11 Leeward Dr · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Offered for the first time ever! This beautifully maintained home sits on over half an acre on a rare double greenbelt lot in a desirable deed-restricted golf course community with low annual fees. Built by one of the area’s premier builders, Newport Homes, the residence offers nearly 2,500 square feet of comfortable living space with a thoughtful layout and numerous updates. * Major updates provide peace of mind, including a metal roof (2023), ELECTRIC hurricane shutters installed in 2024 and 2025, whole-house generator, water heater (2021), and AC system replaced in 2015. * Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms, 2½ bathrooms, and a popular split floor pla
Key facts
- Self-cleaning pool
- Double greenbelt lot
- Outdoor shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Other exemptions present
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Grande Property services); HOA approval required; HOA dues $510 annually ($42.50/month); Association fees cover common area taxes and management; Community has deed restrictions and golf access; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 3-car garage (approx. 37x24) with garage door opener; Oversized garage with workshop area
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Irrigation equipment; Generator
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Northwest-facing; Residential zoning (RSF3.5)
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Metal roof; Slab and stem wall foundation; Built by Newport Homes
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Screened porch; Hurricane shutters; Outdoor shower; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Auto-cleaning in-ground gunite pool with screen enclosure (14x30); Mature landscaping; Lot is cleared, landscaped and level; Near golf course; Paved public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Freezer; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water purifier; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full baths; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Open floor plan with living/dining combo; Split bedroom floorplan; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Dryer; Additional inside utility / family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $775 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
- Recommended offer: $432k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 915 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $100; list at $475k implies a 474900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.84%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $909,216
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Coral Creek Cir | 0.39mi | 3/3.0 | 2,410 (-2%) | 18mo | $1,024,000 | $425 | 63 |
| 4652 Arlington Dr | 0.34mi | 3/3.0 | 2,355 (-4%) | 19mo | $870,000 | $369 | 61 |
| 4663 Arlington Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 2,174 (-12%) | 12mo | $750,000 | $345 | 47 |
| 440 Spaniards Rd | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 2,251 (-9%) | 22mo | $566,500 | $252 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-5,221
- Equity at exit
- $94,384
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $79,801
- Equity at exit
- $82,701
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33946
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 915
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,433 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,141
- Net cashflow
- $775
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,044 | -5% $910 | +0% $775 | +5% $641 | +10% $506 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $346 | -5% $561 | +0% $775 | +5% $990 | +10% $1,204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,014 | -0.5pp $896 | base $775 | +0.5pp $652 | +1.0pp $527 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Amberjack Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2209 | $7,985 | $3.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2 Windward Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1953 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 50 Barracuda Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2154 | $3,000 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 11 Amberjack Ln Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3923 Cape Haze Dr #302 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2044 | $3,100 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10345 Longshore Rd #29 Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2416 | $6,900 | $2.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10446 Coquina Ct Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,500 | $2.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 550 Gaspar Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1803 | $5,500 | $3.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11000 Placida Rd #2201 Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $8,750 | $4.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 10425 Pilothouse Cir #131 Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2390 | $5,000 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8936 Scallop Way Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2158 | $5,200 | $2.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8400 Placida Rd Unit G202 Rental Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13045 Via Aurelia Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $8,200 | $4.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8581 Amberjack Cir #301 Englewood, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2761 | $6,500 | $2.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8581 Amberjack Cir Unit 1 Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2761 | $6,500 | $2.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $475,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $475,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $475,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $475,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $475,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $475,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $475,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $475,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $475,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $475,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $499,900
-
2026-03-17$539,900 Active
-
2019-08-29soldstatus $100
-
1995-11-02soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,310 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,310 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$4,310
- − Insurance
- −$7,494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,215
- − Management
- −$5,215
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable income
- $2,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$487
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,816/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rotonda, FL
- City population
- 10,490
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.90%
- Current HPI
- 288.559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1251.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $499,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $539,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $100 Public Records
- 1995-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,310 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…