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402 Shirley St NE
C Composite 55.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

402 Shirley St NE · Grand Rapids, MI 49503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1957 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Woods behind
  • Finished areas
  • Near downtown

Tags

NORTHEAST SIDE OF GRAND RAPIDSLARGE LOTWOODS BEHINDNEAR DOWNTOWNFINISHED AREASLAUNDRY STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Cable connected; High-speed internet
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One-story; Public water
  • Construction: Built in 1957; Shingle roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.28 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 94% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.87%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,010
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$17,178
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49503

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,757 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,362
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $408 -5% $360 +0% $312 +5% $264 +10% $216
Rent -10% $173 -5% $243 +0% $312 +5% $381 +10% $451
Rate -1.0pp $398 -0.5pp $355 base $312 +0.5pp $268 +1.0pp $223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
711 Clancy Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 837 $1,345 $1.61 44d 1 0.32mi
818 Grand Ave NE Apt D Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 44d 1 0.39mi
733 Livingston Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,245 $1.38 44d 1 0.42mi
202 Leonard St NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.46mi
120 Leonard St NE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,275 $1.70 44d 1 0.48mi
135 Page St NE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,100 $2.82 44d 1 0.61mi
414 Benson Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,673 $2.41 44d 14 0.62mi
1349 Maude Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,145 $1.91 44d 1 0.62mi
1314 Portland Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 908 $1,425 $1.57 44d 1 0.69mi
507 Eastern Ave NE #2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 710 $1,495 $2.11 44d 1 0.69mi
1359 Plainfield Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $2,325 $3.23 4d 9 0.71mi
601 Bond Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 853 $2,565 $3.01 44d 10 0.73mi
41 Caledonia St NE Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,395 $1.74 44d 1 0.79mi
855 Michigan St NE Unit 205 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 813 $1,575 $1.94 44d 1 0.82mi
50 Mathews Ct NE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,850 $1.68 44d 1 0.85mi
201 Michigan St NW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 981 $2,800 $2.85 44d 10 0.90mi
200 Ionia Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 500 $1,246 $2.49 44d 3 0.94mi
407 11th St NW Unit C Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 772 $1,500 $1.94 44d 1 1.00mi
417 6th St NW Unit 1346768P Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 742 $2,794 $3.77 44d 1 1.03mi
139 Pearl St NW Unit 201 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 769 $1,650 $2.15 44d 1 1.07mi
27 Library St NE #501 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 2.0 1109 $2,925 $2.64 44d 1 1.07mi
138 Fulton St E Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 44d 1 1.14mi
17 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $2,125 $2.95 44d 7 1.15mi
239 Ann St NE Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 44d 1 1.17mi
555 7th St NW Grand Rapids, MI 2.0–4.0 2.0 547 $795 $1.45 44d 6 1.20mi
1335 Hamilton Ave NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,395 $1.24 44d 1 1.23mi
1044 Muskegon Ave NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 44d 1 1.30mi
345 State St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,280 $1.16 44d 2 1.31mi
547 Cherry St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 521 $1,250 $2.40 44d 1 1.33mi
1844 Monroe Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,050 $2.05 44d 1 1.35mi
608 Bridge St NW Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 44d 1 1.36mi
216 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,395 $1.40 44d 1 1.42mi
26 Cherry St SW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 878 $1,275 $1.45 44d 2 1.44mi
209 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1180 $1,495 $1.27 22d 2 1.44mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

  2. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

  3. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,900 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

  5. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,900 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

  6. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Tons of potential in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch-style home on the desirable Northeast side of Grand Rapids on a large lot with woods behind! Here's a great opportunity to own a property near downtown for a very reasonable price. The main floor features a living room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, and a full bathroom. The lower level has some finished areas and a laundry/storage space. The property will likely need a new roof and some work in the basement, but is priced accordingly. Furnace and water heater have been replaced in the last 10 years. Open house is 4/25 from 10-11:30am. Seller has delayed review of offers until 4/27 at 7:00pm. Call for your private showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,993 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 45.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,081
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,687
− Management
−$1,687
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$1,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$247
After-tax cash flow
$3,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Rapids Public Schools
NCES district ID
2616440
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,612
Composite
18.62/100
National rank
#8899
State rank
#451 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grand Rapids

Score
83/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#939

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Rapids, MI
County
Kent County · 533,805 people
City population
181,325
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,489
Household income
$64,661
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
1891.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 14% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 7% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.22%
Current HPI
312.3878
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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