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11 Thornhill Ct
D Composite 40.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

11 Thornhill Ct · Sicklerville, NJ 08081
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,368 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1990 4,487 sqft lot Est $253k · at est. $135/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow),; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H.U.D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

Key facts

  • Charming fireplace
  • Upper floor laundry
  • Manageable lot size

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENCHARMING FIREPLACEUPPER FLOOR LAUNDRYMANAGEABLE LOT SIZECONVENIENT PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $135 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Year built (estimated)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 39 x 115

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper floor; Natural gas hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-541/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Timber Creek Regional High School (math 13% / reading 48%, grade F, #279 of 399 statewide, top 71%, 1,166 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $250k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,037 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.77%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$253,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
52 Fox Meadow Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,510 (+10%) 2mo $330,000 $219 77
611 Jaeger Ct 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,505 (+10%) 3mo $200,000 $133 74
2607 Beacon Hill Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,404 (+3%) 3mo $282,500 $201 72
218 Keats Ct 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,486 (+9%) 6mo $275,000 $185 67
1502 Beacon Hill Dr 0.49mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,404 (+3%) 4mo $269,900 $192 65
311 Byron Ct 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,505 (+10%) 9mo $265,000 $176 58
51 Noble Rd 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,276 (-7%) 2mo $250,000 $196 51
103 Tanglewood Dr 0.51mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,248 (-9%) 9mo $260,000 $208 49
38 Noble Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-9%) 2mo $215,000 $172 43
111 Presidential Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-9%) 7mo $185,000 $148 41
41 Noble Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-9%) 7mo $225,000 $180 40
118 Presidential Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-9%) 10mo $160,000 $128 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-42,116
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-35,148
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08081

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
335
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,514 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$135
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$528
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,571
Max offer price $242,037
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $96 -5% $26 +0% $-45 +5% $-116 +10% $-187
Rent -10% $-244 -5% $-144 +0% $-45 +5% $54 +10% $154
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $19 base $-45 +0.5pp $-110 +1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
423 Sonora Ln Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.5 1292 $2,400 $1.86 0d 1 0.17mi
2403 Beacon Hill Dr Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 2.5 1248 $2,650 $2.12 0d 1 0.45mi
1608 Beacon Hill Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1612 $2,750 $1.71 22d 1 0.48mi
55 Presidential Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1332 $2,500 $1.88 5d 1 0.62mi
126 Presidential Dr Unit 1 Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,500 $1.42 18d 1 0.68mi
37 Berkshire Rd Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,900 $1.81 0d 1 0.82mi
478 Jarvis Rd Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,150 $2.15 0d 1 0.88mi
12 Heatherwood Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,500 $2.48 0d 1 0.96mi
79 Edinshire Rd Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,500 $2.38 16d 1 1.03mi
30 Girard Ave Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,349 $2.33 26d 1 1.21mi
30 Girard Ave Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,349 $2.33 18d 1 1.21mi
785 Jarvis Rd Unit B Sicklerville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 0d 1 1.23mi
16 Lincoln Ave Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1540 $2,300 $1.49 3d 1 1.30mi
56 Iron Gate Rd Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1561 $2,795 $1.79 0d 1 1.46mi
8 Iron Gate Rd Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1681 $3,100 $1.84 12d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$135 · $1,620/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $250,000 Active
  3. 2015-06-18
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (720 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  4. 2015-06-18
    soldstatus $85,000 720-char remark
    Show marketing remark (720 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  5. 2015-05-05
    status Under Contract 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (720 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  6. 2015-05-05
    historical 720-char remark
    Show marketing remark (720 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  7. 2015-04-24
    listed $90,000 Active 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow),; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H.U.D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  8. 2015-04-22
    listed $90,000 720-char remark
    Show marketing remark (720 chars)

    Property is being sold as-is. Property is eligible for FHA Financing: IE (insured with Escrow), ; 203K eligible; Equal Housing Opportunity. An effort has been made to disclose all known information relative to taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments. It is recommended that the Purchaser or Purchaser's real estate-agent perform due diligence on behalf of the Purchase to confirm all charges for taxes, utilities, HOA/Condominium fees, and special assessments, as H. U. D will pay the charges from the time of acquisition until closing, regardless of the type of charge. Estimate Noted Repairs: $1500 for garage conversion, $2000 wall and ceiling interior repairs, $200 for carpet stain cleaning.

  9. 2007-02-07
    soldstatus $184,000
  10. 2007-01-30
    soldstatus $184,000
  11. 2006-12-08
    historical
  12. 2006-09-24
    listed $184,000
  13. 2000-08-15
    soldstatus $89,000
  14. 2000-08-04
    soldstatus $89,000
  15. 2000-06-27
    historical
  16. 2000-02-28
    listed $89,000
  17. 1993-09-16
    soldstatus $99,900
  18. 1991-07-15
    soldstatus $93,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,775 · $481/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,000 · $500/mo
Expected delta
+$225/yr (+$19/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,172
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$5,775
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,414
− Management
−$2,414
− HOA
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,098
After-tax cash flow
$557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloucester Township Public Schools
NCES district ID
3406030
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$72,539
Composite
26.18/100
National rank
#7269
State rank
#351 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sicklerville, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
50,264
Household income
$105,800
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.48%
Current HPI
303.1017
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-06-18 Sold (MLS) $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-06-18 Sold (MLS) $85,000 TREND
  • 2015-05-05 Pending TREND
  • 2015-05-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-04-24 Listed $90,000 TREND
  • 2015-04-22 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
  • 2007-01-30 Sold (MLS) $184,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-12-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-09-24 Listed $184,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2000-08-04 Sold (MLS) $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-02-28 Listed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1993-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 1991-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $93,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,775 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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