Duplex
409 W 27th St · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Renovated duplex featuring neutral finishes, updated flooring, and modern kitchens with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. Each unit offers ample cabinet space and full-size washer and dryer. Shared parking located behind the building. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, ideal for strong rental demand. Both units are currently leased, providing immediate income. Conveniently located near universities, military bases, dining, and everyday amenities. Offered as part of a six-property investment portfolio, presenting a unique opportunity to acquire multiple income-producing assets in one of Norfolk’s most active rental markets.
Key facts
- Renovated duplex
- Modern kitchens
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $263/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $315k).
- Recommended offer: $306k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: James Monroe Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,098 of 1,108 statewide, top 100%, 270 students, 100% FRL); Matthew Fontaine Maury High (math 46% / reading 90%, grade B, #180 of 319 statewide, top 57%, 1,697 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 59% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 30 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,273/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 463% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $315k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.07%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $355,524
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 W 27th St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,300 (+3%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $139 | 95 |
| 614 W 27th St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,208 (-1%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $159 | 84 |
| 305 W 35th St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,382 (+6%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $155 | 64 |
| 2911 Omohundro Ave | 0.27mi | 4/4.0 | 1,944 (-13%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $231 | 55 |
| 825 Spotswood Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-6%) | 8mo | $540,000 | $257 | 49 |
| 804 E 26th St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,485 (+11%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $109 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-16,075
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $35,119
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23517
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$687
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $705 | -5% $616 | +0% $527 | +5% $437 | +10% $348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $268 | -5% $397 | +0% $527 | +5% $656 | +10% $785 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $685 | -0.5pp $607 | base $527 | +0.5pp $445 | +1.0pp $362 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,274 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,637 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,637 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,273 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426 W 28th St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2034 | $2,850 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 410 W 29th St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2001 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 219 W 27th St Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2268 | $2,900 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 325 W 31st St Unit 6 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 220 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2540 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2350 | $2,800 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2349 | $2,900 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 630 W 36th St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3239 Granby St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2350 | $2,600 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3611 Colley Ave Apt 106 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2686 | $2,550 | $0.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 810 Brandon Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1420 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 623 Virginia Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 823 Shirley Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2740 | $3,775 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3805 Granby St Unit D Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1911 | $2,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 901 Shirley Ave Unit A2 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 901 Shirley Ave Unit A2 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 407 Pennsylvania Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4013 Colley Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,600 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 625 W Princess Anne Rd Unit 6 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,995 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 622 Graydon Ave Unit 5 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 810 W Princess Anne Rd #303 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,300 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 810 W Princess Anne Rd #303 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1215 W 27th St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,700 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4511 Newport Ave Unit 4511 -A Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2068 | $2,600 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 829 43rd St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,695 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1218 W 26th St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1524 | $2,250 | $1.48 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 507 Westover Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2414 | $3,495 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 632 Redgate Ave Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2943 | $3,300 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 819 Colonial Ave Norfolk, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $2,450 | $2.24 | 2d | 11 | 0.89mi |
| 4608 Gosnold Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2600 | $4,700 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 881 Rugby St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,650 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1415 Claremont Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2129 | $3,000 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 817 Botetourt Gdns Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $3,150 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 907 Rugby St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 766 A Ave Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 711 Stockley Gdns Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,900 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 912 Matoaka St #1 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,400 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 912 Matoaka St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,400 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1110 Old Brandon Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2461 | $3,500 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 830 Lexington St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-23status Under Contract
-
2026-03-26status Active
-
2026-03-25historical
-
2026-03-18$315,000 Active
-
2025-03-13historical $1,100
-
2025-03-11price $1,100
-
2025-01-24$1,495
-
2017-12-19soldstatus $102,400
-
2017-12-10status Under Contract
-
2017-10-21price $139,900
-
2017-10-13$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,514 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,583 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$69/yr (+$6/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,276
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$2,514
- − Insurance
- −$2,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,142
- − Management
- −$3,142
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $1,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,932
- Household income
- $67,375
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 463.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.26%
- Current HPI
- 273.4702
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+110.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $315,000 REINMLS
- 2025-03-13 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-24 Listed for Rent $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2017-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $102,400 Public Records
- 2017-12-10 Pending — REINMLS
- 2017-10-21 Price Changed $139,900 REINMLS
- 2017-10-13 Listed $149,900 REINMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,514 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…