47630 Van Dyke denwood · Sterling Heights, MI
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a beautiful 2-bedroom updated Condo is MOVE-IN-READY. Coin operated laundry room, reserved storage space for your belongings. The Complex offers a large in-ground community pool and courtyard for entertaining and gatherings. WATER AND GAS , structure and grounds maintenance included with monthly HOA. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all the info and sizes. buyer and buyers agent to verify all the info.
Key facts
- Pool
- Built 1965
- Listed 19 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-694/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $77k (9.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.9% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bruce Collins Elementary School (math 37% / reading 49%, grade F, #540 of 1,397 statewide, top 39%, 428 students, 57% FRL); Heritage Junior High School (math 39% / reading 49%, grade D, #173 of 493 statewide, top 36%, 448 students, 51% FRL); Adlai Stevenson High School (math 32% / reading 54%, grade F, #260 of 713 statewide, top 37%, 1,977 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 26% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.61%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,000
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -66.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11720 15 Mile Rd Unit A9 | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-3%) | 2mo | $129,000 | $143 | 68 |
| 11810 Ina Dr #70 | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 900 (-3%) | 0mo | $124,000 | $138 | 58 |
| 13900 Camelot Dr #84 | 1.27mi | 2/1.5 | 884 (-5%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 13900 Camelot Dr #84 | 1.27mi | 2/1.5 | 884 (-5%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 14140 Merriweather St | 1.37mi | 2/2.0 | 884 (-5%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 37102 Aberdeen Dr #10 | 1.34mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (+6%) | 0mo | $122,500 | $124 | 51 |
| 36365 Briarcliff Rd | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $255 | 51 |
| 11160 Lesure Dr | 1.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+8%) | 2mo | $268,000 | $268 | 45 |
| 12042 15 Mile Rd | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 704 (-24%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $128 | 42 |
| 35226 Tall Oaks Dr | 0.86mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-14%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $169 | 41 |
| 35274 Terrybrook Dr | 0.78mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-14%) | 2mo | $129,000 | $161 | 40 |
| 38774 Covington Dr | 1.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $256 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-16,995
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-17,732
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 48312
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,539 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$260
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $-58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1 | -5% $-28 | +0% $-58 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-58 | +5% $3 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-15 | -0.5pp $-36 | base $-58 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12064 Ina Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 963 | $1,750 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8484 Brougham Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,972 | $2.30 | 7d | 37 | 0.85mi |
| 8600 Beech Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,319 | $1.47 | 7d | 6 | 0.99mi |
| 34792 Oceanview Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $1,550 | $2.05 | 7d | 6 | 1.10mi |
| 8445 Hickory Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 855 | $1,450 | $1.70 | 7d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 34911 Van Dyke Ave Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 37933 Durham Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $785 | $1.31 | 71d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8301 16 1/2 Mile Rd Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 7d | 4 | 1.40mi |
| 37118 Camelot Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 795 | $1,330 | $1.67 | 7d | 9 | 1.42mi |
| 13375 Stonegate Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 7d | 3 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $260
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterNatural gasForced air heating system
- Home design
- Condominium, 1-storyUnit number 6Built in 1965
- Construction
- Slab foundation
- Exterior features
- Brick exteriorInground poolPaved street access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Ceramic-floor kitchen (11 x 11)
- Bedrooms
- Two bedrooms located on the entry level (13 x 11 and 11 x 11)
- Flooring
- Carpet in the living roomCeramic tile in the kitchen
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom on the entry level (approx. 7 x 6)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingNatural gas fuel
- Interior features
- Total of 5 roomsLiving room measures 19 x 12 and is carpetedKitchen measures 11 x 11 with ceramic flooring
HOA detail $260/mo · $3,120/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaslandscapingpool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-24days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 414-char remark
-
2026-06-07$89,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$5,543
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,477
- − Management
- −$1,477
- − HOA
- −$3,120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable loss
- −$1,654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$397
- After-tax cash flow
- $-297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2-bedroom condo is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It is MOVE-IN-READY and has a good curb appeal. The property has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC system appears to be in good condition. The kitchen and bathroom are in average condition, and the flooring and interior walls are in good condition. The property has a good roof and exterior, and the landscaping is well-maintained. The property has a good rehab level of cosmetic, and the repairs and maintenance items are minor and can be completed with a good ROI.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Replace worn-out appliances — Upgrading to newer, energy-efficient appliances can improve the property's energy performance and appeal to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634470
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,953
- Composite
- 40.52/100
- National rank
- #3709
- State rank
- #126 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sterling Heights
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #4545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterling Heights, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 925,296 people
- City population
- 133,573
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,401
- Household income
- $68,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Arab 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.41%
- Current HPI
- 203.3039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…