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19609 Syracuse St
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$31,800

19609 Syracuse St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1951 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to buy this 1 1/4 story style fixer upper located in Detroit, MI and siting on a . 08 acre lot. The interior has 1014 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom plus a full basement.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Road frontage: Other; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 108 (0.08 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Three total rooms; Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $776 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Cap rate 35.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,335/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $220 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $954 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $31,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.20%
Cap rate
35.58%
Cash-on-cash
104.58%
DSCR
5.65
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19608 Buffalo St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-1%) 1mo $68,000 $67 94
3191 E Outer Dr 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,072 (+5%) 6mo $79,500 $74 75
19416 Lamont St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,065 (+4%) 1mo $9,000 $8 70
19610 Conley St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 0mo $80,000 $71 69
19442 Moenart St 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,145 (+12%) 2mo $74,999 $66 67
19672 Justine St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+2%) 2mo $47,500 $45 64
19392 Justine St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 3mo $45,000 $45 64
19366 Fenelon St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,108 (+8%) 4mo $70,000 $63 63
19437 Conley St 0.35mi 3/1.0 912 (-11%) 4mo $28,500 $31 62
19451 Conley St 0.35mi 3/1.0 900 (-12%) 3mo $54,000 $60 61
19235 Lamont St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-6%) 1mo $40,000 $42 61
20059 Bloom St 0.37mi 3/1.0 911 (-11%) 4mo $90,000 $99 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$49,511
Equity at exit
$4,741
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.59×
Total profit
$129,954
Equity at exit
$2,749

Cash invested: $8,904 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$167
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,188/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$776

Break-even live

Break-even rent $353
Max offer price $31,800
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,950
Closing costs
$954
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 0.17mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 0.27mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 0.28mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 17d 1 0.35mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 0.41mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 17d 1 0.45mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 44d 1 0.45mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 22d 1 0.45mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.46mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 17d 1 0.48mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 2d 1 0.48mi
18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,200 $0.82 44d 1 0.60mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 44d 1 0.80mi
19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 5d 1 0.87mi
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,394 $1.13 44d 1 0.91mi
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.92mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 0.94mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 0.95mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 0.97mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,595 $1.38 44d 1 1.00mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,595 $1.38 2d 1 1.00mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 44d 1 1.00mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.09mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 24d 1 1.11mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.12mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 1.14mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 1.20mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 11d 1 1.23mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 1.25mi
7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 911 $1,274 $1.40 44d 1 1.30mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 22d 1 1.46mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,198 $1.43 44d 1 1.46mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 1.48mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.48mi
7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 703 $1,200 $1.71 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $31,800 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $31,800 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $31,800 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $31,800 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $31,800 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $31,800 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $31,800 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $31,800 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $31,800 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 196-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $31,800 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,188 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,188 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,025
− Mortgage interest
−$1,781
− Property taxes
−$1,188
− Insurance
−$159
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$925
Taxable income
$9,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,258
After-tax cash flow
$7,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $31,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $31,800 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,188 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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