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9809 Avalon Duplex
D- Composite 36.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$624,900

9809 Avalon · Los Angeles, CA 90003
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,305 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1954 8,081 sqft lot $479/sqft · 56% above area Est $801k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

REO! BANK OWNED! SOLD STRICTLY AS IS! WELCOME TO THIS GREEN MEADOWS LOCATED FOUR PLEX, FOUR ONE BED, ONE BATH UNITS, AND FIVE GARAGE SPACES UNDER TWO UNITS ABOVE IN REAR, AND TWO UNITS IN FRONT, TWO SEPARATE BUILDINGS, BACK ALLEY ACCESS, CONVENIENT CENTRAL LOCATION! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB! BUYER TO PURCHASE THE PROPERTY SITE UNSEEN, NO INSPECTIONS, NO APPRAISAL, CASH ONLY! BUYER TO BE RESPONSIBLE AFTER CLOSE OF ESCROW AT BUYER'S EXPENSE REGARDING ANY RELOCATION AND/OR RENOVATION EXPENSES. CLOSE TO LAX, ABOUT 13 MILES TO MANHATTAN BEACH! EXCELLENT COMMUTER LOCATION, NEAR 110 AND 105 FWYS!

Key facts

  • Back alley access
  • Five garage spaces
  • 8,081 sq ft lot

Tags

FIVE GARAGE SPACESTWO SEPARATE BUILDINGSBACK ALLEY ACCESSCONVENIENT CENTRAL LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Urban neighborhood with sidewalks; Subject to rent control; Land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Five parking spaces total; Each unit includes 1 garage space (some units have attached garages)
  • Utilities: Sewer or septic (unknown); Water source: see remarks; One separate water meter; Four separate gas meters; Four separate electric meters
  • Home design: Attached multi-unit property; Two-story building; Total building area 2,605
  • Construction: Two buildings on the parcel; Property built (year per assessor)
  • Exterior features: No pool; Front yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units (each unit listed as 1 bed)
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (each unit has 1 full bath)
  • Interior features: Ground-level entry
  • Laundry & utility: On-site laundry available (see remarks for details)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $625k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-967 ($-12k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-484/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $454k (27.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $436k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $436k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,364/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4550% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $436,400 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.63%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$801,135
List price
$624,900
Delta
-22.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
755 E 106th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,297 (-1%) 22mo $640,000 $493 51
155 E Colden Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,427 (+9%) 23mo $650,000 $456 41
936 E 91st St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,218 (-7%) 22mo $660,000 $542 35
1235 E 99th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,171 (-10%) 13mo $690,000 $589 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.1%
Equity multiple
-0.00×
Total profit
$-175,063
Equity at exit
$93,175
10-year hold
IRR
-54.3%
Equity multiple
-0.59×
Total profit
$-279,014
Equity at exit
$54,030

Cash invested: $174,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90003

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
23.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,277
Tax from tax record
$877 /mo · $10,527/yr
Insurance
$260
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$916
Net cashflow
$-967

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,588
Max offer price $454,061
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-613 -5% $-790 +0% $-967 +5% $-1,144 +10% $-1,321
Rent -10% $-1,312 -5% $-1,139 +0% $-967 +5% $-795 +10% $-622
Rate -1.0pp $-652 -0.5pp $-808 base $-967 +0.5pp $-1,129 +1.0pp $-1,294

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$156,225
Closing costs
$18,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
606 E 99th St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1798 $3,650 $2.03 0d 1 0.08mi
245 E 102nd St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1074 $2,900 $2.70 44d 1 0.31mi
10218 S San Pedro St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.0 1284 $2,950 $2.30 8d 1 0.32mi
218 E 95th St Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 991 $3,350 $3.38 44d 1 0.35mi
130 E Colden Ave Unit 1 Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $2,650 $2.98 6d 1 0.40mi
151 E 95th St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,800 $2.67 44d 1 0.42mi
109 E 95th St Unit 4 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,887 $2.89 44d 1 0.48mi
9017 Avalon Blvd Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1234 $3,000 $2.43 44d 1 0.50mi
146 E 104th St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $3,452 $3.14 8d 1 0.51mi
9197 Wall St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,500 $2.80 44d 1 0.52mi
239 E 90th St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1260 $3,295 $2.62 12d 1 0.60mi
138 W 93rd St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,250 $3.25 23d 1 0.63mi
10616 S Main St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,395 $2.34 8d 1 0.67mi
915 E 91st St Unit 915 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 1800 $3,200 $1.78 44d 1 0.67mi
9715 S Broadway Unit 1 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 950 $2,990 $3.15 44d 1 0.73mi
123 E 88th St Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1156 $3,550 $3.07 44d 1 0.82mi
9310 Pace Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 1254 $3,200 $2.55 44d 1 0.83mi
10972 McKinley Ave Unit 1/4 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1050 $3,500 $3.33 15d 1 0.84mi
118 W 109th St Unit 3/4 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,850 $2.85 25d 1 0.84mi
639 E 87th St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 900 $3,650 $4.06 6d 1 0.87mi
10527 Pace Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 992 $3,400 $3.43 44d 1 0.87mi
924 E Lanzit Ave Los Angeles, CA 1.0 1.0 1184 $2,200 $1.86 44d 1 0.99mi
229 E 85th St Unit 231 12 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 950 $2,750 $2.89 44d 1 1.02mi
8715 Hooper Ave Unit 87195 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1050 $3,490 $3.32 44d 1 1.05mi
263 E 84th Pl Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,950 $2.03 16d 1 1.06mi
400 W 109th St Unit 2 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1368 $2,900 $2.12 44d 1 1.08mi
400 W 109th St Unit 2 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,700 $2.08 25d 1 1.08mi
607 W 101st St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 995 $2,800 $2.81 25d 1 1.11mi
636 E Imperial Hwy Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,250 $2.95 44d 1 1.12mi
1317 E 110th St Los Angeles, CA 1.0 1.0 907 $2,300 $2.54 16d 1 1.12mi
10705 S Figueroa St Unit 7 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,750 $1.72 16d 1 1.13mi
10705 S Figueroa St Unit 10 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,700 $1.69 16d 1 1.13mi
8418 Main St Unit 8418 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.0 977 $2,695 $2.76 44d 1 1.14mi
411 E 115th St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 2.0 1391 $3,800 $2.73 25d 1 1.15mi
8738 S Figueroa St Unit 3 Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 44d 1 1.19mi
676 E 115th St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,600 $2.48 44d 1 1.19mi
9220 Compton Ave Los Angeles, CA 1.0 1.0 889 $2,500 $2.81 5d 1 1.23mi
212 W 84th St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 990 $3,100 $3.13 44d 1 1.26mi
735 E 82nd St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 913 $3,400 $3.72 44d 1 1.26mi
1101 E 115th St Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 968 $2,995 $3.09 44d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 597-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $624,900 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $624,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 528-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $624,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $624,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $624,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $624,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $624,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $624,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $624,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $624,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $624,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $624,900 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $624,900 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $624,900 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    price $624,900 1132-char remark
  18. 2026-03-17
    historical
  19. 2026-02-19
    listed $689,000 Active 1132-char remark
  20. 2026-02-18
    status Active
  21. 2026-02-17
    historical
  22. 2025-12-17
    price $725,000
  23. 2025-10-06
    listed $762,000 Active
  24. 2020-08-31
    soldstatus $730,000 Closed Sale
  25. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $730,000
  26. 2020-08-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  27. 2020-06-01
    price $730,000
  28. 2020-05-26
    listed $699,900 Active
  29. 2013-12-27
    soldstatus $350,000
  30. 2013-12-24
    soldstatus $350,000 Closed
  31. 2013-11-22
    status Pending
  32. 2013-10-10
    listed $350,000 Active
  33. 2004-08-20
    soldstatus $310,000
  34. 2004-08-18
    soldstatus $310,000
  35. 2004-06-10
    historical
  36. 2004-06-06
    listed $240,000
  37. 1987-10-13
    soldstatus $122,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$10,527 · $877/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,527 · $877/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,368
− Mortgage interest
−$35,004
− Property taxes
−$10,527
− Insurance
−$3,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,189
− Management
−$4,189
− Depreciation
−$18,179
Taxable loss
−$22,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,483
After-tax cash flow
$-6,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
70,065
Household income
$56,030
Rent vs Own
72.8% rent · 27.2% own
Severe rent burden
4550.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 20% Black 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
British 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada
Languages at home
24% English-only · Spanish 75%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -785.95%
Current HPI
512.5667
Rent YoY
▲ 0.11%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+412.2% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $624,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $624,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $689,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $725,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $762,000 CRMLS
  • 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) $730,000 CRMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $730,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-10 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2020-06-01 Price Changed $730,000 CRMLS
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $699,900 CRMLS
  • 2013-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2013-12-24 Sold (MLS) $350,000 CRMLS
  • 2013-11-22 Pending CRMLS
  • 2013-10-10 Listed $350,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-08-20 Sold (MLS) $310,000 TheMLS
  • 2004-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-10 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2004-06-06 Listed $240,000 TheMLS
  • 1987-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,527 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…