6330 Amherst · Magalia, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 42 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY for a fixer upper in a good neighborhood! 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home sitting in a quiet neighborhood and located less than a mile from the Paradise Pines Property Owners Association clubhouse. This home has a living room that flows to a dining room with a built-in hutch, then into the kitchen with a gas stove/oven and lots of storage & counter space, this includes a breakfast bar counter that flows into the separate family room featuring a woodstove, sliding glass door and a full wall of built-in storage cabinets--don't miss the pull out bar counter in the built-in cabinet! There is a master bedroom with a walk-in closet and a private bathroom that features a large soaking tub, dual sinks and plenty of vanity counter space. The guest room also features a walk-in closet and there is a guest bath with a walk-in shower. The large back yard is fully fenced and some temporary typed gate fencing to secure the previous pets to the back yard.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.0% in Magalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,094 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.01%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,000
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -53.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14212 Wycliff | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+3%) | 2mo | $86,380 | $108 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $20,101
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $59,935
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95954
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $925/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$26
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $561 | -5% $539 | +0% $516 | +5% $494 | +10% $472 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $410 | -5% $463 | +0% $516 | +5% $570 | +10% $623 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $556 | -0.5pp $536 | base $516 | +0.5pp $496 | +1.0pp $475 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6494 Providence Ct Magalia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $26 · $312/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $79,000 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY for a fixer upper in a good neighborhood! 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home sitting in a quiet neighborhood and located less than a mile from the Paradise Pines Property Owners Association clubhouse. This home has a living room that flows to a dining room with a built-in hutch, then into the kitchen with a gas stove/oven and lots of storage & counter space, this includes a breakfast bar counter that flows into the separate family room featuring a woodstove, sliding glass door and a full wall of built-in storage cabinets--don't miss the pull out bar counter in the built-in cabinet! There is a master bedroom with a walk-in closet and a private bathroom that features a large soaking tub, dual sinks and plenty of vanity counter space. The guest room also features a walk-in closet and there is a guest bath with a walk-in shower. The large back yard is fully fenced and some temporary typed gate fencing to secure the previous pets to the back yard.
-
2026-02-06$89,000 Active 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY for a fixer upper in a good neighborhood! 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home sitting in a quiet neighborhood and located less than a mile from the Paradise Pines Property Owners Association clubhouse. This home has a living room that flows to a dining room with a built-in hutch, then into the kitchen with a gas stove/oven and lots of storage & counter space, this includes a breakfast bar counter that flows into the separate family room featuring a woodstove, sliding glass door and a full wall of built-in storage cabinets--don't miss the pull out bar counter in the built-in cabinet! There is a master bedroom with a walk-in closet and a private bathroom that features a large soaking tub, dual sinks and plenty of vanity counter space. The guest room also features a walk-in closet and there is a guest bath with a walk-in shower. The large back yard is fully fenced and some temporary typed gate fencing to secure the previous pets to the back yard.
-
2021-11-12soldstatus $87,500 Closed Sale 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
FIXER OPPORTUNITY IN A GREAT LOCATION! This 2-bedroom 2-bath home offers 1,440+/-SqFt of living space on a spacious . 23 Acre parcel. This home is partially under construction and needs repair. The home features a Large living room, kitchen, eating area, large master suite with closet and en-suite bathroom, ample guest bedroom, laundry area, hall bath, and a storage shed. Due to age and condition this property necessitates a cash sale. Located inside the PPPOA (Paradise Pines Property Owners Association) which offers a pool, clubhouse, bar, sport courts, hiking trails and more. Recreational opportunities in the area include lakes, hiking, biking, fishing, ATV and dirt-bike riding, canoeing, kayaking and much more! Take a look at this tremendous property and you may decide to call this one HOME!
-
2021-11-12soldstatus $87,500
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
FIXER OPPORTUNITY IN A GREAT LOCATION! This 2-bedroom 2-bath home offers 1,440+/-SqFt of living space on a spacious . 23 Acre parcel. This home is partially under construction and needs repair. The home features a Large living room, kitchen, eating area, large master suite with closet and en-suite bathroom, ample guest bedroom, laundry area, hall bath, and a storage shed. Due to age and condition this property necessitates a cash sale. Located inside the PPPOA (Paradise Pines Property Owners Association) which offers a pool, clubhouse, bar, sport courts, hiking trails and more. Recreational opportunities in the area include lakes, hiking, biking, fishing, ATV and dirt-bike riding, canoeing, kayaking and much more! Take a look at this tremendous property and you may decide to call this one HOME!
-
2021-10-07status Pending Sale 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
FIXER OPPORTUNITY IN A GREAT LOCATION! This 2-bedroom 2-bath home offers 1,440+/-SqFt of living space on a spacious . 23 Acre parcel. This home is partially under construction and needs repair. The home features a Large living room, kitchen, eating area, large master suite with closet and en-suite bathroom, ample guest bedroom, laundry area, hall bath, and a storage shed. Due to age and condition this property necessitates a cash sale. Located inside the PPPOA (Paradise Pines Property Owners Association) which offers a pool, clubhouse, bar, sport courts, hiking trails and more. Recreational opportunities in the area include lakes, hiking, biking, fishing, ATV and dirt-bike riding, canoeing, kayaking and much more! Take a look at this tremendous property and you may decide to call this one HOME!
-
2021-09-08$95,000 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
FIXER OPPORTUNITY IN A GREAT LOCATION! This 2-bedroom 2-bath home offers 1,440+/-SqFt of living space on a spacious . 23 Acre parcel. This home is partially under construction and needs repair. The home features a Large living room, kitchen, eating area, large master suite with closet and en-suite bathroom, ample guest bedroom, laundry area, hall bath, and a storage shed. Due to age and condition this property necessitates a cash sale. Located inside the PPPOA (Paradise Pines Property Owners Association) which offers a pool, clubhouse, bar, sport courts, hiking trails and more. Recreational opportunities in the area include lakes, hiking, biking, fishing, ATV and dirt-bike riding, canoeing, kayaking and much more! Take a look at this tremendous property and you may decide to call this one HOME!
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2015-11-03soldstatus $50,000 Closed Sale
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2015-10-24status Pending Sale
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2015-10-14status Active
-
2015-10-14price $52,900
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2015-09-25status Pending Sale
-
2015-09-18status Active
-
2015-09-15historical
-
2015-09-01$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 42 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$925
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − HOA
- −$312
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,261
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Magalia
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1094
- US rank
- #25434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Magalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,488
Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,527 people
- By 2030
- 243,804 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 253,899 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 262,561 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 283,709 · +19.4%
- By 2100
- 282,689 · +19.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Russian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butte
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.49%
- Current HPI
- 194.8809
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+21.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $79,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $89,000 CRMLS
- 2021-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $87,500 CRMLS
- 2021-10-07 Pending — CRMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $95,000 CRMLS
- 2015-11-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CRMLS
- 2015-10-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-10-14 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2015-10-14 Price Changed $52,900 CRMLS
- 2015-09-25 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-09-18 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2015-09-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-09-01 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $925 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…