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2725 E Fir St #88
B+ Composite 78.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

2725 E Fir St #88 · Mount Vernon, WA 98273
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,142 sqft · Manufactured public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1979 $52/sqft · 36% below area Est $93k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Park Village! Check out this cozy, surprisingly spacious park home in a quiet 55+ gated community in Mount Vernon offering a comfortable, low maintenance lifestyle with a clubhouse and amenities. This 2 bedroom, 1.75-bath offers comfort, convenience and a few updates. The primary bedroom features a large walk-in closet providing plenty of storage space. You'll stay comfortable with an AC split in the living room. Newer energy-efficient insulation was installed underneath the home and a new roof was completed last year for added peace of mind. Outside you'll find covered parking and a handy work shed that provides extra storage or space for projects. The nice covered deck is per

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • New roof
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW CARPETENERGY EFFICIENT INSULATIONCOVERED PARKING SPACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.1% vs local median 2.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in WA, #2,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
  • Mount Vernon School District (urban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 291 in WA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $60k implies a 644% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $55,930 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.51%
Cap rate
32.14%
Cash-on-cash
92.31%
DSCR
5.11
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,488
List price
$59,500
Delta
-36.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2725 E Fir St #15 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 3mo $97,000 $84 94
2725 E Fir #43 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 9mo $64,000 $56 90
2725 E Fir St #110 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 12mo $55,000 $48 89
2725 E Fir St #51 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 16mo $80,000 $69 85
2725 E Fir St #103 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+1%) 18mo $75,000 $65 83
2725 E Fir St #41 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+9%) 1mo $85,000 $68 83
2725 E Fir St #100 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+1%) 16mo $69,300 $60 80
2725 E Fir #61 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,212 (+6%) 16mo $150,000 $124 75
2725 Fir St #22 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 10mo $75,500 $59 73
2725 E Fir St #84 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,280 (+12%) 10mo $122,000 $95 71
1915 N 33rd Pl 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,274 (+12%) 4mo $399,000 $313 46
1905 N 33rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,274 (+12%) 9mo $480,000 $377 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.3%
Equity multiple
5.24×
Total profit
$70,587
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
95.0%
Equity multiple
10.66×
Total profit
$160,924
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98273

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,091 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $401/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$1,282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $469
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,315 -5% $1,298 +0% $1,282 +5% $1,265 +10% $1,248
Rent -10% $1,116 -5% $1,199 +0% $1,282 +5% $1,364 +10% $1,447
Rate -1.0pp $1,312 -0.5pp $1,297 base $1,282 +0.5pp $1,266 +1.0pp $1,250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 N 26th St Mount Vernon, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0 807 $1,755 $2.17 22d 8 0.32mi
1115 Nylin Ct Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1032 $2,500 $2.42 45d 1 0.50mi
3316 E College Way Unit A Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 916 $2,000 $2.18 45d 1 0.53mi
1516 N 19th St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,795 $2.11 22d 1 0.62mi
119 N 29th Pl Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1098 $2,700 $2.46 45d 1 0.62mi
130 Stanford Dr Unit C Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 45d 1 0.74mi
1508 N Waugh Rd Apt B Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 1021 $2,300 $2.25 22d 1 0.74mi
3129 Arbor St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.0 1244 $2,600 $2.09 22d 1 1.16mi
1011 E Division St Unit 103 Mount Vernon, WA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 45d 1 1.18mi
115 E Cedar St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 45d 1 1.32mi
2430 W Meadow Blvd Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 45d 1 1.33mi
1002 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 1052 $2,575 $2.45 22d 1 1.37mi
1511 Shirley Pl Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 936 $2,250 $2.40 45d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,500 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,500 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,500 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,500 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,500 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,500 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,500 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,500 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $59,500 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 63 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 62 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 61 DOM
  18. 2026-04-29
    price $64,900
  19. 2026-03-30
    listed $72,000 Active
  20. 2012-09-07
    soldstatus $8,000 Sold
  21. 2012-09-05
    status Pending
  22. 2012-07-27
    status Active
  23. 2012-07-26
    historical
  24. 2012-07-26
    listed $14,000 Active
  25. 2011-03-04
    soldstatus $16,000 Sold
  26. 2011-02-25
    status Pending
  27. 2010-07-07
    price $21,500
  28. 2010-04-14
    price $28,500
  29. 2009-07-15
    price $36,500
  30. 2009-06-01
    status
  31. 2009-06-01
    historical
  32. 2009-02-26
    price $38,500
  33. 2009-01-15
    listed $39,500
  34. 2005-10-07
    soldstatus $46,500
  35. 2005-08-10
    listed $47,500
  36. 2003-09-22
    soldstatus $42,000
  37. 2003-07-01
    listed $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$401 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$583 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$182/yr (+$15/mo · 45.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥81°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,091
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$401
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,007
− Management
−$2,007
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$15,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,675
After-tax cash flow
$11,703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon School District
NCES district ID
5305400
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,829
Composite
40.14/100
National rank
#7848
State rank
#189 of 291 in WA

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
79/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#2120

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, WA
County
Skagit County · 118,108 people
City population
48,861
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
Population (ZIP)
30,001
Household income
$76,717
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
1045.0

Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,498 people
By 2030
135,556 · +3.1%
By 2040
141,717 · +7.8%
By 2050
145,714 · +10.8%
By 2075
152,201 · +15.7%
By 2100
147,980 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Skagit

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -525.00%
Current HPI
395.3742
Rent YoY
▲ 2.33%
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $64,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $72,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-07 Sold (MLS) $8,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-05 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-27 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-26 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-26 Listed $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-03-04 Sold (MLS) $16,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-02-25 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-07 Price Changed $21,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-14 Price Changed $28,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-15 Price Changed $36,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-01 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-01 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-26 Price Changed $38,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-15 Listed $39,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-07 Sold (MLS) $46,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-10 Listed $47,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-22 Sold (MLS) $42,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-07-01 Listed $44,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2013): $401 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…