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426 N 2nd Ave
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,500

426 N 2nd Ave · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Other public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1891 9,300 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a fixer-upper? This home is waiting to be revitalized. Newer 100amp service. Replacement windows. Carrier furnace. A. O. Smith water heater. Unusual kitchen area with a Butler's pantry. .. no counter tops. Level yard. .. fence needs some care. Deck on the rear. The roof needs attention.

Key facts

  • 100amp service
  • Level yard
  • Butler's pantry

Tags

100AMP SERVICEREPLACEMENT WINDOWSCARRIER FURNACEA.O.SMITH WATER HEATERBUTLER'S PANTRYLEVEL YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-2; Subdivision: E.P. Thompson; Directions: East Ash to North on 2nd Ave; Listing status: Active

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Not new construction; Built in 1891
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Original construction date 1891; Building area reported as 896
  • Exterior features: Fenced lot; Level lot; Private road access (60 x 155 lot dimensions); Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with hardwood flooring (approx. 13 x 9)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms: one on the main level (approx. 15 x 11, carpet), two on the upper level (approx. 15 x 13 hardwood; 15 x 11 carpet)
  • Flooring: Carpet in several rooms; Hardwood in kitchen and one upper-level bedroom; Vinyl in laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; No fireplaces; No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with vinyl flooring (approx. 7 x 8)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $779 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 44.4% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,132 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.90%
Cap rate
44.43%
Cash-on-cash
136.21%
DSCR
7.06
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.65×
Total profit
$45,643
Equity at exit
$3,653
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.11×
Total profit
$103,680
Equity at exit
$2,118

Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$128
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $368/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$779

Break-even live

Break-even rent $214
Max offer price $24,500
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $796 -5% $787 +0% $779 +5% $770 +10% $762
Rent -10% $684 -5% $731 +0% $779 +5% $826 +10% $873
Rate -1.0pp $791 -0.5pp $785 base $779 +0.5pp $772 +1.0pp $766

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,125
Closing costs
$735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $1,200 $1.74 14d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $24,500 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,500 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,500 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,500 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,500 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,500 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $24,500 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,500 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $24,500 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-22
    listed $29,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$1,372
− Property taxes
−$368
− Insurance
−$122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$713
Taxable income
$9,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,285
After-tax cash flow
$7,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $29,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,511 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…