110 Uvalde Ave · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,375 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 42 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced back yard; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; Smoke detector(s); Fire alarm
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($793 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Carmona-Harrison El (593 students, 94% FRL); Cavazos Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 479 students, 97% FRL); Lubbock H S (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.76%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,077
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 42.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-161
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $14,216
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79415
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $793 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Avenue V Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $750 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 105 North Avenue U Unit U Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $750 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 124 Temple Ave Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 124 Temple Ave Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 218 Avenue U Unit A Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $525 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 301 Avenue U Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $875 | $1.40 | 14d | 4 | 0.22mi |
| 226 S AVE Unit C Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $525 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2512 1st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2613 Auburn St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $875 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1710 9th St Unit 29 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2007 Main St Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 7 | 0.82mi |
| 2803 2nd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $800 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2007 Main St Unit 12 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2007 Main St Unit 22 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2805 1st Pl Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $895 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2814 1st Pl Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $695 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2814 1st Pl Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $695 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1913 13th St Unit REAR Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $700 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2315 13th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $995 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2117 14th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2101 14th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $850 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2101 14th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $850 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2324 14th St Unit Rear B Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $575 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2202 15th St Unit 5 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2906 Cornell St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $875 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1604 W AVE Unit 8 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1604 W AVE Unit 5 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2715 Fordham St Unit 7 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2117 15th St Unit C Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $575 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2316 15th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $795 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2317 15th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1202 Main St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $1,341 | $1.46 | 14d | 13 | 1.13mi |
| 2101 16th St Unit 2D Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $825 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1220 Broadway St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,500 | $1.61 | 14d | 7 | 1.18mi |
| 1220 Broadway St Unit 801 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $690 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1220 Broadway St Unit 1704 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $999 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1220 Broadway St Unit 2001 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2121 17th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2211 17th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $675 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3207 Amherst St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$69,900 Active
-
2026-03-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,279 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$611/yr (+$51/mo · 91.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$762
- − Management
- −$762
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $1,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$247
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,794
- Household income
- $36,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1287.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 26% Two or more races 19% Black 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.79%
- Current HPI
- 165.7933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $69,900 LARMLS
- 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $668 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…