Duplex
821 Strong St · Schenectady, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$274,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 Family spacious home with 1br on each. Home needs some TLC to bring it back to life. Repair estimated reserve is $45k. City owned. Please contact LA with questions.
Key facts
- Consistent upkeep
- Buildable extra lot
- Modern finishes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.41 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; Total parking for about 20 vehicles; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Duplex; Vinyl siding; Living area approximately 1,500
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Other exterior features; Level, cleared lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom; Unit 2: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on the 1st level, one on the 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $274k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $314/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $274k).
- Recommended offer: $270k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Schenectady High School (math 75% / reading 90%, grade A, #446 of 1,100 statewide, top 41%, 2,743 students, 71% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Schenectady City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($270k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $500; list at $274k implies a 54800% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.80%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,400
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1339 Santa Fe St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,462 (-2%) | 19mo | $152,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 276 Duane Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-13%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $150 | 43 |
| 1258 Webster St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,470 (-2%) | 20mo | $185,500 | $126 | 42 |
| 1355 Chrisler Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,661 (+11%) | 14mo | $254,900 | $153 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $189,355
- Equity at exit
- $247,291
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $525,940
- Equity at exit
- $533,293
Cash invested: $76,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12307
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,440
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $906/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$600
- Net cashflow
- $628
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $783 | -5% $705 | +0% $628 | +5% $550 | +10% $472 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $402 | -5% $515 | +0% $628 | +5% $741 | +10% $853 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $697 | base $628 | +0.5pp $557 | +1.0pp $484 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,856 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,428 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,428 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,857 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,625
- Closing costs
- $8,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 918 Delamont Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 922 State St Schenectady, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,390 | $1.63 | 15d | 6 | 0.52mi |
| 1120 Pleasant St Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1130 Pleasant St Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 23 Hawk St Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 192 Erie Blvd Apt 502 Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 192 Erie Blvd Unit 508 Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,715 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 192 Erie Blvd Apt 607 Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 192 Erie Blvd Apt 706 Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,600 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 192 Erie Blvd Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,595 | $1.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 409 State St Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 126 Prospect St Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 117 Washington Ave Schenectady, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $867 | $0.84 | 15d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 225 State St Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,325 | $1.56 | 15d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 762 Eastern Ave Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13 State St Schenectady, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,768 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 418 Third St Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1037 University Pl Unit 2 Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1826 Campbell Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2007 Campbell Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1093 Park Ave Schenectady, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2030 Euclid Ave Schenectady, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 830 Plymouth Ave Schenectady, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $274,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $274,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $274,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$274,500 Active
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-02-09price $313,000
-
2026-01-30price $318,000
-
2026-01-15$324,000 Active
-
2022-04-08status Pending 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
2 Family spacious home with 1br on each. Home needs some TLC to bring it back to life. Repair estimated reserve is $45k. City owned. Please contact LA with questions.
-
2021-11-17$37,900 New 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
2 Family spacious home with 1br on each. Home needs some TLC to bring it back to life. Repair estimated reserve is $45k. City owned. Please contact LA with questions.
-
2018-02-28soldstatus $500
-
2017-04-21soldstatus $500
-
2006-08-16soldstatus $18,500
-
2006-07-11historical
-
2006-04-25$21,000
-
2003-11-05soldstatus $50,000
-
2003-10-31soldstatus $32,600
-
2003-10-16$50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $906 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,772 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,867/yr (+$156/mo · 206.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,376
- − Property taxes
- −$906
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,743
- − Management
- −$2,743
- − Depreciation
- −$7,985
- Taxable income
- $3,159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$758
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Schenectady City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626010
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,453
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6309
- State rank
- #556 of 590 in NY
Livability — Schenectady
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #2597
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Schenectady, NY
- City population
- 141,369
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,977
Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 155,046 people
- By 2030
- 154,322 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 151,796 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 148,621 · -4.1%
- By 2075
- 141,229 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 126,014 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.81)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 11% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Ukrainian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.60%
- Current HPI
- 398.0252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+449.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $274,500 Global MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $313,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $318,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $324,000 Global MLS
- 2022-04-08 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-11-17 Listed $37,900 Global MLS
- 2018-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $500 Public Records
- 2017-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $500 Public Records
- 2006-08-16 Sold (MLS) $18,500 Global MLS
- 2006-07-11 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2006-04-25 Listed $21,000 Global MLS
- 2003-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-31 Sold (MLS) $32,600 Global MLS
- 2003-10-16 Listed $50,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2020): $906 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…