7318 Foxshadows Ln · Houston, TX 77338

$225,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market

Built 2003 6,107 sqft lot $110/sqft · at area comps Est $234k · at est. $29/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.1/30.0
• ARV discount +9.3/15.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• DSCR +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Very Spacious 3-Bedroom 2.5 Bath Humble located within minutes from Intercontinental Airport, shopping, and 59, 45 & Beltway 8 Freeway's. This home features cozy family and dining area with a bonus eat in kitchen area, a beautiful upstairs game area with a master bedroom that has dual master closets.

Key facts

• 6,107 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2003

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Foxwood homeowners association; Annual HOA fee of $350

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Built in 2003; Slab foundation; Composition roof
• Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
• Exterior features: Located in a subdivision; Lot approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
• Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: One fireplace; Seller provided disclosure available

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (7.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (6.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $209k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Cypresswood El (math 17% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,759 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 767 students, 88% FRL); Jones Middle (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 1,348 students, 86% FRL); Nimitz H S (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,385 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 2,772 students, 85% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $208,892 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.81%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.74%
• DSCR: 0.92
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $234,254
• List price: $225,000
• Delta: -3.95%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6900 Foxcroft Ln	0.45mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,017 (-2%)	0mo	$260,000	$129	71
7207 Foxvista Ln	0.42mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,108 (+3%)	2mo	$252,000	$120	69
7527 Stallion Trail Dr	0.49mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,044 (-0%)	4mo	$259,000	$127	69
7310 Foxwaithe Ln	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,832 (-10%)	2mo	$295,000	$161	63
20402 Clydesdale Ridge Dr	0.36mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,872 (-9%)	1mo	$227,500	$122	62
6926 Fox Knoll Ln	0.52mi	4/2.0	1,900 (-7%)	2mo	$229,900	$121	60
8131 Chancewood Ln	0.74mi	4/2.0	2,028 (-1%)	4mo	$189,000	$93	58
6939 Fox Mesa Ln	0.33mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,265 (+11%)	4mo	$230,000	$102	56
8111 Liberty Point Ln	0.70mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,993 (-3%)	2mo	$194,900	$98	56
21031 Noelle Ct	0.45mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,815 (-11%)	4mo	$240,000	$132	52
7800 Summer Place Dr	0.69mi	4/2.5	2,348 (+15%)	1mo	$255,000	$109	43
6654 Old Cypress Landing Ln	0.75mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,789 (-13%)	4mo	$319,990	$179	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.77% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-22,045
• Equity at exit: $56,754

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.80×
• Total profit: $-12,370
• Equity at exit: $61,702

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77338

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 311
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,109 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax from tax record: −$454 /mo · $5,451/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$29
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,224

Max offer price $208,892

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $36	-5% $-28	+0% $-91	+5% $-155	+10% $-219
Rent	-10% $-258	-5% $-174	+0% $-91	+5% $-8	+10% $75
Rate	-1.0pp $22	-0.5pp $-34	base $-91	+0.5pp $-149	+1.0pp $-209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20735 Fox Cliff Ln Humble, TX	4.0	3.0	2404	$2,175	$0.90	44d	1	0.24mi
20911 Foxwood Glen Ln Humble, TX	5.0	2.5	2690	$2,475	$0.92	44d	1	0.27mi
7507 Kennemer Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.5	1596	$1,766	$1.11	12d	1	0.28mi
7010 Foxmont Ln Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1722	$1,735	$1.01	45d	1	0.28mi
7214 Foxbend Ln Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1591	$1,975	$1.24	0d	1	0.36mi
21235 Grand Field Ct Humble, TX	4.0	3.0	1750	$1,800	$1.03	44d	1	0.41mi
6707 Level Pond Ln Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2927	$2,316	$0.79	23d	1	0.55mi
7318 Foxway Ln Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1750	$1,759	$1.01	25d	1	0.66mi
19931 Arrowsmith Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.5	2264	$1,831	$0.81	25d	1	0.73mi
7810 Birchbark Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1663	$1,899	$1.14	25d	1	0.82mi
8419 Opalwood Ln Unit Main Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	2084	$2,482	$1.19	19d	1	1.05mi
19902 Bishops Gate Ln Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1570	$1,825	$1.16	25d	1	1.06mi
20418 Red Canyon Creek Ln Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	1731	$2,000	$1.16	23d	1	1.29mi
20102 Bridgedale Ln Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1635	$1,999	$1.22	44d	1	1.33mi
8818 Cornina Dr Humble, TX	4.0	3.5	2868	$2,295	$0.80	0d	1	1.44mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $29 · $348/yr

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-05-08
   listed $225,000 Active
2. 2024-04-17
   historical $1,875
3. 2024-04-12
   price $1,875
4. 2024-04-04
   price $1,925
5. 2024-03-21
   price $1,975
6. 2024-02-24
   listed $2,020
7. 2021-12-28
   soldstatus
8. 2021-12-10
   soldstatus Sold 307-char remark

   Show marketing remark (307 chars)

   Very Spacious 3-Bedroom 2.5 Bath Humble located within minutes from Intercontinental Airport, shopping, and 59, 45 & Beltway 8 Freeway's. This home features cozy family and dining area with a bonus eat in kitchen area, a beautiful upstairs game area with a master bedroom that has dual master closets.

9. 2021-11-15
   status Pending 307-char remark

   Show marketing remark (307 chars)

   Very Spacious 3-Bedroom 2.5 Bath Humble located within minutes from Intercontinental Airport, shopping, and 59, 45 & Beltway 8 Freeway's. This home features cozy family and dining area with a bonus eat in kitchen area, a beautiful upstairs game area with a master bedroom that has dual master closets.

10. 2021-11-03
    status Option Pending 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Very Spacious 3-Bedroom 2.5 Bath Humble located within minutes from Intercontinental Airport, shopping, and 59, 45 & Beltway 8 Freeway's. This home features cozy family and dining area with a bonus eat in kitchen area, a beautiful upstairs game area with a master bedroom that has dual master closets.

11. 2021-10-29
    listed $235,900 Active 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Very Spacious 3-Bedroom 2.5 Bath Humble located within minutes from Intercontinental Airport, shopping, and 59, 45 & Beltway 8 Freeway's. This home features cozy family and dining area with a bonus eat in kitchen area, a beautiful upstairs game area with a master bedroom that has dual master closets.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,451 · $454/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,451 · $454/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,302
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$5,451
• − Insurance: −$1,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,024
• − Management: −$2,024
• − HOA: −$348
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable loss: −$4,819
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,157
• After-tax cash flow: $62/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Aldine ISD
• NCES district ID: 4807710
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $37,081
• Composite: 15.42/100
• National rank: #9317
• State rank: #790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 48,031
• Household income: $64,755
• Rent vs Own: 52.5% rent · 47.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 2620.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 41% Black 34% Two or more races 18% White 16% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Armenian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 60% English-only · Spanish 35% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.77%
• Current HPI: 245.7087
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.17%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-4.6% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-23 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-08 Listed $225,000 HARMLS
• 2024-04-17 Rental Removed $1,875 RENTLY
• 2024-04-12 Price Changed $1,875 RENTLY
• 2024-04-04 Price Changed $1,925 RENTLY
• 2024-03-21 Price Changed $1,975 RENTLY
• 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $2,020 RENTLY
• 2021-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2021-12-10 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2021-11-15 Pending — HARMLS
• 2021-11-03 Pending — HARMLS
• 2021-10-29 Listed $235,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,451 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.