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7221 Farmers Rd
D- Composite 39.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

7221 Farmers Rd · Bellview, FL 32526
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,837 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 2016 8,398 sqft lot $166/sqft · 12% below area Est $347k · 12% under $11/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 7221 Farmers Rd in Pensacola! This well-maintained home is in good condition and offers a comfortable layout with plenty of space to enjoy. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides both privacy and room to relax or entertain. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this home is move-in ready and perfect for a variety of buyers. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a solid home in a great location—schedule your showing today to make this your Next Home!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Generous lot
  • Great location

Tags

GENEROUS LOTCOMFORTABLE LAYOUTMOVE-IN READYGREAT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-269 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (25.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,642 (25.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.78%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$347,150
List price
$305,000
Delta
-12.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7305 Farmers Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,868 (+2%) 4mo $350,000 $187 84
7389 Farmers Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,905 (+4%) 2mo $325,000 $171 83
7365 Farmers Rd 0.13mi 3/3.0 1,928 (+5%) 5mo $350,000 $182 82
7812 Jewt Ln 0.06mi 3/3.0 2,100 (+14%) 1mo $395,000 $188 72
7460 Farmers Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 2,100 (+14%) 1mo $355,000 $169 64
7061 Beulah Rd 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,878 (+2%) 2mo $365,000 $194 64
7558 Oak Lake Blvd 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,844 (+0%) 3mo $305,000 $165 60
7563 Hayfield Cir 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,068 (+13%) 5mo $340,000 $164 58
5049 Wheeler Way 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+9%) 6mo $379,900 $190 48
7555 Oak Lake Blvd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,979 (+8%) 7mo $304,900 $154 48
7507 Oak Lake Blvd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,611 (-12%) 7mo $289,000 $179 45
7487 Oak Lake Blvd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,605 (-13%) 8mo $285,000 $178 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-63,290
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-63,312
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32526

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
417
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,868/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$11
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$-269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,607
Max offer price $257,417
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-183 +0% $-269 +5% $-356 +10% $-442
Rent -10% $-448 -5% $-359 +0% $-269 +5% $-180 +10% $-90
Rate -1.0pp $-116 -0.5pp $-192 base $-269 +0.5pp $-348 +1.0pp $-429

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7805 Lakeside Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,400 $1.31 24d 1 0.55mi
7416 Oak Lake Blvd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1979 $2,145 $1.08 22d 1 0.56mi
7540 Oak Lake Blvd Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,085 $1.04 14d 1 0.57mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$11 · $132/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $305,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $320,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $320,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $320,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $320,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $320,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $320,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $320,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $320,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $320,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $320,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $334,950 Active 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to 7221 Farmers Rd in Pensacola! This well-maintained home is in good condition and offers a comfortable layout with plenty of space to enjoy. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides both privacy and room to relax or entertain. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this home is move-in ready and perfect for a variety of buyers. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a solid home in a great location—schedule your showing today to make this your Next Home!

  17. 2021-03-25
    soldstatus $269,900
  18. 2021-03-19
    soldstatus $269,900 Sold 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Stunning and well cared for Beulah home. Conveniently located to Navy Federal. Home is equiped with a Rainsoft Water Softner system. There is a bathroom for every bedroom. Home has high ceilings, granite counter tops, very large master bathroom, covered patio, fenced in backyard, large closets, large pantry.

  19. 2021-01-20
    historical 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Stunning and well cared for Beulah home. Conveniently located to Navy Federal. Home is equiped with a Rainsoft Water Softner system. There is a bathroom for every bedroom. Home has high ceilings, granite counter tops, very large master bathroom, covered patio, fenced in backyard, large closets, large pantry.

  20. 2020-12-17
    listed $269,900 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Stunning and well cared for Beulah home. Conveniently located to Navy Federal. Home is equiped with a Rainsoft Water Softner system. There is a bathroom for every bedroom. Home has high ceilings, granite counter tops, very large master bathroom, covered patio, fenced in backyard, large closets, large pantry.

  21. 2014-11-13
    historical
  22. 2014-06-26
    listed $196,900
  23. 2014-05-22
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,868 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,868 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,197
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$3,868
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,176
− Management
−$2,176
− HOA
−$132
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$8,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,073
After-tax cash flow
$-1,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bellview

Score
67/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#10731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,680
Household income
$75,098
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.68%
Current HPI
252.6406
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+520.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $334,950 PARMLS
  • 2021-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $269,900 Public Records
  • 2021-03-19 Sold (MLS) $269,900 PARMLS
  • 2021-01-20 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2020-12-17 Listed $269,900 PARMLS
  • 2014-11-13 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2014-06-26 Listed $196,900 PARMLS
  • 2014-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+23.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,868 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…