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4520 5th St
C+ Composite 61.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.3/10.0

$119,900

4520 5th St · Ecorse, MI 48229
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1928 3,049 sqft lot Est $108k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated, move-in ready, 4-bedroom home offering flexibility, comfort, and charm! Relax and unwind on the enclosed front porch, a wonderful extra space that adds to this home's appeal. There are 2 spacious bedrooms located on the main floor, with 2 additional upstairs, providing plenty of space. Enjoy the large dining room, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining. Freshly painted throughout with brand-new carpeting, this home is ready for its next owner. City sidewalks and a functional floor plan complete the package. BAVAI

Key facts

  • Large dining room
  • Enclosed front porch
  • 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE DINING ROOMFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 100 (0.07 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ralph J Bunche Academy (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 318 students, 90% FRL); Grandport Elementary Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #488 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 89% FRL); Ecorse Community High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 296 students, 81% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $120k implies a 1232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.98%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,910
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
277 White St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,007 (+2%) 6mo $151,000 $150 82
4635 5th St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 965 (-2%) 1mo $99,900 $104 80
4405 7th St 0.18mi 4/1.0 1,056 (+7%) 6mo $23,500 $22 75
4548 8th St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,077 (+9%) 2mo $109,000 $101 71
239 White St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (+11%) 4mo $120,000 $109 70
483 Park Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 988 (-0%) 3mo $206,000 $209 70
350 Labadie St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 960 (-3%) 3mo $99,000 $103 70
4260 Pitt St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 998 (+1%) 2mo $31,000 $31 63
2458 River Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (+9%) 1mo $144,000 $134 56
525 Mill St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,070 (+8%) 6mo $196,000 $183 52
4345 10th St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,118 (+13%) 3mo $116,000 $104 49
568 Garfield Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (+13%) 4mo $142,000 $127 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$83,077
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
7.87×
Total profit
$230,652
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48229

Home prices YoY
33.9%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,286/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $313 +0% $279 +5% $245 +10% $211
Rent -10% $173 -5% $226 +0% $279 +5% $332 +10% $386
Rate -1.0pp $340 -0.5pp $310 base $279 +0.5pp $248 +1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,295 $1.20 6d 1 0.94mi
170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,399 $1.30 4d 1 0.94mi
3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,350 $1.51 19d 1 1.18mi
1159 McKinley St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 0d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 533-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $119,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,286 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,566 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$280/yr (+$23/mo · 21.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,179
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,286
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,294
− Management
−$1,294
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,500
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$360
After-tax cash flow
$2,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ecorse Public Schools
NCES district ID
2612930
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$28,957
Composite
3.46/100
National rank
#10075
State rank
#536 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ecorse

Score
69/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#8880

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ecorse, MI
City population
9,166
Population (ZIP)
9,166

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 102.51%
Current HPI
404.5927
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-21 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-21 Sold (MLS) $9,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-06 Listed $9,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-06 Listed $9,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-03 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
  • 1998-12-14 Sold (MLS) $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-12-14 Sold (MLS) $39,500 REALCOMP
  • 1998-10-15 Listed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-10-15 Listed $39,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,286 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…