1945 Berlin Rd · Cherry Hill, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1945 Berlin Rd! Located in Cherry Hill, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for both owner-occupants and investors. Upon entry, there is a flexible living space to the left, with the layout continuing to a full bathroom and kitchen toward the rear of the home. The main living area is joined by a formal dining space, creating a functional and connected floor plan. The property features new LVP flooring throughout, along with a septic system that is approximately 3 years old, adding valuable peace of mind. Whether used as a primary residence or investment property, this home offers a solid foundation with clear opportunity for customization and improvements in a con
Key facts
- Full bathroom
- Formal dining space
- New lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
- Financial info: Ownership is fee simple
- HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Natural gas heating and hot water; On-site septic; Public water
- Home design: Detached structure; Entry level is 1
- Construction: Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot measures approximately 46.00 x 160.00; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Public water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($80/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cherry Hill School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 472 in NJ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Cherry Hill High School East (math 33% / reading 62%, grade D, #121 of 399 statewide, top 31%, 2,087 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $275k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $368,135
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sussex Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+3%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $232 | 69 |
| 20 Camden Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,134 (-6%) | 12mo | $390,000 | $344 | 59 |
| 8 Bergen Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (-14%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 121 Cuffys Ln | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,294 (+7%) | 14mo | $395,000 | $305 | 45 |
| 206 Ford St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,319 (+9%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $262 | 39 |
| 307 Palmwood Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+10%) | 10mo | $418,000 | $314 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-44,017
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-37,291
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08003
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,584 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$478 /mo · $5,740/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$543
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1913 Delicious Way Cherry Hill, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 106 Ford St Voorhees, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1291 | $2,750 | $2.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 106 Carolina Ave Cherry Hill, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $2,800 | $1.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1139 Thackary Ct Voorhees, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,800 | $2.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 413 Gregorys Way Voorhees, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,700 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 601 Gregorys Way Voorhees, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,850 | $2.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1512 Roberts Way Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1514 Roberts Way Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $2,250 | $2.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 128 Kirkbride Rd #6 Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12 Sandra Rd Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 109 Franklin Dr Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,550 | $2.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10100 Town Center Blvd Voorhees Township, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1135 | $2,296 | $2.02 | 1d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 2204 Sandra Rd Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $2,200 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 225 Echelon Rd Voorhees, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,205 | $2.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 101 Railroad Blvd Cherry Hill, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,800 | $2.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 314 Echelon Rd Voorhees Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $2,000 | $2.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 222 Echelon Rd Voorhees Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,000 | $1.89 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 808 Britton Pl Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5104 Tracy Ct Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 331 Preston Ave Voorhees, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,114 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 110 Woodcrest Rd Cherry Hill, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $3,155 | $3.02 | 1d | 12 | 1.30mi |
| 504 Britton Pl Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 103 Lucas Ln Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 201 Lucas Ln Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10 Lucas Ln Voorhees Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $2,090 | $3.18 | 1d | 34 | 1.35mi |
| 4 Millbank Ct Voorhees, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $3,400 | $2.31 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 208 Ashley Run Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,450 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$275,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,740 · $478/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,294 · $524/mo
- Expected delta
- +$554/yr (+$46/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$5,740
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,481
- − Management
- −$2,481
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$4,468
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,072
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cherry Hill School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403000
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,394
- Composite
- 40.71/100
- National rank
- #3665
- State rank
- #181 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Cherry Hill
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 76,725
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,809
- Household income
- $155,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 583.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -260.29%
- Current HPI
- 334.8611
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+323.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1988-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,740 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…