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17125 Woodcrest Dr NE
D Composite 40.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$430,000

17125 Woodcrest Dr NE · Bothell, WA 98011
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,582 sqft · Manufactured · 5 Days on market
Built 1989 5,072 sqft lot $272/sqft · 25% below area Est $572k · 25% under $183/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in a desirable 55+ community where you own the land, this 3 bedroom, 1.75 bathroom manufactured home offers 1,582 sqft of opportunity and potential. Property features a 1-car garage, 1-car carport, two storage sheds, greenhouse, and dedicated garden space perfect for those who enjoy gardening or outdoor hobbies. Spacious floor plan with great natural light and functional living spaces ready for your personal touches and updates. Convenient location close to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and freeway access. A rare chance to own land in a peaceful community setting with plenty of outdoor storage and workspace options.

Key facts

  • Outdoor storage
  • Workspace options
  • Own the land

Tags

OWN THE LANDTWO STORAGE SHEDSGREENHOUSEDEDICATED GARDEN SPACEOUTDOOR STORAGEWORKSPACE OPTIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts cash and rehab loan terms
  • HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee of $183 covering common area maintenance and water; Age-restricted senior community with clubhouse and recorded CCRs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Attached carport; Covered parking for 3 vehicles
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Bothell); Sewer connected (City of Bothell); Power provided by PSE; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Built or effectively updated in 1989
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Manufactured house structure
  • Exterior features: Wood products exterior; Garden space; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen without eating space
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Engineered hardwood; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 2 showers; 1 bathtub; 2 main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Dining room; Fireplace (wood-burning); Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater located in a storage closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $430k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-717 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $326k (24.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (28.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $309k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 1.5% in Bothell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in WA, #962 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
  • Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Woodmoor Elementary (644 students, 35% FRL); Inglemoor Hs (1,542 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 12% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 182 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $308,561 (28.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.15%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$571,920
List price
$430,000
Delta
-24.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11330 E Riverside Dr #7 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-3%) 2mo $120,000 $78 82
17316 Woodcrest Dr NE 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-1%) 18mo $549,950 $351 79
17224 Woodcrest Dr NE 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 10mo $614,000 $426 74
17042 Woodcrest Dr NE 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-3%) 24mo $575,000 $374 70
17343 Woodcrest Dr NE 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 23mo $565,000 $392 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.0%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-123,495
Equity at exit
$64,114
10-year hold
IRR
-57.6%
Equity multiple
-0.64×
Total profit
$-197,966
Equity at exit
$37,179

Cash invested: $120,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98011

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,086 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,255
Tax est. 1.5%
$538 /mo · $6,450/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$183
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$648
Net cashflow
$-717

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,993
Max offer price $326,249
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-420 -5% $-568 +0% $-717 +5% $-866 +10% $-1,014
Rent -10% $-961 -5% $-839 +0% $-717 +5% $-595 +10% $-473
Rate -1.0pp $-500 -0.5pp $-608 base $-717 +0.5pp $-828 +1.0pp $-942

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,500
Closing costs
$12,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16386 118th Ct NE Bothell, WA 2.0 2.5 1129 $2,700 $2.39 44d 1 0.37mi
11895 NE 163rd Pl Unit 20-3 Bothell, WA 2.0 2.5 1129 $2,800 $2.48 6d 1 0.40mi
16125 Juanita Woodinville Way NE #1714 Bothell, WA 2.0 2.5 1173 $2,800 $2.39 25d 1 0.43mi
16125 Juanita Woodinville Way NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 921 $2,800 $3.04 44d 4 0.43mi
12109 Woodinville Dr Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 965 $2,895 $3.00 6d 7 0.44mi
15515 Juanita Woodinville Way NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 999 $2,913 $2.91 0d 12 0.56mi
18101 126th Ave NE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 921 $3,267 $3.55 0d 39 0.77mi
17409 133rd Ave NE Woodinville, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1178 $4,399 $3.73 0d 26 1.02mi
18414 104th Ave NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $2,999 $3.13 0d 10 1.04mi
12207 NE 191st St Bothell, WA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1339 $4,715 $3.52 0d 1 1.04mi
18120 102nd Ave NE Bothell, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $3,046 $3.65 3d 7 1.05mi
19128 112th Ave NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $3,105 $3.01 0d 15 1.10mi
18420 102nd Ave NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $2,986 $3.73 0d 10 1.12mi
17255 135th Ave NE Woodinville, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 842 $3,704 $4.40 0d 28 1.14mi
10324 NE 186th St Unit 1 Bothell, WA 2.0 1.5 1108 $2,300 $2.08 44d 1 1.15mi
18141 Bothell Way NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 909 $4,434 $4.88 0d 24 1.25mi
10826 NE 148th Ln Unit H102 Bothell, WA 3.0 2.0 1084 $2,795 $2.58 44d 1 1.27mi
10104 NE 189th St Bothell, WA 3.0 2.5 2200 $3,800 $1.73 5d 1 1.33mi
9924 NE 185th St Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1194 $3,940 $3.30 3d 7 1.35mi
12917 NE 195th St Bothell, WA 2.0 2.0 1150 $3,000 $2.61 44d 1 1.35mi
12601 NE 197th St Bothell, WA 3.0 2.0 1720 $3,700 $2.15 44d 1 1.35mi
12424 NE 145th St Unit C 25 Kirkland, WA 3.0 1.5 1052 $2,650 $2.52 44d 1 1.37mi
9525 NE 180th St Unit 303 Bothell, WA 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,375 $2.20 6d 1 1.40mi
19604 129th Ave NE Bothell, WA 3.0 2.0 1440 $3,400 $2.36 13d 1 1.40mi
12030 NE 144th St Kirkland, WA 3.0 2.0 1679 $3,500 $2.08 44d 1 1.43mi
9505 NE 180th St Unit 102 Bothell, WA 2.0 2.0 1070 $2,595 $2.43 12d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$183 · $2,196/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $430,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,027
− Mortgage interest
−$24,087
− Property taxes
−$6,450
− Insurance
−$2,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,962
− Management
−$2,962
− HOA
−$2,196
− Depreciation
−$12,509
Taxable loss
−$16,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,909
After-tax cash flow
$-4,695/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northshore School District
NCES district ID
5305910
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$92,951
Composite
67.41/100
National rank
#826
State rank
#9 of 291 in WA

Livability — Bothell

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#962

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bothell, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
141,635
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
28,963
Household income
$131,667
Rent vs Own
42.1% rent · 57.9% own
Severe rent burden
1156.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Asian 17% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -779.77%
Current HPI
400.5642
Rent YoY
▲ 0.25%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $430,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-15.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $372 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…