2097 Dalis Dr #79 · Concord, CA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Explore this newly remodeled 1972 home in Dalis Garden, a charming community. Discover a beautifully updated home with approximately 1,320 square feet of space, featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The interior and exterior are freshly painted. As you step inside, you'll find a spacious living room with displayed cabinets and new laminate flooring. The kitchen is equipped with a refrigerator, new cooktop, cabinets, oven, new dishwasher and laminate flooring. Both bedrooms have closets and laminate flooring. The master bathroom offers double sinks, laminate flooring, and a new tub and shower. The guest bathroom includes laminate flooring and a shower. Additionally, the home comes with a washer and dryer, along with a shed for extra storage. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, recreational facilities, and more. This is a senior community, so dont miss out. Stop By Today!
Key facts
- Displayed cabinets
- Freshly painted
- Equipped kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: ILT (In Lieu of Tax)
- HOA & community: Club house; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Assigned space number 79; Space rent $1,326
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family style mobile/manufactured home (park model)
- Construction: Assessor-provided living area: 1,320
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Senior community (55+); Leased land (park home site)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double sinks; Shower and tub; Stall shower
- Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Dining area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.8% in Concord — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#397 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Mt. Diablo Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #202 of 517 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.79%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Dalis Dr #87 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $130 | 82 |
| 2161 Dalis Dr #107 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $100 | 81 |
| 2122 Dalis Dr #236 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 3mo | $217,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 2006 Dalis Dr #256 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+2%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $148 | 78 |
| 2259 Dalis Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $104 | 75 |
| 2227 Dalis Dr #159 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 4mo | $129,950 | $90 | 75 |
| 2110 Dalis #238 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $111 | 74 |
| 1027 Peralta Rd #12 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 2019 Dalis Dr #42 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 83 A St | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $180 | 65 |
| 2137 Dalis Dr #95 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,500 (+14%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 2031 Dalis Dr #48 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+13%) | 6mo | $218,000 | $147 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,796
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $54,910
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94518
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,622 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2069 Olivera Rd Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,450 | $2.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2007 Olivera Rd Unit C Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,700 | $2.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2225 Hillsborough Ct Apt 2 Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2838 Loma Vista Ave Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,995 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2451 Olivera Rd Concord, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $2,475 | $3.04 | 2d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 3412 Flamingo Dr #3410 Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $4,000 | $3.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2756 Argyll Ave Unit C Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3378 Moretti Dr Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $3,695 | $2.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$199,900 Active 187 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,797
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,517
- − Management
- −$2,517
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $4,623
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,109
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt. Diablo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626370
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,494
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4401
- State rank
- #202 of 517 in CA
Livability — Concord
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #13519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Concord, CA
- County
- Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
- City population
- 125,693
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,345
- Household income
- $112,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1071.0
Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,287,720 people
- By 2030
- 1,364,937 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 1,506,209 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 1,624,373 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,853,193 · +43.9%
- By 2100
- 1,901,231 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 18% Asian 13% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -817.60%
- Current HPI
- 149.0257
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — MLSListings
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — MLSListings
- 2025-11-23 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-11-23 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2025-11-23 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2025-05-22 Listed $199,900 MLSListings
- 2025-05-22 Listed $199,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2006-02-18 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…