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9113 George Wash Memorial Hwy
C+ Composite 60.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$196,500

9113 George Wash Memorial Hwy · Gloucester Courthouse, VA 23061
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1979 1.40 ac lot $188/sqft · 8% above area Est $181k · 8% over ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

Key facts

  • Brick exterior
  • Future improvements
  • Value-add potential

Tags

ONE-LEVEL LIVINGEAT-IN KITCHENBRICK EXTERIORSPACIOUS LOTFUTURE IMPROVEMENTSVALUE-ADD POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $196k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.4% in Gloucester Courthouse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#150 in VA, #4,823 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gloucester County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #37 of 131 in VA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,434
List price
$196,500
Delta
8.30%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7811 Phils Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (-4%) 5mo $60,000 $60 53
8269 Ark Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+7%) 23mo $250,000 $223 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$3,495
Equity at exit
$29,299
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$48,390
Equity at exit
$16,990

Cash invested: $55,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23061

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,238 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,030
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,535
Max offer price $196,500
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $667 -5% $611 +0% $556 +5% $500 +10% $444
Rent -10% $379 -5% $467 +0% $556 +5% $644 +10% $732
Rate -1.0pp $655 -0.5pp $606 base $556 +0.5pp $505 +1.0pp $453

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,125
Closing costs
$5,895
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $196,500 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $196,500 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $196,500 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $196,500 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $196,500 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $196,500 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $196,500 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $196,500 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $196,500 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $196,500 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $196,500 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $196,500 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $196,500 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $196,500 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $196,500 Active 119 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $196,500 Active 118 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $196,500 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  18. 2026-05-07
    price $196,500 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  19. 2026-05-07
    price $196,500
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  20. 2026-05-07
    price $196,500
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  21. 2026-04-11
    price $199,900 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  22. 2026-04-11
    price $199,900 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  23. 2026-04-11
    price $199,900
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  24. 2026-04-11
    price $199,900
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  25. 2026-03-06
    price $209,900 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  26. 2026-03-05
    price $209,900
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  27. 2026-03-05
    price $209,900 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  28. 2026-03-05
    price $209,900
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  29. 2026-02-02
    listed $219,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  30. 2026-02-02
    listed $219,900 Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  31. 2026-02-02
    listed $219,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be ON; buyers to perform all due diligence.

  32. 2026-01-29
    listed $219,900 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Brick rancher on 1.4 acres near Gloucester Village! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers one-level living with a functional layout that includes an eat-in kitchen, fireplace, and attached garage. The brick exterior and spacious lot provide a solid foundation for future improvements and value-add potential. The property is in need of renovation and is ideal for buyers seeking sweat equity or FHA 203K financing. Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs and will provide no reports or inspections. Utilities may not be active; buyers to perform all due diligence.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,611 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$411/yr (+$34/mo · 34.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,856
− Mortgage interest
−$11,007
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$982
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,148
− Management
−$2,148
− Depreciation
−$5,716
Taxable income
$3,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$877
After-tax cash flow
$5,791/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloucester County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101620
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,815
Composite
56.19/100
National rank
#1177
State rank
#37 of 131 in VA

Livability — Gloucester Courthouse

Score
74/100
State rank
#150
US rank
#4823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
23,219
Population (ZIP)
23,219

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,437 people
By 2030
37,286 · -0.4%
By 2040
36,224 · -3.2%
By 2050
34,171 · -8.7%
By 2075
30,472 · -18.6%
By 2100
25,832 · -31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.4% · R 68.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+27.9 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.96%
Current HPI
175.0236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $196,500 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $196,500 CBRAR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $196,500 NNAR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $196,500 WMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $199,900 CBRAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $199,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $199,900 NNAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $199,900 WMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $209,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $209,900 NNAR
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $209,900 CBRAR
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $209,900 WMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $219,900 NNAR
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $219,900 WMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $219,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $219,900 CBRAR

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,200 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…