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16 Kalmia Dr
A- Composite 81.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$65,000

16 Kalmia Dr · Duluth, MN 55810
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Grab your toothbrush and clothes and move right into this 2 bedroom, 1 bath home located in Zenith Terrace. This home comes fully furnished including the all the furniture, Tv's all appliances, pots and pans, dishes, etc. You name it . .. it's there and ready for you. It even include all the tools in the shed plus the lawnmower and snow blower. Call today for a showing and make it yours!

Key facts

  • All appliances
  • Fully furnished
  • Built 1999

Tags

FULLY FURNISHEDALL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed ($379); Land lease payment ($598)

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Above-grade finished area: 924
  • Exterior features: Lot is leased

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Proctor Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #177 of 301 in MN (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.12%
Cash-on-cash
24.39%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,064
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2 Dewberry Ln 0.16mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 2mo $29,000 $35 76
21 Oak St 0.49mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 6mo $170,000 $184 72
121 Oak St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 934 (+1%) 3mo $220,000 $236 63
9202 Meadow St 0.50mi 2/1.0 836 (-10%) 20mo $201,000 $240 44
8218 Vinland St 0.67mi 2/1.5 809 (-12%) 7mo $252,100 $312 40
145 2nd St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+14%) 19mo $217,900 $206 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$58,981
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
9.53×
Total profit
$155,190
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55810

Home prices YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $392 +0% $370 +5% $348 +10% $325
Rent -10% $288 -5% $329 +0% $370 +5% $411 +10% $452
Rate -1.0pp $403 -0.5pp $387 base $370 +0.5pp $353 +1.0pp $336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 392-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $65,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,443
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$869
After-tax cash flow
$3,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready with a fresh paint job and some minor repairs, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear and tear visible.
  • Minor Bathroom walls — Some discoloration present.
  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration noted.
  • Minor Living room carpet — Some wear and tear visible.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint touch-ups and freshening of interior decor — Fresh paint and updated decor can enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly improve the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear and tear visible. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom walls · Some discoloration present. Minor $500–3,000
Exterior siding · Some discoloration noted. Minor $500–3,000
Living room carpet · Some wear and tear visible. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint touch-ups and freshening of interior decor — Fresh paint and updated decor can enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly improve the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Proctor Public School District
NCES district ID
2730090
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,151
Composite
38.84/100
National rank
#4106
State rank
#177 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
City population
71,097
Population (ZIP)
8,305

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.59%
Current HPI
515.02
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $65,000 LSAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…