3333 Blackstone Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained clean home. Good investment! Hardwood floors throughout. Newers included gas furnace, hot water heater, kitchen & bathroom flooring, new counter top, sink & faucet. Formal dining room.Enclosed front porch includes glider swing. Nice full basement. Home Warranty! Nice fenced yard. Security light in rear yard. Easy commute to 280. Hutch in kitchen excluded.
Key facts
- Many new windows
- Appliances included
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built with accessible approach via ramp
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Ramped access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (in basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Glendale-Feilbach Elementary School (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,459 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 353 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($29k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.93%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,787
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3333 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+11%) | 3mo | $42,500 | $43 | 77 |
| 3449 Brigham St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 946 (+6%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $57 | 74 |
| 1019 E Manhattan Blvd | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 923 (+4%) | 4mo | $67,000 | $73 | 74 |
| 3220 Maher St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (+7%) | 4mo | $54,900 | $58 | 72 |
| 3463 Brigham St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 986 (+11%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $55 | 66 |
| 1828 Homer Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (-5%) | 17mo | $68,000 | $80 | 63 |
| 3150 Doyle St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (+10%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $26 | 61 |
| 3410 Mulberry St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 857 (-4%) | 12mo | $40,300 | $47 | 54 |
| 1118 E Manhattan Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (+10%) | 16mo | $80,000 | $82 | 52 |
| 3417 Mulberry St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+4%) | 9mo | $86,000 | $93 | 50 |
| 1823 Booth Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (-15%) | 22mo | $20,900 | $28 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $17,523
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $49,566
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43608
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $837/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $389 | +0% $376 | +5% $364 | +10% $351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $306 | -5% $341 | +0% $376 | +5% $411 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $388 | base $376 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3405 Beaumont Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $745 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3474 Maher St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,125 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $825 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 340 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $775 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2807 Chestnut St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $495 | $0.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 333 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $495 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 420 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2932 N Ontario St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2023 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $685 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 319 Dexter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,005 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 329 Mettler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $975 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 227 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $850 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2929 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $550 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1951 N Summit St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $800 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 225 Palmer St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $895 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3010 Warsaw St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $525 | $0.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3563 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $850 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-17$44,900 Active
-
2026-05-06price $56,500 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Well maintained clean home. Good investment! Hardwood floors throughout. Newers included gas furnace, hot water heater, kitchen & bathroom flooring, new counter top, sink & faucet. Formal dining room.Enclosed front porch includes glider swing. Nice full basement. Home Warranty! Nice fenced yard. Security light in rear yard. Easy commute to 280. Hutch in kitchen excluded.
-
2025-10-14price $47,500 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
GREAT STARTER OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. NEWER FURNACE AND GAS, HW TANK. HOME IS VERY CLEAN. HARDWOOD FLOORS IN EXCELLENT CONDITION. SOME ROOMS FRESHLY PAINTED. FRONT PORCH, GARAGE, BASEMENT. APPLIANCESSTAY.
-
2005-06-28soldstatus $58,000
-
2005-06-24soldstatus $58,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Well maintained clean home. Good investment! Hardwood floors throughout. Newers included gas furnace, hot water heater, kitchen & bathroom flooring, new counter top, sink & faucet. Formal dining room.Enclosed front porch includes glider swing. Nice full basement. Home Warranty! Nice fenced yard. Security light in rear yard. Easy commute to 280. Hutch in kitchen excluded.
-
2005-06-17price $58,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Well maintained clean home. Good investment! Hardwood floors throughout. Newers included gas furnace, hot water heater, kitchen & bathroom flooring, new counter top, sink & faucet. Formal dining room.Enclosed front porch includes glider swing. Nice full basement. Home Warranty! Nice fenced yard. Security light in rear yard. Easy commute to 280. Hutch in kitchen excluded.
-
2005-04-01$56,500 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Well maintained clean home. Good investment! Hardwood floors throughout. Newers included gas furnace, hot water heater, kitchen & bathroom flooring, new counter top, sink & faucet. Formal dining room.Enclosed front porch includes glider swing. Nice full basement. Home Warranty! Nice fenced yard. Security light in rear yard. Easy commute to 280. Hutch in kitchen excluded.
-
2003-05-08soldstatus $47,500
-
2003-05-06soldstatus $47,500 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
GREAT STARTER OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. NEWER FURNACE AND GAS, HW TANK. HOME IS VERY CLEAN. HARDWOOD FLOORS IN EXCELLENT CONDITION. SOME ROOMS FRESHLY PAINTED. FRONT PORCH, GARAGE, BASEMENT. APPLIANCESSTAY.
-
2002-11-16$54,000 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
GREAT STARTER OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. NEWER FURNACE AND GAS, HW TANK. HOME IS VERY CLEAN. HARDWOOD FLOORS IN EXCELLENT CONDITION. SOME ROOMS FRESHLY PAINTED. FRONT PORCH, GARAGE, BASEMENT. APPLIANCESSTAY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$837
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$851
- − Management
- −$851
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $4,054
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$973
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,593
- Household income
- $29,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 911.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 25% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.73%
- Current HPI
- 139.4964
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-16.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $44,900 NORIS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $56,500 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $47,500 NORIS
- 2005-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-24 Sold (MLS) $58,000 NORIS
- 2005-06-17 Price Changed $58,000 NORIS
- 2005-04-01 Listed $56,500 NORIS
- 2003-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2003-05-06 Sold (MLS) $47,500 NORIS
- 2002-11-16 Listed $54,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $837 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…