Triplex
248 S Main St · Warsaw, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This is a turn key operation, fully vested in the community. Very profitable business. Financials available to qualified buyers. The business has grown year after year since this current owner has taken charge. A very nice home with recently remodeled bathroom, brand new kitchen, front living room, formal dining area, 2 bedrooms and walk in attic for storage! Front retail store attached. A unique and rare opportunity. Large backyard.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Numerous updates
- Low maintenance
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $501/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#289 in NY, #4,662 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Warsaw Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #431 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $260k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.80%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $101,974
- Equity at exit
- $89,957
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $263,082
- Equity at exit
- $120,503
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14569
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$504 /mo · $6,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$925
- Net cashflow
- $1,504
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 3 | $4,404 |
| #1 | 4 | 3 | $1,468 |
| #2 | 4 | 3 | $1,468 |
| #3 | 4 | 3 | $1,468 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,404 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2026-03-11historical
-
2025-12-19status Active
-
2025-10-31status Pending
-
2025-09-11$259,900 Active
-
2019-04-25soldstatus $68,500
-
2015-09-01soldstatus $130,000 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
This is a turn key operation, fully vested in the community. Very profitable business. Financials available to qualified buyers. The business has grown year after year since this current owner has taken charge. A very nice home with recently remodeled bathroom, brand new kitchen, front living room, formal dining area, 2 bedrooms and walk in attic for storage! Front retail store attached. A unique and rare opportunity. Large backyard.
-
2015-08-27soldstatus $92,500
-
2014-08-25$130,000 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
This is a turn key operation, fully vested in the community. Very profitable business. Financials available to qualified buyers. The business has grown year after year since this current owner has taken charge. A very nice home with recently remodeled bathroom, brand new kitchen, front living room, formal dining area, 2 bedrooms and walk in attic for storage! Front retail store attached. A unique and rare opportunity. Large backyard.
-
2014-01-20$149,900
-
2012-03-07$154,900
-
2005-11-07soldstatus $98,000
-
1994-09-23soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,049 · $504/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,049 · $504/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$6,049
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,228
- − Management
- −$4,228
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $14,924
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warsaw Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629940
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,692
- Composite
- 40.47/100
- National rank
- #3718
- State rank
- #431 of 590 in NY
Livability — Warsaw
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #4662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warsaw, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,372
Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,976 people
- By 2030
- 37,826 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 35,585 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 25,920 · -33.5%
- By 2100
- 19,082 · -51.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.9% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.09%
- Current HPI
- 263.9109
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+246.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-11 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2025-10-31 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $259,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
- 2015-09-01 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 2014-08-25 Listed $130,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-01-20 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
- 2012-03-07 Listed $154,900 WNYREIS
- 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,049 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…