and minutes away from the trails! 3/2 with additional 280sf Family room. (no AC) tile everywhere. Corner lot! Decorative wrought iron fenced! 1 Car garage! Block construction! Gas cooling/heat! RV gate! Home and pool needs work, please look at all pictures for an accurate representation. NO BLIND OFFERS
Key facts
- Gas cooling
- Trails
- South mountain
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees; Biking/walking path in the community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 open parking space; Separate storage area; 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership; Property listed as fixer; Asphalt road access
- Construction: Stucco, wood frame and block construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Private pool with diving area; Alley access; Grass front yard; Grass backyard; City and mountain views
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Linoleum; Tile; Concrete
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Living room fireplace; Hard/low nap flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $212k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (1.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Roosevelt Elementary District (4279) (urban): math 8% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #234 of 249 in AZ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Maxine O Bush Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,076 of 1,109 statewide, top 97%, 262 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 36% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $212k implies a 754% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.82%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $352,352
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428 E Desert Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (+3%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $289 | 93 |
| 211 E Valley View Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+12%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $267 | 68 |
| 251 W Desert Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (-1%) | 4mo | $387,000 | $317 | 64 |
| 9222 S Montezuma St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,271 (+3%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $291 | 56 |
| 930 E Pedro Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+13%) | 2mo | $417,000 | $299 | 56 |
| 231 W Winston Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,134 (-8%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $335 | 54 |
| 1022 E Pedro Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+13%) | 2mo | $394,000 | $282 | 52 |
| 9420 S Leila Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (+14%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $260 | 51 |
| 7815 S 1st Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,323 (+7%) | 2mo | $379,000 | $286 | 49 |
| 301 W Desert Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 0mo | $390,000 | $278 | 48 |
| 101 W Harwell Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (+10%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $229 | 47 |
| 1134 E Pedro Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+13%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $286 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,932
- Equity at exit
- $31,610
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-6,183
- Equity at exit
- $18,330
Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85042
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,112
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $758/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,000
- Closing costs
- $6,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 E Dobbins Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1167 | $2,045 | $1.75 | 1d | 4 | 0.30mi |
| 825 E Euclid Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1278 | $2,815 | $2.20 | 1d | 35 | 0.31mi |
| 9204 S 7th St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,549 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8350 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1167 | $2,070 | $1.77 | 1d | 8 | 0.37mi |
| 120 W Dobbins Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,345 | $1.43 | 1d | 3 | 0.42mi |
| 105 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 136 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 207 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,205 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 9700 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1348 | $2,411 | $1.79 | 1d | 5 | 0.63mi |
| 300 E Jessie Owens Pkwy Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $1,666 | $1.82 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9239 S 8th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8402 S 15th Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,050 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6821 S Montezuma St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1469 | $1,845 | $1.26 | 1d | 11 | 1.25mi |
| 916 W Carter Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,199 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1417 E Irwin Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,980 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1417 E Irwin Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,985 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $212,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 387-char remark
-
2026-06-08remarks 339-char remark
-
2026-06-08$212,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $758 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$641/yr (+$53/mo · 84.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,875
- − Property taxes
- −$758
- − Insurance
- −$1,060
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,005
- − Management
- −$2,005
- − Depreciation
- −$6,167
- Taxable income
- $1,193
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$286
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roosevelt Elementary District (4279)
- NCES district ID
- 0407080
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,813
- Composite
- 9.74/100
- National rank
- #9829
- State rank
- #234 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,903
- Household income
- $88,717
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1624.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 29% White 25% Black 14% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.03%
- Current HPI
- 318.0601
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.00%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+802.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $212,000 ARMLS
- 1978-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $24,828 Public Records
- 1977-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $758 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…