135 & 137 Country Living Ln · Keystone Heights, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seeking space, privacy, and opportunities? This beautiful 2-acre property, shaded by mature trees, offers a serene country setting. One parcel features a 1985 single wide mobile home with a room addition (1072 sq ft) that requires repairs. There are multiple soft spots on the floor. The other parcel has a 1972 single wide mobile home with no value and likely needs removal. These parcels are being sold together and AS IS. This presents a fantastic opportunity for investors or buyers eager to renovate or build something new. The property offers ample space for a garden, workshop, or all your outdoor toys. Whether you're an investor, handyman, or someone seeking a private retreat, this propert
Key facts
- Garden
- 2 acre property
- Workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity available
- Home design: Mobile Home
- Exterior features: Agricultural lot use; County road frontage; Dirt road surface
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window unit(s) for cooling; No permanent heating
- Interior features: Electric range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.6% in Keystone Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#109 in FL, #1,684 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $129k implies a 597% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.46%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,464
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Country Living Cir | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+5%) | 8mo | $103,020 | $131 | 60 |
| 144 Country Living Ln | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-10%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $104 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-892
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $24,867
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32666
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,392 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $650/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $351 | +0% $315 | +5% $278 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $260 | +0% $315 | +5% $370 | +10% $425 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $380 | -0.5pp $348 | base $315 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $129,000
-
2026-04-15$149,900 Active
-
1988-05-01soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$421/yr (+$35/mo · 64.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$650
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,336
- − Management
- −$1,336
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $1,753
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,358/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Keystone Heights
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #1684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,542
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 7% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.77%
- Current HPI
- 314.0055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+597.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $129,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $149,900 realMLS
- 1988-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $650 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…