367 SW Kinard Ct · Fort White, FL 32038

$34,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1974 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Somewhere between “empty lot” and “move-in ready” is a sweet spot that most buyers never find — but here it is. Most people don’t realize how much it costs to bring a raw piece of land to life — permits, impact fees, a well, septic, power — by the time it’s all said and done, you’re talking serious money before a single wall goes up. This acre in Fort White already has all of that waiting for you. The impact fees are paid. There’s a well on site replaced in 2022, a septic system already in the ground, and electrical service with a brand new utility pole — both updated in 2023. The dirt road leading in is well maintained

Key facts

• Acre in fort white
• New utility pole
• Mostly cleared land

Tags

• ACRE IN FORT WHITE
• WELL ON SITE
• SEPTIC SYSTEM
• ELECTRICAL SERVICE
• NEW UTILITY POLE
• MOSTLY CLEARED LAND

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property is listed as residential, property condition: fixer; Lot approximately 1 acre (dirt road access); Partially furnished

Exterior

• Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
• Home design: Mobile home (single-wide); One story; Faces west; Entry level: One
• Construction: Metal siding; Other roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as single-wide mobile home
• Exterior features: Cleared lot; Other exterior features

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Simple, functional interior (other features listed)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $34k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
• Cap rate 31.4% vs local median 2.9% in Fort White — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#463 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($235 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $34,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.68% ✓
• Cap rate: 31.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 89.50%
• DSCR: 4.98
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $147,168
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
445 SW Junction Rd	0.67mi	2/2.0	616 (-8%)	11mo	$135,000	$219	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 98.6%
• Equity multiple: 7.70×
• Total profit: $63,785
• Equity at exit: $30,630

10-year hold

• IRR: 93.9%
• Equity multiple: 17.00×
• Total profit: $152,366
• Equity at exit: $66,055

Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32038

• Home prices YoY: 17.7%
• Active inventory: 110
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,252 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$178
• Tax from tax record: −$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
• Insurance: −$14
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $710

Break-even live

Break-even rent $353

Max offer price $34,000

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,500
• Closing costs: $1,020
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $34,000 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   remarks 627-char remark
3. 2026-06-18
   listed $34,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,037 · $86/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,037 · $86/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,022
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,905
• − Property taxes: −$1,037
• − Insurance: −$170
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,202
• − Management: −$1,202
• − Depreciation: −$989
• Taxable income: $8,517
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,044
• After-tax cash flow: $6,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Columbia
• NCES district ID: 1200360
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $40,053
• Composite: 44.74/100
• National rank: #2750
• State rank: #25 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort White

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #463
• US rank: #8360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,035

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,129 people
• By 2030: 67,501 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 65,465 · -3.9%
• By 2050: 63,058 · -7.4%
• By 2075: 56,291 · -17.4%
• By 2100: 45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 57.72%
• Current HPI: 384.5816
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $34,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,037 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.