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5 Spruce Ln
B- Composite 67.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,500

5 Spruce Ln · Chevy Chase Heights, PA 15701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 22 Days on market
Built 1998 $483/mo HOA · 44% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-story ranch offering comfort, convenience, and peaceful living. Set on a generous lot in Northview Estates, this property provides the perfect opportunity to enjoy quiet surroundings with room to spread out. Inside, you’ll find a practical and welcoming floor plan with spacious living areas and an eat-in kitchen featuring abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and plenty of room for everyday meals or entertaining. The primary bathroom is generously sized with a large vanity, full tub/shower combination, and great storage. Outside, the covered front entry deck creates a warm welcome and a great place to sit and enjoy the views of

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Single-story ranch
  • Expansive yard

Tags

SINGLE-STORY RANCHGENEROUS LOTEAT-IN KITCHENABUNDANT CABINETRYCOVERED FRONT ENTRY DECKEXPANSIVE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee of $483 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,142 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Indiana Area SD (town): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #96 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Recommended offer $38,907 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.78%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$1,231
Equity at exit
$5,890
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$11,763
Equity at exit
$3,415

Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15701

Home prices YoY
-26.2%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$207
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $558/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$483
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $953
Max offer price $39,500
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,875
Closing costs
$1,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
670 N 5th Ave Indiana, PA 3.0 1.0 865 $1,200 $1.39 43d 1 0.56mi
245 S 7th St Indiana, PA 3.0 1.0 1080 $839 $0.78 43d 1 1.43mi
207 S 10th St Indiana, PA 3.0 2.0 944 $1,100 $1.17 43d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$483 · $5,796/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,500 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,500 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,500 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,500 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,500 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,500 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,500 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,500 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,500 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,500 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,500 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,500 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,500 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,500 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $39,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$558 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$591 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$33/yr (+$3/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,185
− Mortgage interest
−$2,213
− Property taxes
−$558
− Insurance
−$198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− HOA
−$5,796
− Depreciation
−$1,149
Taxable income
$1,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$279
After-tax cash flow
$1,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indiana Area SD
NCES district ID
4212150
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,558
Composite
48.44/100
National rank
#2133
State rank
#96 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chevy Chase Heights

Score
65/100
State rank
#1142
US rank
#13096

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chevy Chase Heights, PA
County
Indiana County · 31,269 people
Metro
Indiana, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,269
Household income
$56,311
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1590.0

Population outlook (Indiana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,294 people
By 2030
81,773 · -3.0%
By 2040
75,213 · -10.8%
By 2050
69,348 · -17.7%
By 2075
57,951 · -31.3%
By 2100
47,313 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indiana

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.1) · D 30.1% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.1pp · 2024: -39.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.1 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+35.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.33%
Current HPI
167.0982
Rent YoY
Metro
Indiana, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $39,500 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $558 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…