🏗️ New Construction
Freeport+ Plan · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$304,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Meet the Freeport+, a spacious and thoughtfully designed 1,489 sq. ft. one-story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. This open-concept layout with plenty of windows and a vaulted ceiling is built for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a large counter overlooking the gathering room, making it easy to host, help with homework, or stay connected while preparing meals. The seamless flow creates a bright and welcoming main living space everyone will love. The private primary suite is tucked away for added comfort, complete with a walk-in closet and en-suite shower for your own personal retreat.
Key facts
- En-suite shower
- Large counter
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-243 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (9.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (21.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Marine Science Education Center (31 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 295 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.37%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,000
- List price
- $304,900
- Delta
- -1.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14266 Tack Room Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (+9%) | 0mo | $350,785 | $217 | 79 |
| 5394 Horseback Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,287 (-14%) | 0mo | $287,000 | $223 | 68 |
| 5173 Bellbrooke Pkwy | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,541 (+4%) | 15mo | $298,496 | $194 | 61 |
| 14361 Firebird Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (+15%) | 0mo | $319,000 | $186 | 46 |
| 5110 Conference Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,707 (+15%) | 3mo | $303,990 | $178 | 46 |
| 14310 Creekbluff Way | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,306 (-12%) | 10mo | $287,990 | $221 | 44 |
| 5160 Bellbrooke Pkwy | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (-14%) | 12mo | $284,990 | $222 | 44 |
| 14346 Creekbluff Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (+15%) | 10mo | $321,500 | $188 | 40 |
| 14335 Creekbluff Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (+15%) | 13mo | $345,000 | $202 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-17,921
- Equity at exit
- $97,056
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $12,866
- Equity at exit
- $122,444
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 25.2 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $299,900 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 114 d
- This list price
- 57% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32234
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$388 /mo · $4,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $-243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-29 | -5% $-136 | +0% $-243 | +5% $-351 | +10% $-458 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-433 | -5% $-338 | +0% $-243 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-54 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-87 | -0.5pp $-165 | base $-243 | +0.5pp $-324 | +1.0pp $-406 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3037 John Hancock Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1394 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 11d | 4 | 0.66mi |
| 5450 Normandy Acres Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 46d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $304,900
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- New construction planListed as Freeport+ plan
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,489
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Plan: Freeport+
Listing history 46 events
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2026-08-08days on market $304,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $304,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $304,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $304,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $304,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $304,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $304,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $304,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $304,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $304,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $304,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $304,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $304,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $304,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $304,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $304,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $304,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $304,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $304,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $304,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $304,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $304,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $304,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $304,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $304,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $304,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $304,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $304,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $304,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $304,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $304,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $304,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $304,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $304,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $304,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $304,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $304,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $304,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $304,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $304,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $304,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $304,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $304,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $304,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $304,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $304,900 Active 45 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$4,650
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,307
- − Management
- −$2,307
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$8,355
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $-917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, single-story home with a spacious layout and modern finishes is ready for immediate occupancy and can be easily enhanced with minor exterior updates to boost its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,013,010 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,678
- Household income
- $87,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 33% of renters
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Current HPI
- 288.4613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…