5337 Ivyhurst Dr · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$38,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
wood floors Needs some work Full basement Covered patio Shed
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1961
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $762 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $268 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.23%
- DSCR
- 4.75
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,775
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1835 Woodette Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 909 (-2%) | 4mo | $208,000 | $229 | 87 |
| 1859 Woodette Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 909 (-2%) | 6mo | $191,450 | $211 | 85 |
| 1887 Lonsdale Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 909 (-2%) | 11mo | $204,000 | $224 | 82 |
| 1842 Stetson Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 23mo | $204,900 | $222 | 76 |
| 1886 Stetson Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 22mo | $128,000 | $137 | 72 |
| 5168 Mapleridge Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (+7%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 1945 Riverdale Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (+7%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $192 | 68 |
| 5305 Mapleridge Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $203 | 67 |
| 5194 Orlando Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,015 (+10%) | 6mo | $205,897 | $203 | 64 |
| 1380 Gertrude Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (+10%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $192 | 42 |
| 5794 Hallridge Cir | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $152 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.82×
- Total profit
- $41,395
- Equity at exit
- $5,778
- IRR
- 87.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.77×
- Total profit
- $95,144
- Equity at exit
- $3,350
Cash invested: $10,850 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43232
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$203
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $762
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $783 | -5% $773 | +0% $762 | +5% $751 | +10% $740 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $650 | -5% $706 | +0% $762 | +5% $817 | +10% $873 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $781 | -0.5pp $771 | base $762 | +0.5pp $752 | +1.0pp $741 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,688
- Closing costs
- $1,162
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1843 Fleming Rd Unit 1 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1699 Lonsdale Rd Unit 1707 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $995 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5125 Cedar Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,110 | $1.44 | 8d | 4 | 0.45mi |
| 1736 Sun Apple Way Unit 1736 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2038 Noe Bixby Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,365 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5623-5625 Chatford Dr Unit 5623 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5623-5625 Chatford Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5680 Hibernia Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1045 | $1,343 | $1.29 | 2d | 12 | 0.78mi |
| 1289b Yorkland Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 933 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 2d | 5 | 1.00mi |
| 5312 Gatehouse Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1171 | $1,499 | $1.28 | 2d | 15 | 1.11mi |
| 2680 Silver Oak Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,549 | $1.60 | 2d | 21 | 1.21mi |
| 5951 Parliament Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1033 | $1,625 | $1.57 | 3d | 4 | 1.25mi |
| 1537 Duffield Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 973 Exeter Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,710 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2024-12-02status Pending
-
2017-01-21status Pending
-
2017-01-21$38,750 Active
-
2016-08-23historical
-
2016-07-12price $59,900
-
2016-07-06price $63,900
-
2016-06-07price $64,000
-
2016-04-12price $64,900
-
2016-03-22$69,900 Active
-
2016-01-29historical
-
2016-01-19status Active
-
2016-01-18historical
-
2015-11-06$69,900 Active
-
2014-11-25soldstatus $37,500
-
2014-11-14historical
-
2014-10-18$40,762
-
2011-08-12historical
-
2011-01-13historical
-
2011-01-05$29,900
-
2010-04-27$53,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,610 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,610 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,171
- − Property taxes
- −$1,610
- − Insurance
- −$194
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$1,127
- Taxable income
- $9,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,364
- Household income
- $51,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2584.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.49%
- Current HPI
- 249.3708
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-28.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-02 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2017-01-21 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2017-01-21 Listed $38,750 CBRMLS
- 2016-08-23 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2016-07-12 Price Changed $59,900 CBRMLS
- 2016-07-06 Price Changed $63,900 CBRMLS
- 2016-06-07 Price Changed $64,000 CBRMLS
- 2016-04-12 Price Changed $64,900 CBRMLS
- 2016-03-22 Listed $69,900 CBRMLS
- 2016-01-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2016-01-19 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2016-01-18 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2015-11-06 Listed $69,900 CBRMLS
- 2014-11-25 Sold (MLS) $37,500 CBRMLS
- 2014-11-14 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2014-10-18 Listed $40,762 CBRMLS
- 2011-08-12 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2011-01-13 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2011-01-05 Listed $29,900 CBRMLS
- 2010-04-27 Listed $53,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,610 · -26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…