917 Broadway St · Lincoln, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 70X150 lot situated just steps from the historic downtown district offers an 1872 constructed bungalow style home with loads of potential! Renovate to your liking -- or start from scratch! Interior offers living and dining areas, kitchen, two bedroom areas, a bathroom with adjacent laundry facilities, and an enclosed back porch. Home also features a covered front porch, off-street parking, and an older rear storage shed. Potential truly abounds here! * * Property being sold AS IS, WHERE IS. * *
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Enclosed back porch
- Bungalow style home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: MLS area: Lincoln; Status: Active
- Financial info: Property tax year 2025
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Lots & Land; Zoned residential; Built in 1872
- Construction: Year built 1872
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 150; Property located at 917 Broadway St, Lincoln
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1004
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($938 rent vs $15k).
- Cap rate 57.3% vs local median 4.1% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#509 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Lincoln Chsd 404 (town): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #367 of 620 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Comm High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 786 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 57.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 182.18%
- DSCR
- 9.11
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 Pekin St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,037 (+0%) | 3mo | $32,000 | $31 | 85 |
| 316 Willard Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,087 (+5%) | 5mo | $107,500 | $99 | 71 |
| 928 Broadway St | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,141 (+11%) | 6mo | $159,000 | $139 | 68 |
| 1121 Broadway St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,124 (+9%) | 5mo | $77,500 | $69 | 67 |
| 315 N Sherman St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 905 (-12%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $53 | 66 |
| 1311 Broadway St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 899 (-13%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 502 Williamette Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-7%) | 1mo | $82,000 | $85 | 63 |
| 617 Decatur St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+14%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $124 | 53 |
| 310 Pekin St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,142 (+11%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $101 | 53 |
| 1717 Pekin St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,186 (+15%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $89 | 50 |
| 413 S Elm St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 927 (-10%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $113 | 44 |
| 228 4th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,168 (+13%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $116 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.09×
- Total profit
- $38,195
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.38×
- Total profit
- $85,610
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62656
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $938 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $225/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $638
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-21$15,000 Active
-
2021-09-15historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$225
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$901
- − Management
- −$901
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $7,882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,892
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Chsd 404
- NCES district ID
- 1723050
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,489
- Composite
- 20.4/100
- National rank
- #8590
- State rank
- #367 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #509
- US rank
- #10514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, IL
- City population
- 18,364
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,364
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,066 people
- By 2030
- 27,370 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 26,078 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 24,908 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 22,504 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 19,226 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.2% · R 69.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+16.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.45%
- Current HPI
- 133.9499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $15,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-15 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $805 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…