Fourplex
1 Bruce Dr · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 4 unit building in sought after Hazelwood West. To date the building is fully occupied.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- 8,685 sq ft lot
- Built 1963
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $242/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $375k).
- Recommended offer: $364k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mcnair Elem. (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #964 of 1,115 statewide, top 87%, 401 students, 66% FRL); Northwest Middle (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #332 of 391 statewide, top 86%, 767 students, 62% FRL); Hazelwood West High (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #407 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 2,042 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,893/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1279% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $184k; list at $375k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.31%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $376,640
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 Thompson Dr | 0.14mi | 8/4.0 | 3,520 (0%) | 16mo | $375,000 | $107 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $7,386
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $113,426
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63031
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 25.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,893 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,789/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,028
- Net cashflow
- $967
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,179 | -5% $1,073 | +0% $967 | +5% $860 | +10% $754 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $580 | -5% $773 | +0% $967 | +5% $1,160 | +10% $1,353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,155 | -0.5pp $1,062 | base $967 | +0.5pp $869 | +1.0pp $770 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,892 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,223 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,223 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,223 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,223 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,893 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-16$375,000 Active
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $184,000
-
2018-07-06soldstatus Closed 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
Nice 4 unit building in sought after Hazelwood West. To date the building is fully occupied.
-
2018-06-20status Pending 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
Nice 4 unit building in sought after Hazelwood West. To date the building is fully occupied.
-
2018-05-11historical Contingent (No Kickout) 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
Nice 4 unit building in sought after Hazelwood West. To date the building is fully occupied.
-
2018-04-09$189,000 Active 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
Nice 4 unit building in sought after Hazelwood West. To date the building is fully occupied.
-
2005-11-28soldstatus $220,000
-
2004-09-16soldstatus $190,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,789 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,789 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$3,789
- − Insurance
- −$7,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,697
- − Management
- −$4,697
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable income
- $6,218
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,492
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $70,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.57%
- Current HPI
- 202.7192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+97.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $375,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-06 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-11 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-09 Listed $189,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2022): $3,789 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…