217 Janet St · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and recent updates. Featuring four generously sized bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms, this property is ideal for those seeking both functionality and room to grow. The fully equipped kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances and provides a seamless flow into the home’s formal dining room—perfect for entertaining. A formal living room and separate family room offer versatile living spaces to suit your lifestyle. The convenient first-floor half bath also includes a dedicated laundry area for added ease. Enjoy outdoor living with a charming covered front porch and a nicely sized, parti
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Formal living room
- Separate family room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 0.13 acres, 33 x 115); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms include living spaces and laundry (8 total rooms)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $190k implies a 352% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.24%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,830
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -17.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mary St | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 | 2,092 (+5%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $53 | 80 |
| 118 E Genesee St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 | 2,070 (+4%) | 2mo | $238,500 | $115 | 60 |
| 40 Hamilton Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,154 (+8%) | 10mo | $292,500 | $136 | 58 |
| 17 Hoffman St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,214 (+11%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $90 | 57 |
| 5 Mary St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,244 (+12%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 34 Orchard St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,079 (+4%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $82 | 52 |
| 16 Augustus St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,906 (-4%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $113 | 51 |
| 23 S Lewis St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,176 (+9%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $83 | 47 |
| 22 Sherman St | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (-11%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $140 | 41 |
| 16 Sherman St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,232 (+12%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $83 | 40 |
| 121 E Genesee St | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,800 (-10%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $219 | 39 |
| 37 Augustus St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-15%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $138 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-20,223
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,018
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,821 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $1,995 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 173 E Genesee St Unit 171 Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-05-13historical Active Under Contract 1054-char remark
-
2026-05-05$189,900 Active 1054-char remark
-
2024-11-26$199,999 Active
-
2024-04-08historical $2,100
-
2024-02-18$2,100
-
1992-01-29soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,575 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,392 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- +$817/yr (+$68/mo · 51.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$1,747
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$1,132
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 37,247 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1449.0
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+352.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 CNYIS
- 2024-11-26 Listed $199,999 CNYIS
- 2024-04-08 Rental Removed $2,100 NYSAMLS
- 2024-02-18 Listed for Rent $2,100 NYSAMLS
- 1992-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,575 · +39.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…