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106 Emery St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

106 Emery St · Williamsport, PA 17701
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1901 5,227 sqft lot $46/sqft · 45% below area Est $226k · 45% under ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newbery, large home with 6 bedrooms, 2 baths, small fenced in yard area, conveniently located, easy access to rt 220 for commuters. short drive to state lands and lots outdoor recreational areas, natural gas heat , take a look! ask about special gov't loans available with low down and low interest rates available. It's very possible to buy a home for what one would pay for rent? maybe less? check it out.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1901
  • Listed 110 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $124,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$226,323) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.78%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,323
List price
$124,900
Delta
-44.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$763
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$35,543
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17701

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,726 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$313 /mo · $3,760/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,362
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $323 +0% $288 +5% $252 +10% $217
Rent -10% $151 -5% $220 +0% $288 +5% $356 +10% $424
Rate -1.0pp $351 -0.5pp $320 base $288 +0.5pp $255 +1.0pp $222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    price $124,900 Active 92 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    status Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Newbery, large home with 6 bedrooms, 2 baths, small fenced in yard area, conveniently located, easy access to rt 220 for commuters. short drive to state lands and lots outdoor recreational areas, natural gas heat , take a look! ask about special gov't loans available with low down and low interest rates available. It's very possible to buy a home for what one would pay for rent? maybe less? check it out.

  18. 2026-03-20
    historical Active Under Contract 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Newbery, large home with 6 bedrooms, 2 baths, small fenced in yard area, conveniently located, easy access to rt 220 for commuters. short drive to state lands and lots outdoor recreational areas, natural gas heat , take a look! ask about special gov't loans available with low down and low interest rates available. It's very possible to buy a home for what one would pay for rent? maybe less? check it out.

  19. 2026-02-28
    listed $139,900 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Newbery, large home with 6 bedrooms, 2 baths, small fenced in yard area, conveniently located, easy access to rt 220 for commuters. short drive to state lands and lots outdoor recreational areas, natural gas heat , take a look! ask about special gov't loans available with low down and low interest rates available. It's very possible to buy a home for what one would pay for rent? maybe less? check it out.

  20. 2025-07-18
    price $124,900
  21. 2025-07-14
    price $129,900
  22. 2025-07-05
    price $134,900
  23. 2025-06-30
    price $144,900
  24. 2025-06-23
    price $154,900
  25. 2025-06-17
    price $159,900
  26. 2025-06-09
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,760 · $313/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,760 · $313/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,714
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$3,760
− Insurance
−$1,291
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,657
− Management
−$1,657
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$412
After-tax cash flow
$3,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsport Area SD
NCES district ID
4226460
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,637
Composite
34.63/100
National rank
#5150
State rank
#349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

Score
74/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, PA
County
Lycoming County · 43,104 people
City population
43,104
Metro
Williamsport, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,104
Household income
$53,237
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.61%
Current HPI
216.7203
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Williamsport, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted WBVAR
  • 2026-03-20 Contingent WBVAR
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $139,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $124,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $129,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-07-05 Price Changed $134,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $144,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $154,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $159,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-06-09 Listed $165,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,760 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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