6464 Ridge Rd · East Brewton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on approximately 1 acre, offering a great balance of space and recent updates. The property features an attached single-car carport with a convenient laundry area, along with a newly built back deck that provides a great spot to relax or entertain. Inside, the home has been updated with new vinyl flooring throughout, creating a fresh and low-maintenance living space. Additional improvements include new wood siding and a new metal roof, giving peace of mind for years to come. A new HVAC system will be installed prior to closing, adding even more value for the next owner. If you’re looking for a move-in ready home with acreage and key upgrades already co
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Laundry area
- New wood siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#174 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.38%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,066
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,018
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36426
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $251 | +0% $213 | +5% $176 | +10% $138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $165 | +0% $213 | +5% $262 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $241 | base $213 | +0.5pp $185 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $109,000
-
2026-04-10$129,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,174
- − Management
- −$1,174
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,348/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready home features recent updates, including new vinyl flooring, wood siding, and a metal roof, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property value and attracts potential buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property value and attracts potential buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia County
- NCES district ID
- 0101350
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,905
- Composite
- 22.73/100
- National rank
- #8036
- State rank
- #83 of 129 in AL
Livability — East Brewton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #14964
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,049
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,683 people
- By 2030
- 35,844 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 34,393 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 33,109 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,305 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 21,091 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.44%
- Current HPI
- 294.97
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-15.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $109,000 BCAR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,000 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…