84-49 168th St Unit 1F · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright & Spacious First Floor in the Heart of Jamaica Hills! Welcome to Unit 1F a well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op located on the first floor of a desirable elevator building in Jamaica Hills. This airy unit features a generous layout with a large living room, dedicated dining area, and a functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The windows offer an abundance of natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The building offers key amenities including on-site laundry, live-in super, elevator access, and secure entry. Situated just moments from the F train, multiple bus lines, and the Grand Central Parkway, the location provides easy connectivity throughout Que
Key facts
- Secure entry
- Natural light
- First floor
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK; breed, number and size restrictions may apply)
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (waitlist); One parking space; One garage space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Sewer available; Public water available; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One level; Entry at level 1; Located on the first floor; 6-story building
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Garden; Near public transit; Close to shops; Near schools; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Two total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; In-basement laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 198 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.56%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-56,555
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -84.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.91×
- Total profit
- $-96,251
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11432
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,302 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$934
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-235 | -5% $-297 | +0% $-360 | +5% $-422 | +10% $-484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-541 | -5% $-450 | +0% $-360 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-269 | -0.5pp $-314 | base $-360 | +0.5pp $-406 | +1.0pp $-454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8449 168th St Jamaica, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,850 | $3.70 | 26d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8720 175th St Jamaica, NY | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,895 | $4.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 177-18 Wexford Ter Unit 601 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,600 | $6.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,700 | $3.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 3D Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,900 | $4.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 4D Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,900 | $4.55 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY | — | 1.0 | 496 | $1,950 | $3.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 415 | $2,100 | $5.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 489 | $2,100 | $4.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $2,900 | $4.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 163-07 72nd Ave Unit 3G Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 716 | $2,900 | $4.05 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 163-07 72nd Ave Unit 2G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 402 | $2,000 | $4.98 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 178-05 69th Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,825 | $5.38 | 6d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,750 | $4.23 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $2,700 | $4.22 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 9d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,600 | $5.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Unit 304 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Apt 202 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 150-25 72nd Rd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 73-49 188th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,210
- − Management
- −$2,210
- − HOA
- −$11,208
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$6,925
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,892
- Household income
- $74,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4385.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% White 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 57% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Other Indo-European 30% Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -457.06%
- Current HPI
- 282.1513
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…