16 Kalmia Dr · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Grab your toothbrush and clothes and move right into this 2 bedroom, 1 bath home located in Zenith Terrace. This home comes fully furnished including the all the furniture, Tv's all appliances, pots and pans, dishes, etc. You name it . .. it's there and ready for you. It even include all the tools in the shed plus the lawnmower and snow blower. Call today for a showing and make it yours!
Key facts
- All appliances
- Fully furnished
- Built 1999
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax listed ($379); Land lease payment ($598)
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
- Construction: Above-grade finished area: 924
- Exterior features: Lot is leased
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Proctor Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #177 of 301 in MN (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.39%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,064
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dewberry Ln | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 2mo | $29,000 | $35 | 76 |
| 21 Oak St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $184 | 72 |
| 121 Oak St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 934 (+1%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $236 | 63 |
| 9202 Meadow St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (-10%) | 20mo | $201,000 | $240 | 44 |
| 8218 Vinland St | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 | 809 (-12%) | 7mo | $252,100 | $312 | 40 |
| 145 2nd St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 19mo | $217,900 | $206 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $58,981
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.53×
- Total profit
- $155,190
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55810
- Home prices YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $415 | -5% $392 | +0% $370 | +5% $348 | +10% $325 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $288 | -5% $329 | +0% $370 | +5% $411 | +10% $452 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $387 | base $370 | +0.5pp $353 | +1.0pp $336 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 392-char remark
-
2026-06-07$65,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,621
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready with a fresh paint job and some minor repairs, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear and tear visible.
- Minor Bathroom walls — Some discoloration present.
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration noted.
- Minor Living room carpet — Some wear and tear visible.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint touch-ups and freshening of interior decor — Fresh paint and updated decor can enhance both resale and rental value.
- Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly improve the home's appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear and tear visible. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom walls · Some discoloration present. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Some discoloration noted. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Living room carpet · Some wear and tear visible. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint touch-ups and freshening of interior decor — Fresh paint and updated decor can enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly improve the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Proctor Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2730090
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,151
- Composite
- 38.84/100
- National rank
- #4106
- State rank
- #177 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- City population
- 71,097
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,305
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.59%
- Current HPI
- 515.02
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $65,000 LSAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…