11 Thornhill Ct · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow),; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H.U.D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
Key facts
- Charming fireplace
- Upper floor laundry
- Manageable lot size
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $135 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Year built (estimated)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 39 x 115
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper floor; Natural gas hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-541/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Timber Creek Regional High School (math 13% / reading 48%, grade F, #279 of 399 statewide, top 71%, 1,166 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $250k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.77%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $253,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Fox Meadow Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,510 (+10%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $219 | 77 |
| 611 Jaeger Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,505 (+10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $133 | 74 |
| 2607 Beacon Hill Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,404 (+3%) | 3mo | $282,500 | $201 | 72 |
| 218 Keats Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,486 (+9%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $185 | 67 |
| 1502 Beacon Hill Dr | 0.49mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,404 (+3%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $192 | 65 |
| 311 Byron Ct | 0.28mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,505 (+10%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $176 | 58 |
| 51 Noble Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,276 (-7%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $196 | 51 |
| 103 Tanglewood Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,248 (-9%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $208 | 49 |
| 38 Noble Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $172 | 43 |
| 111 Presidential Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $148 | 41 |
| 41 Noble Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $180 | 40 |
| 118 Presidential Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $128 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-42,116
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-35,148
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,514 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$135
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $-45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $96 | -5% $26 | +0% $-45 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-244 | -5% $-144 | +0% $-45 | +5% $54 | +10% $154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $19 | base $-45 | +0.5pp $-110 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 Sonora Ln Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1292 | $2,400 | $1.86 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2403 Beacon Hill Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $2,650 | $2.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1608 Beacon Hill Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,750 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 55 Presidential Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1332 | $2,500 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 126 Presidential Dr Unit 1 Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 37 Berkshire Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 478 Jarvis Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 12 Heatherwood Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 79 Edinshire Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,500 | $2.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 30 Girard Ave Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,349 | $2.33 | 26d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 30 Girard Ave Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,349 | $2.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 785 Jarvis Rd Unit B Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 16 Lincoln Ave Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 56 Iron Gate Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1561 | $2,795 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8 Iron Gate Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $3,100 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $135 · $1,620/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-20$250,000 Active
-
2015-06-18soldstatus $85,000 Sold 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2015-06-18soldstatus $85,000 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2015-05-05status Under Contract 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2015-05-05historical 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2015-04-24$90,000 Active 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow),; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H.U.D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2015-04-22$90,000 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.
-
2007-02-07soldstatus $184,000
-
2007-01-30soldstatus $184,000
-
2006-12-08historical
-
2006-09-24$184,000
-
2000-08-15soldstatus $89,000
-
2000-08-04soldstatus $89,000
-
2000-06-27historical
-
2000-02-28$89,000
-
1993-09-16soldstatus $99,900
-
1991-07-15soldstatus $93,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,775 · $481/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,000 · $500/mo
- Expected delta
- +$225/yr (+$19/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$5,775
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,414
- − Management
- −$2,414
- − HOA
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,577
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester Township Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3406030
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,539
- Composite
- 26.18/100
- National rank
- #7269
- State rank
- #351 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+166.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-06-18 Sold (MLS) $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-06-18 Sold (MLS) $85,000 TREND
- 2015-05-05 Pending — TREND
- 2015-05-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-04-24 Listed $90,000 TREND
- 2015-04-22 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-30 Sold (MLS) $184,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-12-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-09-24 Listed $184,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-04 Sold (MLS) $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-06-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-02-28 Listed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 1991-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $93,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,775 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…