1125 N 4244 Rd · Hugo, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home with large laundry room and pantry. Sitting on 1 acre with storage building in the back and 2 parking areas. This house sits just outside town near Hugo Oklahoma but still your only 4 minutes from Walmart. Convenience of living close to town while being tucked away in a very calm nice area with awsome neighbors. Very Large covered back porch, side walk way from front to back, flower beds, new rock on both driveways, new interior doors and countertops, and new light fixtures. I will consider trades on this home if the trade offer has some average. Must have 3+ acres to be considered for a trade. Must be in mccurtain or choctaw county. NO moble homes please.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Storage building
- Large laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (3.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#287 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Hugo (town): math 12% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #235 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $145k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $37,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Dorothy Orton | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+11%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $27 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $18,823
- Equity at exit
- $50,108
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $64,153
- Equity at exit
- $67,062
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74743
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $482/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2803 Danita Dr Hugo, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $1,400 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $145,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-12$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $482 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,305 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$823/yr (+$69/mo · 170.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$482
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hugo
- NCES district ID
- 4015210
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,775
- Composite
- 11.62/100
- National rank
- #9695
- State rank
- #235 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hugo
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #17599
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,046
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,046
Population outlook (Choctaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,744 people
- By 2030
- 14,568 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 14,225 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 13,960 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 13,775 · -6.6%
- By 2100
- 13,408 · -9.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Native American 15% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% European 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Choctaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 16.7% · R 82.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.08%
- Current HPI
- 257.265
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+240.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $150,000 FSBO.com
- 2014-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
- 2003-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $482 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…