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C- Composite 50.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

2381 S Bonnyview Rd · Redding, CA 96001
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 124 Days on market
0.54 ac lot Est $492k · 34% under ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Live it. Work it. Rent it. Build it. Opportunities like this don't come around often. Set on over half an acre and zoned General Commercial, this one-of-a-kind property delivers serious flexibility with two separate homes and two shop spaces all on one flat, highly usable lot. The front residence is move-in ready, offering 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a large open living area, and an attached 800± sq ft shop perfect for a business headquarters, creative space, or serious storage. Tucked toward the back of the property is a second home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an attached garage. It's ready for a refresh and loaded with upside—ideal for rental income, guest quarters, or expand

Key facts

  • Over half an acre
  • Two separate homes
  • Two shop spaces

Tags

OVER HALF AN ACREZONED GENERAL COMMERCIALTWO SEPARATE HOMESTWO SHOP SPACESFLAT HIGHLY USABLE LOTLARGE OPEN LIVING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4-car garage; Boat parking available
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Built with brick, stucco, wood siding, and lap siding; Composition roof; Raised foundation
  • Exterior features: City lot, level; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace in the living room with an insert; Tile, vinyl, and carpet flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($271/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Bonny View Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #276 of 1,571 statewide, top 19%, 288 students, 64% FRL); Sequoia Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #162 of 498 statewide, top 33%, 411 students, 69% FRL); Shasta High (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #165 of 1,170 statewide, top 15%, 1,333 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 16% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $252,006 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$492,000
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2520 Star Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,072 (+4%) 12mo $340,000 $164 56
2458 Calgary Pl 0.51mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,036 (+2%) 20mo $500,000 $246 50
2690 Calgary Pl 0.55mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,108 (+5%) 14mo $515,000 $244 49
6323 Oxbow St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,818 (-9%) 4mo $600,000 $330 47
6338 Oxbow St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,038 (+2%) 22mo $579,000 $284 45
6355 Paso Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,854 (-7%) 8mo $310,000 $167 45
6425 Beretta Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,818 (-9%) 16mo $490,000 $270 38
5300 Cedars Rd 0.72mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,814 (-9%) 11mo $430,000 $237 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-39,290
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$21,500
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96001

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,520 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,542/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,491
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $207 -5% $115 +0% $23 +5% $-69 +10% $-161
Rent -10% $-176 -5% $-77 +0% $23 +5% $122 +10% $222
Rate -1.0pp $186 -0.5pp $105 base $23 +0.5pp $-62 +1.0pp $-147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $325,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $325,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-03-10
    price $325,000
  8. 2026-03-10
    status Active
  9. 2026-02-03
    status Pending
  10. 2026-01-15
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-02
    status Pending
  12. 2025-12-15
    listed $315,000 Active
  13. 2025-04-23
    historical
  14. 2025-04-11
    listed $541,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,542 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$928/yr (+$77/mo · 60.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,241
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$1,542
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,419
− Management
−$2,419
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$5,424
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,302
After-tax cash flow
$1,573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shasta Union High
NCES district ID
0636600
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$50,080
Composite
46.01/100
National rank
#2532
State rank
#122 of 517 in CA

Livability — Redding

Score
76/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#3726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redding, CA
County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
112,523
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,817
Household income
$72,484
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.25%
Current HPI
291.6191
Rent YoY
▲ 7.55%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-39.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $325,000 SAOR
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted SAOR
  • 2026-02-03 Pending SAOR
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted SAOR
  • 2026-01-02 Pending SAOR
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $315,000 SAOR
  • 2025-04-23 Delisted SAOR
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $541,000 SAOR

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,542 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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