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4764 Pennsylvania St
B- Composite 67.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,900

4764 Pennsylvania St · Detroit, MI 48214
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 773 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1910 8,276 sqft lot $43/sqft · at area comps Est $33k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This treasured home offers two bedrooms, single bathroom and space to envision your makeover. . This property represents a unique opportunity for those seeking a single family residence with a distinct historical foundation. Comes with vacant lot which presents a great opportunity to build a garage or an all new structure. You decide!

Key facts

  • Vacant lot
  • Private bedrooms
  • Single bathroom

Tags

PRIVATE BEDROOMSSINGLE BATHROOMVACANT LOTHISTORICAL FOUNDATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $227 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $987 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $30,926 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.46%
Cap rate
31.93%
Cash-on-cash
91.55%
DSCR
5.07
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$33,000
List price
$32,900
Delta
-0.30%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5071 Saint Clair St 0.34mi 3/1.0 872 (+13%) 1mo $12,000 $14 62
4846 Crane St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 750 (-3%) 15mo $30,000 $40 59
5572 Cadillac Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 735 (-5%) 13mo $14,000 $19 54
4482 Harding St 0.40mi 3/1.0 847 (+10%) 15mo $20,000 $24 53
5325 Fischer St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 787 (+2%) 19mo $28,000 $36 50
5561 Pennsylvania St 0.45mi 4/1.5 (+1) 868 (+12%) 12mo $105,000 $121 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.3%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$39,431
Equity at exit
$4,905
10-year hold
IRR
95.1%
Equity multiple
10.98×
Total profit
$91,969
Equity at exit
$2,845

Cash invested: $9,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48214

Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$173
Tax from tax record
$11 /mo · $130/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $249
Max offer price $32,900
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,225
Closing costs
$987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5342 Cooper St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,200 $1.07 24d 1 0.31mi
4735 Rohns St Unit 6A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 2d 1 0.36mi
4735 Rohns St Unit 4A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 2d 1 0.36mi
4190 Hurlbut St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $945 $1.05 15d 1 0.36mi
3501 Garland St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 24d 1 0.71mi
3495 Garland St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 44d 1 0.72mi
4055 Beniteau St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 17d 1 0.76mi
3937 Beniteau St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 15d 1 0.81mi
5380 Maxwell St Unit 5380 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 18d 1 0.81mi
3475 Crane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,338 $1.34 44d 1 0.82mi
3032 Hurlbut St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 3d 1 0.85mi
3049 Montclair St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 44d 1 0.90mi
2544 Cadillac Blvd Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 973 $825 $0.85 24d 1 1.07mi
9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,294 $1.15 17d 1 1.13mi
2282 Belvidere St Unit 102 Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 44d 1 1.15mi
15111 E Vernor Hwy Unit 6 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 24d 1 1.34mi
9142 Isham Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,344 $1.34 17d 1 1.35mi
3980 Helen St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $845 $1.06 17d 1 1.37mi
3460 Field St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,260 $1.26 5d 1 1.37mi
8215 Badger St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,900 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,900 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,900 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $32,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,900 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,900 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,900 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,900 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    price $32,900 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This treasured home offers two bedrooms, single bathroom and space to envision your makeover. . This property represents a unique opportunity for those seeking a single family residence with a distinct historical foundation. Comes with vacant lot which presents a great opportunity to build a garage or an all new structure. You decide!

  15. 2026-04-23
    price $32,900 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This treasured home offers two bedrooms, single bathroom and space to envision your makeover. . This property represents a unique opportunity for those seeking a single family residence with a distinct historical foundation. Comes with vacant lot which presents a great opportunity to build a garage or an all new structure. You decide!

  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $34,900 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This treasured home offers two bedrooms, single bathroom and space to envision your makeover. . This property represents a unique opportunity for those seeking a single family residence with a distinct historical foundation. Comes with vacant lot which presents a great opportunity to build a garage or an all new structure. You decide!

  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $34,900 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This treasured home offers two bedrooms, single bathroom and space to envision your makeover. . This property represents a unique opportunity for those seeking a single family residence with a distinct historical foundation. Comes with vacant lot which presents a great opportunity to build a garage or an all new structure. You decide!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$130 · $11/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$318 · $27/mo
Expected delta
+$188/yr (+$16/mo · 144.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,669
− Mortgage interest
−$1,843
− Property taxes
−$130
− Insurance
−$164
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$957
Taxable income
$8,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,013
After-tax cash flow
$6,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,595
Household income
$33,544
Rent vs Own
59.0% rent · 41.0% own
Severe rent burden
1364.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -367.43%
Current HPI
102.0969
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $32,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $32,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $130 · -50.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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