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1208 Cale Rd
B+ Composite 76.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$81,700

1208 Cale Rd · Prescott, AR 71857
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,411 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1967 0.41 ac lot $58/sqft · 15% below area Est $97k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell at $84,500, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a . 41-acre lot in Prescott, AR and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The spacious lot offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy extra privacy. This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.

Key facts

  • .41-acre lot
  • Blank canvas
  • Extra privacy

Tags

.41-ACRE LOTROOM TO EXPANDEXTRA PRIVACYBLANK CANVAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#130 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Prescott School District (town): math 16% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 238 in AR (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Prescott Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 454 statewide, top 82%, 378 students, 100% FRL); Prescott Junior High School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #184 of 201 statewide, top 92%, 249 students, 100% FRL); Prescott High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 292 statewide, top 89%, 311 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 69% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $565 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nevada County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $82k implies a 381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $71,896 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.96%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,540
List price
$81,700
Delta
-15.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Elizabeth St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,613 (+14%) 11mo $110,000 $68 60
860 Ash St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-6%) 10mo $30,000 $23 56
625 E Main 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,362 (-4%) 11mo $100,000 $73 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$9,549
Equity at exit
$13,234
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$37,210
Equity at exit
$8,885

Cash invested: $22,876 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71857

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$428
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $726/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $662
Max offer price $81,700
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $366 +0% $342 +5% $319 +10% $296
Rent -10% $256 -5% $299 +0% $342 +5% $386 +10% $429
Rate -1.0pp $384 -0.5pp $363 base $342 +0.5pp $321 +1.0pp $300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,425
Closing costs
$2,451
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $81,700 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $81,700 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $81,700 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $81,700 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $81,700 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $81,700 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $81,700 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $81,700 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $81,700 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $81,700 Active 141 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $81,700 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $81,700 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $81,700 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $81,700 Active 135 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $81,700 Active 134 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $81,700 Active 133 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $81,700 Active 132 DOM
  18. 2026-04-07
    price $81,700 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Priced to sell at $84,500, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a . 41-acre lot in Prescott, AR and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The spacious lot offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy extra privacy. This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.

  19. 2026-01-18
    listed $84,500 New Listing 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Priced to sell at $84,500, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a . 41-acre lot in Prescott, AR and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The spacious lot offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy extra privacy. This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.

  20. 2015-01-30
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$726 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$726 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,145
− Mortgage interest
−$4,576
− Property taxes
−$726
− Insurance
−$408
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,052
− Management
−$1,052
− Depreciation
−$2,377
Taxable income
$2,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$3,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prescott School District
NCES district ID
0511820
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$34,757
Composite
14.38/100
National rank
#9435
State rank
#218 of 238 in AR

Livability — Prescott

Score
66/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#12044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prescott, AR
Population (ZIP)
5,569

Population outlook (Nevada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,890 people
By 2030
7,473 · -5.3%
By 2040
6,681 · -15.3%
By 2050
6,034 · -23.5%
By 2075
5,068 · -35.8%
By 2100
4,689 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Hungarian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Nevada

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-23.5pp toward R · 2008: -16.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+16.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.71%
Current HPI
175.9236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+380.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $81,700 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Listed $84,500 CARMLS
  • 2015-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $726 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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