Odessa Plan · Navassa, NC 28451

$249,990

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,567 sqft · Townhouse · 204 Days on market

Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Live close to Wilmington and the coast without the high price tag at Lakes at Riverbend Townhomes in Navassa, NC-where everyday living feels simple, connected, and relaxed. The Odessa is thoughtfully designed for modern lifestyles, blending open-concept living with smart functionality in a low-maintenance community. Limited Time Offer: We're offering up to $3,500 in closing cost assistance with NVRM * Step inside to a welcoming foyer that leads to a bright, spacious family room-perfect for gathering or unwinding. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring an oversized island that flows seamlessly into the dining area, making entertaining easy and everyday meals effortless.

Key facts

• Double bowl vanity
• Large foyer
• Linen closet

Tags

• LARGE FOYER
• OVERSIZED ISLAND
• LUXURY OWNER'S SUITE
• ENORMOUS WALK-IN CLOSET
• DOUBLE BOWL VANITY
• LINEN CLOSET

🏗️ New construction. The $249,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $283,711.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (9.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Navassa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#141 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 44% / reading 37%, grade F, #682 of 1,410 statewide, top 49%, 675 students, 100% FRL); Leland Middle (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #326 of 475 statewide, top 69%, 780 students, 100% FRL); North Brunswick High (math 57% / reading 49%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,450 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1803 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $219,991 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.53%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.71%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $283,711
• List price: $249,990
• Delta: -11.89%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3186 Edgehill Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,567 (0%)	0mo	$256,565	$164	94
3194 Edgehill Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,567 (0%)	0mo	$257,460	$164	94
3190 Edgehill Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,567 (0%)	0mo	$263,705	$168	94
3209 Edgehill Dr	0.10mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	2mo	$273,385	$168	88
3213 Edgehill Dr	0.10mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	2mo	$293,675	$180	88
3201 Edgehill Dr	0.10mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	2mo	$273,685	$168	88
3324 Primrose Dr	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	4mo	$259,000	$159	86
3171 Edgehill Dr	0.10mi	3/2.5	1,633 (+4%)	4mo	$280,000	$171	85
3340 Primrose Dr	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	6mo	$284,865	$175	83
3342 Primrose Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	6mo	$300,340	$184	83
4194 Farmfield Dr	0.15mi	3/2.5	1,628 (+4%)	6mo	$269,990	$166	81
3170 Edgehill Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,442 (-8%)	6mo	$275,000	$191	76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.23×
• Total profit: $-61,296
• Equity at exit: $42,302

10-year hold

• IRR: -22.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.05×
• Total profit: $-83,500
• Equity at exit: $24,530

Cash invested: $79,439 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 12 active · 12 under contract
• Months of supply: 6.5 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $273,945 ($169/sqft)
• Median days on market: 65 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: +7.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 28451

• Rents YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 1803
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,255 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,488
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$355 /mo · $4,256/yr
• Insurance: −$118
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$473
• Net cashflow: $-179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,482

Max offer price $257,737

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $17	-5% $-81	+0% $-179	+5% $-278	+10% $-376
Rent	-10% $-358	-5% $-269	+0% $-179	+5% $-90	+10% $-1
Rate	-1.0pp $-37	-0.5pp $-107	base $-179	+0.5pp $-253	+1.0pp $-328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $70,928
• Closing costs: $8,511
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3160 Edgehill Dr Navassa, NC	3.0	2.5	1432	$2,319	$1.62	109d	1	0.10mi
867 Ashlar Cir Leland, NC	3.0	2.0	1696	$2,300	$1.36	119d	1	0.25mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: Navassa, NC 28451
• Financial info: List price $249,990

Exterior

• Parking: 1 parking space
• Utilities: Central air (electric cooling)
• Home design: New construction single-family plan (Odessa)
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1567

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Active listing for a new construction plan named "Odessa"

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-24
   days on market $249,990 Active 204 DOM
2. 2026-09-23
   days on market $249,990 Active 203 DOM
3. 2026-09-22
   days on market $249,990 Active 202 DOM
4. 2026-09-21
   days on market $249,990 Active 201 DOM
5. 2026-09-20
   pricedays on market $249,990 Active 200 DOM
6. 2026-09-19
   days on market $259,990 Active 199 DOM
7. 2026-09-18
   days on market $259,990 Active 198 DOM
8. 2026-09-17
   days on market $259,990 Active 197 DOM
9. 2026-09-16
   days on market $259,990 Active 196 DOM
10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $259,990 Active 194 DOM
11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $259,990 Active 193 DOM
12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $259,990 Active 192 DOM
13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $259,990 Active 191 DOM
14. 2026-09-06
    days on market $259,990 Active 185 DOM
15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $259,990 Active 184 DOM
16. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on market $259,990 Active 183 DOM
17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $249,990 Active 180 DOM
18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $249,990 Active 179 DOM
19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $249,990 Active 178 DOM
20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $249,990 Active 177 DOM
21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $249,990 Active 176 DOM
22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $249,990 Active 174 DOM
23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $249,990 Active 173 DOM
24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $249,990 Active 172 DOM
25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $249,990 Active 171 DOM
26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $249,990 Active 170 DOM
27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $249,990 Active 169 DOM
28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $249,990 Active 168 DOM
29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $249,990 Active 167 DOM
30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $249,990 Active 166 DOM
31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $249,990 Active 165 DOM
32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $249,990 Active 164 DOM
33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $249,990 Active 163 DOM
34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $249,990 Active 162 DOM
35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $249,990 Active 161 DOM
36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $249,990 Active 160 DOM
37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $249,990 Active 159 DOM
38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $249,990 Active 158 DOM
39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $249,990 Active 157 DOM
40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $249,990 Active 156 DOM
41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $249,990 Active 155 DOM
42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $249,990 Active 154 DOM
43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $249,990 Active 153 DOM
44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $249,990 Active 152 DOM
45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $249,990 Active 149 DOM
46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $249,990 Active 147 DOM
47. 2026-07-27
    days on market $249,990 Active 145 DOM
48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $249,990 Active 143 DOM
49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $249,990 Active 142 DOM
50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $249,990 Active 141 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,056
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,892
• − Property taxes: −$4,256
• − Insurance: −$1,419
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,164
• − Management: −$2,164
• − Depreciation: −$8,253
• Taxable loss: −$7,093
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,702
• After-tax cash flow: $-452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Odessa plan townhouse in Navassa, NC is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a clean exterior. It offers a great opportunity for a move-in-ready home with potential for further updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 42/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Lincoln Elementary F NC #682/1,410 Nat'l #19,191/41,679 Middle Leland Middle F NC #326/475 Nat'l #8,646/14,009 High North Brunswick High C- NC #281/535 Nat'l #4,893/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brunswick County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700420
• Math proficiency: 45% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $47,494
• Composite: 39.23/100
• National rank: #4011
• State rank: #82 of 178 in NC

B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Navassa

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #141
• US rank: #8091

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Navassa, NC
• County: Brunswick County · 152,111 people
• Metro: Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
• Population (ZIP): 46,933
• Household income: $81,481
• Rent vs Own: 18.0% rent · 82.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 8% of renters

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Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 152,111 people
• By 2030: 165,705 · +8.9%
• By 2040: 188,494 · +23.9%
• By 2050: 206,228 · +35.6%
• By 2075: 237,876 · +56.4%
• By 2100: 251,451 · +65.3%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -99.99%
• Current HPI: 148.6217
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.24%
• Metro: Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: Navassa, NC 28451
• Financial info: List price $249,990

Exterior

• Parking: 1 parking space
• Utilities: Central air (electric cooling)
• Home design: New construction single-family plan (Odessa)
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1567

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Active listing for a new construction plan named "Odessa"