309 E Cedar St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Income Producing Investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath cottage is tenant occupied. Featuring a spacious and shady backyard at an affordable price point, located right off I-49 & I-10. Make an offer today, please do not disturb tenant.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Listed 239 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 8076% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.85%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,686
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -18.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Sherwood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $54 | 74 |
| 110 N Pine St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 979 (-10%) | 8mo | $60,500 | $62 | 65 |
| 253 Sherwood Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,173 (+8%) | 4mo | $102,500 | $87 | 62 |
| 148 E Gilman Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-3%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $129 | 61 |
| 301 Venus Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (+8%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 327 Sonny St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-10%) | 7mo | $37,000 | $38 | 51 |
| 301 Doc Duhon St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $90 | 51 |
| 129 Lena St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-8%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $35 | 48 |
| 103 Calais St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,182 (+9%) | 7mo | $139,500 | $118 | 46 |
| 118 Webb St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-8%) | 11mo | $39,500 | $40 | 46 |
| 107 Zilia St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,162 (+7%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $116 | 44 |
| 219 Bellot St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,007 (-7%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $70 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $21,170
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.10×
- Total profit
- $74,639
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Sunset Dr Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 241 N Pine St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 319 Tissington St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $775 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 423 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $950 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 810 Fairmont Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $992 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 313 Hobson St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2820 Louisiana Ave Lafayette, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,145 | $1.39 | 13d | 20 | 0.94mi |
| 1002 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1030 9th St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2826 Louisiana Ave #907 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2826 Louisiana Ave #1111 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2830 Louisiana Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 816 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 40 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Apt 29 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 206 N Washington St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 908 Saint Charles St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 615 Lafayette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 246 Paul Breaux Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $65,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-03-15historical $795
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2026-02-20$795
-
2025-11-25price $70,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Income Producing Investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath cottage is tenant occupied. Featuring a spacious and shady backyard at an affordable price point, located right off I-49 & I-10. Make an offer today, please do not disturb tenant.
-
2025-10-20$75,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Income Producing Investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath cottage is tenant occupied. Featuring a spacious and shady backyard at an affordable price point, located right off I-49 & I-10. Make an offer today, please do not disturb tenant.
-
2024-12-15historical $795
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2024-11-26price $795
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2024-11-07$825
-
2018-10-11soldstatus $208,100 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Sold Before Listed223 Doc Duhon $46,600 800sf 2/1 currently rented for $700728 Arthur $59,000 1275sf 3/2 currently rented for $900309 E Cedar $52,000 1000sf 3/1/1 currently rented for $800217 Laurel $50,000 1331 sf 3/2 currently rented for $800
-
2018-09-14$208,100 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Sold Before Listed223 Doc Duhon $46,600 800sf 2/1 currently rented for $700728 Arthur $59,000 1275sf 3/2 currently rented for $900309 E Cedar $52,000 1000sf 3/1/1 currently rented for $800217 Laurel $50,000 1331 sf 3/2 currently rented for $800
-
2017-05-31soldstatus $46,500
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2017-05-31soldstatus $46,500
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2017-05-09$50,000
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2010-08-10soldstatus $29,500
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2010-07-21$29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,638
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,011
- − Management
- −$1,011
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,022
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+137.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Rental Removed $795 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-20 Listed for Rent $795 APPFOLIO
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $70,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-15 Rental Removed $795 APPFOLIO
- 2024-11-26 Price Changed $795 APPFOLIO
- 2024-11-07 Listed for Rent $825 APPFOLIO
- 2018-10-11 Sold (MLS) $208,100 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-09-14 Listed $208,100 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
- 2017-05-31 Sold (MLS) $46,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-05-09 Listed $50,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-08-10 Sold (MLS) $29,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-07-21 Listed $29,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+33.2%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…