1652 Kenton St · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming Cape Cod home. Discover comfort and style as you enter through the front door with a spacious living and dining room combo that is perfect for entertaining. The 1139 sq ft home features a 3 bedroom and 2 full bath. Updates from the renovation in June 2021 include; roof, windows, drywall, paint, plumbing, electrical system, countertops, refurbished cabinets and backsplash, flooring and both full baths were completed. The home features 1 bedroom and bath on the main level and 2 beds and a full bath on the 2nd level. The home consist of 3 walk-in closets upstairs; two of them are finished with natural light and could be a fun kids space or additional storage. Outside is a large backyard with a detached one car garage. This is a wonderful and affordable home for first time home buyers or someone looking for that private 1st floor bedroom. Move in and start making memories and less worry about repairs. Call for your showing today.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Walk-in closets
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $89k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.19%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $121,472
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -1.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1005 Burt St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,085 (-5%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $117 | 77 |
| 1806 N Sweetbriar Ln | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $133 | 69 |
| 908 Pine St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+4%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $58 | 66 |
| 1111 Lafayete Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-7%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 2222 Kenton St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (+8%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $114 | 61 |
| 920 Elder St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,184 (+4%) | 3mo | $42,500 | $36 | 59 |
| 2222 Kenton St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,226 (+8%) | 4mo | $77,500 | $63 | 55 |
| 1630 S Sweetbriar Ln | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (-6%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 1024 Elder St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+9%) | 4mo | $33,334 | $27 | 50 |
| 1633 N Sweetbriar Ln | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $149 | 50 |
| 1716 N Sweetbriar Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 4mo | $161,000 | $160 | 49 |
| 2434 Irwin Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 4mo | $107,500 | $107 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,417
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,862
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45505
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,223 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Ludlow Ave Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 830 Oak St Unit 830 Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 421 Catherine St Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 313 E Rose St Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1306 S Limestone St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 18 E Grand Ave Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,575 | $1.08 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-05-10price $120,000 965-char remark
Show marketing remark (965 chars)
Welcome to this charming Cape Cod home. Discover comfort and style as you enter through the front door with a spacious living and dining room combo that is perfect for entertaining. The 1139 sq ft home features a 3 bedroom and 2 full bath. Updates from the renovation in June 2021 include; roof, windows, drywall, paint, plumbing, electrical system, countertops, refurbished cabinets and backsplash, flooring and both full baths were completed. The home features 1 bedroom and bath on the main level and 2 beds and a full bath on the 2nd level. The home consist of 3 walk-in closets upstairs; two of them are finished with natural light and could be a fun kids space or additional storage. Outside is a large backyard with a detached one car garage. This is a wonderful and affordable home for first time home buyers or someone looking for that private 1st floor bedroom. Move in and start making memories and less worry about repairs. Call for your showing today.
-
2026-02-04price $139,900 965-char remark
Show marketing remark (965 chars)
Welcome to this charming Cape Cod home. Discover comfort and style as you enter through the front door with a spacious living and dining room combo that is perfect for entertaining. The 1139 sq ft home features a 3 bedroom and 2 full bath. Updates from the renovation in June 2021 include; roof, windows, drywall, paint, plumbing, electrical system, countertops, refurbished cabinets and backsplash, flooring and both full baths were completed. The home features 1 bedroom and bath on the main level and 2 beds and a full bath on the 2nd level. The home consist of 3 walk-in closets upstairs; two of them are finished with natural light and could be a fun kids space or additional storage. Outside is a large backyard with a detached one car garage. This is a wonderful and affordable home for first time home buyers or someone looking for that private 1st floor bedroom. Move in and start making memories and less worry about repairs. Call for your showing today.
-
2026-01-10$145,000 Active 965-char remark
Show marketing remark (965 chars)
Welcome to this charming Cape Cod home. Discover comfort and style as you enter through the front door with a spacious living and dining room combo that is perfect for entertaining. The 1139 sq ft home features a 3 bedroom and 2 full bath. Updates from the renovation in June 2021 include; roof, windows, drywall, paint, plumbing, electrical system, countertops, refurbished cabinets and backsplash, flooring and both full baths were completed. The home features 1 bedroom and bath on the main level and 2 beds and a full bath on the 2nd level. The home consist of 3 walk-in closets upstairs; two of them are finished with natural light and could be a fun kids space or additional storage. Outside is a large backyard with a detached one car garage. This is a wonderful and affordable home for first time home buyers or someone looking for that private 1st floor bedroom. Move in and start making memories and less worry about repairs. Call for your showing today.
-
2022-03-30soldstatus $89,000
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2021-11-18historical
-
2021-11-18historical
-
2021-10-19price $101,000
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2021-10-18price $101,000
-
2021-10-04$105,000 Active
-
2021-10-04$105,000 Active
-
2004-08-02soldstatus $79,900
-
2000-05-01soldstatus $69,500
-
1994-11-02soldstatus $54,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,620 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$252/yr (+$21/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,368
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,175
- − Management
- −$1,175
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark County · 33,261 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,826
- Household income
- $43,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 950.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.16%
- Current HPI
- 258.9037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+120.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $120,000 WRIST
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $139,900 WRIST
- 2026-01-10 Listed $145,000 WRIST
- 2022-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-18 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-11-18 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2021-10-19 Price Changed $101,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-18 Price Changed $101,000 WRIST
- 2021-10-04 Listed $105,000 WRIST
- 2021-10-04 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS
- 2004-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2000-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
- 1994-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,368 · +398.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…