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B- Composite 69.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1435 Covington Ave · Piqua, OH 45356
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,846 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1947 10,018 sqft lot ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Pool
  • Built 1947

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 4.7% in Piqua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#887 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Piqua City (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #482 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.54%
Cap rate
22.35%
Cash-on-cash
57.36%
DSCR
3.55
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$228,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1245 Severs 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,736 (-6%) 5mo $239,900 $138 64
1111 Marwood Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,980 (+7%) 6mo $308,000 $156 54
1200 W High St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,764 (-4%) 7mo $239,900 $136 52
806 Candlewood Blvd 0.62mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,970 (+7%) 4mo $207,500 $105 48
1231 Marwood Dr 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,612 (-13%) 12mo $230,000 $143 45
215 Levering Dr 0.48mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,641 (-11%) 8mo $179,000 $109 44
904 Mckinley Ave 0.65mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,972 (+7%) 10mo $190,000 $96 39
1605 Margene Dr 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (-14%) 16mo $169,500 $107 38
1306 Maplewood Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (-7%) 16mo $259,000 $150 38
834 Young St 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,016 (+9%) 13mo $250,000 $124 38
1800 New Haven Rd 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,648 (-11%) 11mo $180,000 $109 31
605 Brice Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,632 (-12%) 19mo $185,000 $113 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$34,533
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
60.9%
Equity multiple
7.07×
Total profit
$85,005
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45356

Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $620/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$669

Break-even live

Break-even rent $424
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
918 W Greene St Piqua, OH 2.0 1.5 1270 $900 $0.71 14d 1 0.89mi
519 Ann St Piqua, OH 3.0 1.0 1388 $1,300 $0.94 2d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2021-04-05
    soldstatus $42,000 Closed 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  2. 2021-04-05
    soldstatus $42,000 Sold 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  3. 2021-03-09
    historical Active/Pending 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  4. 2021-03-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  5. 2021-02-03
    status Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  6. 2021-01-01
    historical Active/Pending 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  7. 2020-12-18
    price $50,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  8. 2020-09-25
    listed $70,000 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

  9. 2020-09-25
    listed $50,000
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Buyer financing fell through and there is another shot at this one! Fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Piqua! Can be used as a business/residence, a single family home or as a rental investment. 3 beds, 2.5 baths with a wrap around porch. HUGE kitchen addition. With a little TLC, this will become a dream property, no matter how you choose to use it!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$620 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$700 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$80/yr (+$7/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,249
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$620
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,220
− Management
−$1,220
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$7,684
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,844
After-tax cash flow
$6,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Piqua City
NCES district ID
3904464
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,751
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3855
State rank
#482 of 656 in OH

Livability — Piqua

Score
62/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#16830

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Piqua, OH
County
Miami County · 85,667 people
City population
25,237
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
25,237
Household income
$69,188
Rent vs Own
29.4% rent · 70.6% own
Severe rent burden
748.0

Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,816 people
By 2030
108,896 · +1.0%
By 2040
109,581 · +1.6%
By 2050
108,110 · +0.3%
By 2075
101,523 · -5.8%
By 2100
85,787 · -20.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.96%
Current HPI
251.435
Rent YoY
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2021-04-05 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-04-05 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-03-09 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2021-03-09 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2021-02-03 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2021-01-01 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2020-12-18 Price Changed $50,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-09-25 Listed $50,000 WRIST
  • 2020-09-25 Listed $70,000 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $620 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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