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320 Overton St
C Composite 58.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$449,900

320 Overton St · Newport, KY 41071
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,397 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1890 3,311 sqft lot Est $515k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Extensive rehab needed for single family-Licenses expired for 2 family property built and used as 2 family. Located in upscale Historic Mansion Hill. Walk to Levee.

Key facts

  • Exposed brick walls
  • Large windows
  • Wood floors

Tags

WOOD FLOORSHISTORIC MANTLESEXPOSED BRICK WALLSTALL CEILINGSLARGE WINDOWSWELCOMING FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Detached garage; Garage with door opener; Garage faces rear; On-street parking available; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Three or more levels; Built in 1890; Has a view
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle/asphalt roof; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Balcony; Patio; Porch; Perimeter privacy wood fencing; Paved city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Eat-in layout
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Heating present
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Crown molding; Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Multi-panel doors; Natural woodwork; Master bedroom on main level; Full basement; Fireplace (inoperable)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $425k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $425k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,249/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $450k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $424,928 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.94%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$515,355
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
228 E 4th St 0.11mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,460 (+3%) 11mo $500,000 $203 74
615 Saratoga St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,400 (+0%) 13mo $325,000 $135 71
530 Lexington Ave 0.14mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,122 (-12%) 0mo $600,000 $283 67
728 Park Ave 0.35mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,490 (+4%) 3mo $925,000 $371 64
838 Maple Ave 0.47mi 4/2.5 2,414 (+1%) 13mo $462,500 $192 64
612 Roberts St 0.23mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,232 (-7%) 13mo $284,900 $128 60
416 E 8th St 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,251 (-6%) 7mo $455,000 $202 60
606 Monroe St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,092 (-13%) 10mo $729,000 $348 57
1020 York St 0.69mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,416 (+1%) 3mo $520,000 $215 55
816 Park Ave 0.40mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,200 (-8%) 10mo $599,000 $272 51
842 Monroe St 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,217 (-8%) 11mo $749,900 $338 50
725 Columbia St 0.52mi 4/3.0 2,752 (+15%) 3mo $385,000 $140 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-19,591
Equity at exit
$67,082
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$72,007
Equity at exit
$38,899

Cash invested: $125,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41071

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,249 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,359
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $976/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$892
Net cashflow
$729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,327
Max offer price $449,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,475
Closing costs
$13,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
118 Beech St Newport, KY 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,400 $1.49 1d 1 0.26mi
835 York St #1 Newport, KY 5.0 2.0 2700 $2,395 $0.89 43d 1 0.55mi
987 Hill St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 3.0 2878 $7,000 $2.43 1d 1 0.77mi
140 W 13th St Newport, KY 3.0 3.5 2505 $4,200 $1.68 11d 1 1.03mi
923 Paradrome St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 2098 $3,000 $1.43 23d 1 1.03mi
1287 Ida St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 2494 $4,700 $1.88 17d 1 1.15mi
1 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0–3.5 1675 $9,200 $5.49 2d 96 1.16mi
417 Vine St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1602 $2,950 $1.84 14d 1 1.18mi
516 E 12th St Unit 1314562P Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 2023 $10,170 $5.03 23d 1 1.23mi
1304 Broadway Unit 1056130P Cincinnati, OH 1.0–5.0 1.0–4.0 2072 $7,152 $3.45 10d 2 1.34mi
1354 Broadway Unit 1056136P Cincinnati, OH 4.0 3.0 2529 $7,307 $2.89 2d 1 1.44mi
126 E 13th St Unit 1056025P Cincinnati, OH 5.0 4.0 2960 $5,339 $1.80 2d 1 1.45mi
120 E 13th St Unit 1056091P Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 3229 $10,667 $3.30 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $449,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $449,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $449,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $449,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$976 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,869 · $322/mo
Expected delta
+$2,893/yr (+$241/mo · 296.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,991
− Mortgage interest
−$25,201
− Property taxes
−$976
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,079
− Management
−$4,079
− Depreciation
−$13,088
Taxable income
$1,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$316
After-tax cash flow
$8,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport Independent
NCES district ID
2104440
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,783
Composite
16.51/100
National rank
#9182
State rank
#160 of 165 in KY

Livability — Newport

Score
82/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#1070

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, KY
County
Campbell County · 84,793 people
City population
19,680
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
19,680
Household income
$59,976
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,668 people
By 2030
96,886 · +1.3%
By 2040
97,734 · +2.2%
By 2050
96,413 · +0.8%
By 2075
90,211 · -5.7%
By 2100
79,434 · -17.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Campbell

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.38%
Current HPI
244.9069
Rent YoY
▲ 4.64%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+542.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $449,900 NKMLS
  • 2011-10-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 NKMLS
  • 2011-08-23 Listed $129,000 NKMLS
  • 1994-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $976 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…