5 Spruce Ln · Chevy Chase Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-story ranch offering comfort, convenience, and peaceful living. Set on a generous lot in Northview Estates, this property provides the perfect opportunity to enjoy quiet surroundings with room to spread out. Inside, you’ll find a practical and welcoming floor plan with spacious living areas and an eat-in kitchen featuring abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and plenty of room for everyday meals or entertaining. The primary bathroom is generously sized with a large vanity, full tub/shower combination, and great storage. Outside, the covered front entry deck creates a warm welcome and a great place to sit and enjoy the views of
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Single-story ranch
- Expansive yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee of $483 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,142 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Indiana Area SD (town): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #96 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.47%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $1,231
- Equity at exit
- $5,890
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $11,763
- Equity at exit
- $3,415
Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15701
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$207
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $558/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$483
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,875
- Closing costs
- $1,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 670 N 5th Ave Indiana, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 245 S 7th St Indiana, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $839 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 207 S 10th St Indiana, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $483 · $5,796/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $39,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $39,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$39,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $558 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $591 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$33/yr (+$3/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,185
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,213
- − Property taxes
- −$558
- − Insurance
- −$198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − HOA
- −$5,796
- − Depreciation
- −$1,149
- Taxable income
- $1,162
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indiana Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212150
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,558
- Composite
- 48.44/100
- National rank
- #2133
- State rank
- #96 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chevy Chase Heights
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1142
- US rank
- #13096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chevy Chase Heights, PA
- County
- Indiana County · 31,269 people
- Metro
- Indiana, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,269
- Household income
- $56,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1590.0
Population outlook (Indiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,294 people
- By 2030
- 81,773 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 75,213 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 69,348 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 57,951 · -31.3%
- By 2100
- 47,313 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.1) · D 30.1% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.1pp · 2024: -39.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.1 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+35.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.33%
- Current HPI
- 167.0982
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Indiana, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $39,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $558 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…