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C+ Composite 61.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

219 N Ford St · Sunsites, AZ 85625
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,601 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 394 Days on market
Built 1975 0.30 ac lot ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1975

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Private water company
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stucco and wood-frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Grass in front yard; Grass in back yard; Wire fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range/oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Full bathroom in the master bedroom; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sunsites — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Valley Union High School District (4190) (rural): math -3% / reading -3% proficiency, ranked #498 of 501 in AZ (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Valley Union High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 106 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.52%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,539
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 N Sage St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,670 (+4%) 2mo $232,000 $139 84
1213 E Justin St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,589 (-1%) 12mo $190,000 $120 82
217 N Ford St 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,446 (-10%) 1mo $165,000 $114 82
1021 E Geneva St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,546 (-3%) 4mo $230,000 $149 70
326 N Sage St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,683 (+5%) 9mo $200,000 $119 65
322 N Flynn Jans Ct 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-14%) 10mo $174,000 $127 56
448 N Dale Rd 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (-2%) 3mo $325,000 $206 56
1002 E Geneva St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,761 (+10%) 3mo $245,000 $139 53
134 N Cholla Dr 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,662 (+4%) 2mo $240,000 $144 53
1004 E Mescal Dr 0.53mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,755 (+10%) 6mo $130,000 $74 47
907 E Clouse St 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-15%) 5mo $190,000 $139 34
100 N Dale Rd 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-15%) 10mo $159,900 $117 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,910
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$35,722
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85625

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $928
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
904 E Christmas Tree Ln Pearce, AZ 3.0 2.5 1796 $1,400 $0.78 23d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 394 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 393 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 392 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 391 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 390 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 388 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 387 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 384 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 383 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 382 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 380 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 378 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 377 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 376 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 375 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 374 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    price $110,000 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  18. 2026-04-15
    price $110,000
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  19. 2025-12-30
    status Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  20. 2025-12-30
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  21. 2025-12-19
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  22. 2025-12-19
    status Pending 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  23. 2025-11-07
    price $141,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  24. 2025-11-07
    price $141,900
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  25. 2025-08-21
    price $144,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  26. 2025-08-21
    price $144,900
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  27. 2025-05-21
    listed $154,900 Active
  28. 2025-05-20
    listed $154,900 Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Spacious three bedroom, two bath, 1604 square foot home on a corner lot. Split primary bedroom with a full bath, formal dining room and an enclosed back porch. The converted garage has a wood burning stove and there is a wood burning fireplace in the living room. Spacious fenced back yard with two outbuildings. located in a quiet residential neighborhood.

  29. 2025-03-29
    historical
  30. 2025-03-03
    status Active
  31. 2025-03-01
    historical
  32. 2025-03-01
    historical
  33. 2024-04-28
    price $164,900
  34. 2024-04-28
    price $164,900
  35. 2024-04-02
    listed $185,000 Active
  36. 2024-04-01
    listed $185,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,329 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,329 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,329
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$689
After-tax cash flow
$3,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley Union High School District (4190)
NCES district ID
0408910
Math proficiency
-3% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
-3% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,046
Composite
2.17/100
National rank
#15168
State rank
#498 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Sunsites

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sunsites, AZ
Population (ZIP)
1,959

Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
113,402 people
By 2030
106,197 · -6.4%
By 2040
92,166 · -18.7%
By 2050
79,805 · -29.6%
By 2075
56,831 · -49.9%
By 2100
35,103 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cochise

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.79%
Current HPI
156.1483
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $110,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $110,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $141,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $141,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $144,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $144,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-21 Listed $154,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $154,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-03-29 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2025-03-03 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2025-03-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2024-04-28 Price Changed $164,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2024-04-28 Price Changed $164,900 ARMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Listed $185,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Listed $185,000 MLSSAZ

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,329 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…