Duplex
12 Freeman Pl · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$679,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Legal 2 Family All Brick Semi-Attached Home in the Clove Lakes section of Staten Island. First Floor is Original and includes a LR, EIK, 2 Bedrooms and a Bathroom. Second Floor is Updated with EIK, LR, 2 Bedrooms, Bathroom, Attic. Basement is Full and Unfinished. Home is currently Tenant Occupied ad Scheduling of Showings is Limited to Tenant Availability.
Key facts
- 3,373 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $679k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-61/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $658k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $536k (21.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $536k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 27 Anning S Prall (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 952 students, 76% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($659k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $92k; list at $679k implies a 642% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.77%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $638,550
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485 Delafield Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+2%) | 8mo | $650,000 | $387 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-117,904
- Equity at exit
- $101,241
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-113,166
- Equity at exit
- $58,708
Cash invested: $190,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10310
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 21.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,561
- Tax from tax record
- −$509 /mo · $6,111/yr
- Insurance
- −$283
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,125
- Net cashflow
- $-122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $71 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-314 | +10% $-506 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-545 | -5% $-333 | +0% $-122 | +5% $90 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $220 | -0.5pp $51 | base $-122 | +0.5pp $-298 | +1.0pp $-477 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $5,356 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,678 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,678 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,356 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $169,750
- Closing costs
- $20,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 479 Clove Rd Unit 2FL Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $3,400 | $2.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 19 Tompkins Ct Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $3,300 | $2.99 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 65 Bard Ave Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,950 | $2.11 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2024-08-27status Pending
-
2023-05-30status Pending
-
2023-05-30historical Contingent
-
2023-05-30status Active
-
2023-01-25historical
-
2022-12-13$679,000 Active
-
2022-12-09historical $679,000
-
1993-06-30soldstatus $91,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,111 · $509/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,793 · $733/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,682/yr (+$224/mo · 43.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $64,272
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,035
- − Property taxes
- −$6,111
- − Insurance
- −$3,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,142
- − Management
- −$5,142
- − Depreciation
- −$19,753
- Taxable loss
- −$13,305
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,824
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 6% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -266.57%
- Current HPI
- 360.2125
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+642.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2024-08-27 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2023-05-30 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2023-05-30 Contingent — SIBORMLS
- 2023-05-30 Relisted — SIBORMLS
- 2023-01-25 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2022-12-13 Listed $679,000 SIBORMLS
- 2022-12-09 Coming Soon $679,000 SIBORMLS
- 1993-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,111 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…