7106 Durango Dr · The Woodlands, TX 77354

$369,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,468 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1999 0.28 ac lot Est $484k · 24% under $30/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.3/30.0
• Livability +4.5/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.4/10.0
• DSCR +0.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

4 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH IN WOODLAND OAKS WITH SPLIT PLAN, ALL BEDROOMS AND SPACIOUS GAMEROOM UP, HUGE UTILITY RM DOWN (14x6; HUGE BACKYARD FOR ENTERTAINING; MINUTES FROM SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• Remodeled home
• 0.28 acre lot

Tags

• REMODELED HOME
• WOOD-LOOK LAMINATE FLOORING
• STYLISH WHITE KITCHEN
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• OVERSIZED WALK-IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Woodland Oaks POA/CKM; Annual association fee of $360; Community amenities: pool, tennis courts, basketball court, sport court, pickleball, playground, park, picnic area

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with door opener
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Association pool; Road surfaced with asphalt
• Home design: Residential property; Faces south
• Construction: Built in 1999; Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Deck; Tennis courts (association); Subdivision setting

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Oven; Garbage disposal
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (15x15); Bedroom on second floor (15x10); Bedroom on second floor (13x12); Bedroom on second floor (12x12)
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Primary bathroom (9x9)
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; High ceilings; Primary bathroom; Tub with shower; Walk-in pantry; Ceiling fans
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility room on first floor (14x7)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $369k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-654 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (31.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (35.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $237k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.3% in The Woodlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in TX, #47 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
• Magnolia ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #247 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Tom R Ellisor El (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,243 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 492 students, 40% FRL); Bear Branch J H (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 1,076 students, 37% FRL); Magnolia H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 2,248 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1604 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $236,994 (35.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.64% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.17%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.59%
• DSCR: 0.66
• GRM: 13.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $483,728
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7106 Durango Dr	0.00mi	4/2.5	2,468 (0%)	0mo	$369,000	$150	100
6811 Woodland Oaks	0.29mi	4/2.5	2,546 (+3%)	2mo	$499,900	$196	79
6919 Hayden Dr	0.14mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,322 (-6%)	3mo	$425,000	$183	74
1023 Carson Dr	0.23mi	4/2.5	2,616 (+6%)	10mo	$309,500	$118	71
6627 Woodland Oaks	0.53mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,276 (-8%)	0mo	$305,000	$134	57
40108 Cimarron Way	0.51mi	4/2.5	2,702 (+10%)	6mo	$605,500	$224	56
40218 De Sota Rd	0.30mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,176 (-12%)	10mo	$629,000	$289	53
7226 Basque Country Dr	0.38mi	4/2.0	2,124 (-14%)	8mo	$295,000	$139	50
6702 Brown Bark	0.55mi	4/3.0	2,787 (+13%)	1mo	$730,000	$262	50
40317 De Sota Rd	0.39mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,156 (-13%)	5mo	$499,999	$232	50
8714 Linn Ln	0.71mi	4/3.5	2,695 (+9%)	3mo	$799,999	$297	45
6718 Durango Creek Dr	0.72mi	4/2.5	2,214 (-10%)	7mo	$324,999	$147	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.48×
• Total profit: $153,131
• Equity at exit: $332,424

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.57×
• Total profit: $472,430
• Equity at exit: $716,886

Cash invested: $103,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77354

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 1604
• Price-to-rent: 13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,370 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,935
• Tax from tax record: −$407 /mo · $4,885/yr
• Insurance: −$154
• HOA: −$30
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$498
• Net cashflow: $-654

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,197

Max offer price $253,526

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $92,250
• Closing costs: $11,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7210 Alava Dr Magnolia, TX	4.0	3.0	2031	$2,235	$1.10	43d	1	0.35mi
33200 Forest West St Magnolia, TX	1.0–3.0	1.5–2.5	1307	$4,065	$3.11	1d	22	0.61mi
33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,345	$1.24	22d	1	1.47mi
33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,345	$1.24	17d	1	1.47mi
33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	3.0–4.0	2.5	1812	$2,270	$1.25	5d	7	1.47mi
33139 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,270	$1.20	5d	1	1.47mi
33123 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,270	$1.20	5d	1	1.49mi
33130 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,270	$1.20	5d	1	1.49mi
33150 Willow Heights Ln Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,270	$1.20	5d	1	1.49mi
33146 Willow Heights Ln Magnolia, TX	4.0	2.5	1896	$2,270	$1.20	5d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $30 · $360/yr

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-04
   days on market $369,000 Pending 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   days on market $369,000 Pending 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $369,000 Pending 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   status $369,000 Pending 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   days on market $369,000 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $369,000 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-05-26
   listed $369,000 Active
8. 2012-07-02
   soldstatus
9. 2012-06-22
   soldstatus 186-char remark

   Show marketing remark (186 chars)

   4 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH IN WOODLAND OAKS WITH SPLIT PLAN, ALL BEDROOMS AND SPACIOUS GAMEROOM UP, HUGE UTILITY RM DOWN (14x6; HUGE BACKYARD FOR ENTERTAINING; MINUTES FROM SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

10. 2012-05-03
    historical 186-char remark

    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    4 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH IN WOODLAND OAKS WITH SPLIT PLAN, ALL BEDROOMS AND SPACIOUS GAMEROOM UP, HUGE UTILITY RM DOWN (14x6; HUGE BACKYARD FOR ENTERTAINING; MINUTES FROM SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

11. 2012-04-12
    listed $108,800 186-char remark

    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    4 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH IN WOODLAND OAKS WITH SPLIT PLAN, ALL BEDROOMS AND SPACIOUS GAMEROOM UP, HUGE UTILITY RM DOWN (14x6; HUGE BACKYARD FOR ENTERTAINING; MINUTES FROM SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS

12. 2006-07-10
    soldstatus
13. 2005-08-30
    historical
14. 2005-08-02
    listed $149,000
15. 2005-01-13
    historical
16. 2004-08-02
    listed $149,999
17. 2004-08-02
    historical
18. 2004-08-02
    listed $155,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,885 · $407/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,753 · $563/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,868/yr (+$156/mo · 38.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,439
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,670
• − Property taxes: −$4,885
• − Insurance: −$1,845
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,275
• − Management: −$2,275
• − HOA: −$360
• − Depreciation: −$10,735
• Taxable loss: −$14,605
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,505
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Magnolia ISD
• NCES district ID: 4828740
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $71,692
• Composite: 39.46/100
• National rank: #3958
• State rank: #247 of 826 in TX

Livability — The Woodlands

• Score: 91/100
• State rank: #1
• US rank: #47

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Montgomery County · 663,713 people
• City population: 106,505
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 44,900
• Household income: $112,504
• Rent vs Own: 20.1% rent · 79.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 586.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 713,896 people
• By 2030: 805,263 · +12.8%
• By 2040: 992,708 · +39.1%
• By 2050: 1,179,590 · +65.2%
• By 2075: 1,628,084 · +128.1%
• By 2100: 1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 12.09%
• Current HPI: 512.87
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.32%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+146.0% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $369,000 HARMLS
• 2012-07-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2012-05-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2012-04-12 Listed $108,800 HARMLS
• 2006-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-08-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2005-08-02 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
• 2005-01-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2004-08-02 Listed $155,500 HARMLS
• 2004-08-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2004-08-02 Listed $149,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,885 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.