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147 Sage Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 61.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

147 Sage Dr · Palm Springs, CA 92264
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1973 3,660 sqft lot $180/sqft · 40% below area Est $431k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION INVESTORS! Here's your chance to own an affordable income-producing property under $260,000 in beautiful sunny Palm Springs, CA. With an estimated 6% annual ROI, this beautifully updated manufactured home sits on owned land with a low HOA fee around $330/month (paid by Landlord) and is currently leased at $2,050/month with a long term Tenant who pays all utilities. Large floor plan Featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms offers comfortable living and the property was completely remodeled over 4 years ago (PICTURES SHOWN ARE FROM BEFORE TENANTS MOVED IN). Located in a prime central location with quick access stores, shops, and restaurants. El Dorado Palm Estates is a 55+ community located just minutes from Target, Walmart, Home Depot, and more. Residents enjoy full access to two swimming pools and a spa, saunas, tennis courts, a newly renovated gym, a game room, a library and many other amenities. Residents can participate in activities, such as Bridge, Poker, other card games. The spacious clubhouse contains a commercial kitchen which is frequently put to use when catering various park-sponsored social activities that are held throughout the year. Best of all, ownership is not restricted by age--investors of all ages are welcome. Don't miss out--submit your offer before this opportunity is gone!

Key facts

  • Long term tenant
  • Two swimming pools
  • Owned land

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYOWNED LANDLOW HOA FEELONG TERM TENANTPRIME CENTRAL LOCATIONTWO SWIMMING POOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $259,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$430,949) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,690 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.52%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$430,949
List price
$259,000
Delta
-39.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Aliso Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 3mo $239,000 $166 95
191 Figuaro Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 4mo $289,000 $201 92
183 Figuaro Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $387,000 $269 90
291 Juniper Dr 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 4mo $250,000 $174 86
2 Calle Abajo 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 3mo $190,000 $132 84
210 Coyote Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+3%) 7mo $239,000 $161 83
284 Saguaro Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+3%) 2mo $267,240 $180 80
274 Encino Dr 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,392 (-3%) 9mo $275,000 $198 75
356 Saguaro Dr 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,539 (+7%) 0mo $330,000 $214 75
81 Calle Del Espacio 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 3mo $80,000 $52 73
175 Vista De Oeste 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 8mo $140,000 $96 66
147 Vista De Oeste 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,291 (-10%) 0mo $190,000 $147 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-20,788
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-10,884
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92264

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,633 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,913/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,058
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $601 -5% $528 +0% $455 +5% $381 +10% $308
Rent -10% $247 -5% $351 +0% $455 +5% $559 +10% $663
Rate -1.0pp $585 -0.5pp $521 base $455 +0.5pp $388 +1.0pp $319

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 Lawrence Crossley Rd Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 905 $2,022 $2.23 44d 1 0.42mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd #18 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $2,050 $2.32 18d 1 0.43mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit B15 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $1,950 $2.20 44d 1 0.43mi
26 Pueblo Vista Dr Palm Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1487 $3,200 $2.15 44d 1 0.44mi
2420 Los Coyotes Dr Palm Springs, CA 2.0 3.0 1608 $2,600 $1.62 44d 1 0.51mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,300 $2.47 15d 2 0.52mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,300 $2.47 18d 2 0.52mi
5314 Los Coyotes Dr Palm Springs, CA 3.0 3.0 1550 $2,600 $1.68 20d 1 0.56mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #192 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 979 $2,300 $2.35 24d 1 0.60mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #120 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $2,800 $3.16 44d 1 0.60mi
2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 993 $1,895 $1.91 14d 1 0.63mi
5951 Montecito Dr #5 Palm Springs, CA 3.0 2.5 1551 $2,300 $1.48 44d 1 0.69mi
35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B10 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1384 $2,600 $1.88 44d 1 0.71mi
5225 E Waverly Dr #66 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $3,600 $4.06 44d 1 0.73mi
35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit H64 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1375 $2,500 $1.82 44d 1 0.77mi
68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,790 $2.70 44d 1 0.81mi
68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,790 $2.70 15d 1 0.81mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 22d 1 0.86mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 11d 1 0.86mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 13d 1 0.86mi
2601 S Broadmoor Dr Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1178 $2,050 $1.74 44d 2 0.91mi
68615 Paseo Soria Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1462 $3,500 $2.39 8d 1 0.93mi
68153 Lakeland Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1255 $2,500 $1.99 24d 1 0.93mi
6071 Hazeltine Plz Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1168 $3,200 $2.74 44d 1 0.95mi
33892 Sky Blue Water Trl Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1352 $2,800 $2.07 5d 1 0.96mi
2441 S Birdie Way Unit E Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1438 $3,250 $2.26 24d 1 0.97mi
68882 Calle Mula Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1714 $2,500 $1.46 21d 1 1.02mi
68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,960 $2.82 44d 1 1.04mi
68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,960 $2.82 15d 1 1.04mi
4850 N Winners Cir Unit A Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1275 $2,700 $2.12 17d 1 1.04mi
2104 S Birdie Way Palm Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1456 $3,600 $2.47 44d 1 1.05mi
2550 Miramonte Cir E Unit C Palm Springs, CA 3.0 2.5 1397 $2,730 $1.95 24d 1 1.09mi
35615 Paseo Circulo E Cathedral City, CA 1.0 2.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 44d 1 1.11mi
2350 Miramonte Cir E Unit A Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1264 $3,000 $2.37 24d 1 1.13mi
2350 Miramonte Cir E Unit E Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1241 $4,500 $3.63 44d 1 1.13mi
33387 Shifting Sands Trl Unit 2 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,999 $1.54 24d 1 1.13mi
272 Desert Lakes Dr Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1545 $7,000 $4.53 44d 1 1.16mi
306 Desert Lakes Dr Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1545 $8,000 $5.18 44d 1 1.21mi
33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 44d 1 1.22mi
33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,000 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,000 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,000 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $259,000 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,000 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,000 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $259,000 Active 1323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1323 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Here's your chance to own an affordable income-producing property under $260,000 in beautiful sunny Palm Springs, CA. With an estimated 6% annual ROI, this beautifully updated manufactured home sits on owned land with a low HOA fee around $330/month (paid by Landlord) and is currently leased at $2,050/month with a long term Tenant who pays all utilities. Large floor plan Featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms offers comfortable living and the property was completely remodeled over 4 years ago (PICTURES SHOWN ARE FROM BEFORE TENANTS MOVED IN). Located in a prime central location with quick access stores, shops, and restaurants. El Dorado Palm Estates is a 55+ community located just minutes from Target, Walmart, Home Depot, and more. Residents enjoy full access to two swimming pools and a spa, saunas, tennis courts, a newly renovated gym, a game room, a library and many other amenities. Residents can participate in activities, such as Bridge, Poker, other card games. The spacious clubhouse contains a commercial kitchen which is frequently put to use when catering various park-sponsored social activities that are held throughout the year. Best of all, ownership is not restricted by age--investors of all ages are welcome. Don't miss out--submit your offer before this opportunity is gone!

  16. 2021-09-05
    historical
  17. 2021-08-16
    price $237,405
  18. 2021-07-15
    listed $249,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,913 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,968 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,599
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$1,913
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,528
− Management
−$2,528
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable income
$1,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$310
After-tax cash flow
$5,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Springs

Score
66/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#11850

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
46,786
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
19,899
Household income
$77,688
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1215.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -489.04%
Current HPI
357.0969
Rent YoY
▼ -0.43%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $259,000 GPSMLS
  • 2021-09-05 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2021-08-16 Price Changed $237,405 GPSMLS
  • 2021-07-15 Listed $249,900 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,913 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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