1496 Cherry Hill Rd SW · Conyers, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$218,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly painted and move-in ready, this beautifully refreshed home offers a bright, clean interior that feels welcoming from the moment you step inside. The recent updates give the property a crisp, modern look while maintaining a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living or rental potential. Conveniently located in Conyers, the home provides easy access to I-20 and Highway 138, making commuting to Atlanta and surrounding areas simple and efficient. Enjoy being just minutes from shopping centers, restaurants, schools, and local conveniences.
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Easy access to i20
- Modern look
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (7.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.4% in Conyers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#167 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities D.
- Rockdale County (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #136 of 174 in GA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 483 units permitted in Rockdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockdale County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $149k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.78%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,633
- List price
- $218,990
- Delta
- -7.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1598 Cherry Hill Ln SW | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (-0%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $170 | 82 |
| 1590 SW Cherry Hill Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,113 (-1%) | 12mo | $237,000 | $213 | 74 |
| 1461 Cherry Hill Rd SW | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,245 (+11%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $173 | 70 |
| 1627 Cherry Hill Ct SW | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,195 (+6%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $180 | 68 |
| 1617 Cherry Hill Ln SW | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-3%) | 20mo | $240,900 | $221 | 67 |
| 1624 Sugarmaple Ln SW | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,052 (-6%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $176 | 66 |
| 1609 Cherry Hill Rd SW | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,162 (+3%) | 20mo | $213,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 1655 Cherry Hill Rd SW | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,234 (+10%) | 8mo | $218,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 1700 Mccollum Rd SW | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $200 | 54 |
| 170 Old Mill Trl SW | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+12%) | 3mo | $226,400 | $180 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-38,914
- Equity at exit
- $32,652
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,449
- Equity at exit
- $18,934
Cash invested: $61,317 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30094
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,921 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$369 /mo · $4,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $33 | -5% $-29 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-243 | -5% $-167 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-15 | +10% $61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $19 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-148 | +1.0pp $-205 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,748
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1477 Cherry Hill Rd SW Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,725 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1616 Cherry Hill Rd SW Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,639 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1576 Cherry Hill Ct SW Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 288 Morris Dr SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,731 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2511 Nugget Dr SW Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,755 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 325 Morris Ct SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,770 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 359 Cindy Dr SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1265 | $1,326 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 337 Windsor Walk SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 411 Cindy Dr SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,820 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2641 Rolling Hills Way SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,791 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1825 Parker Rd SE Conyers, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1111 | $1,890 | $1.70 | 0d | 18 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $218,990 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $218,990 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $218,990 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $218,990 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $218,990 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $218,990 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $218,990 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $218,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $218,990 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $218,990 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $218,990 Active 108 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $218,990 Active 107 DOM
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2026-05-05price $224,900 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Freshly painted and move-in ready, this beautifully refreshed home offers a bright, clean interior that feels welcoming from the moment you step inside. The recent updates give the property a crisp, modern look while maintaining a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living or rental potential. Conveniently located in Conyers, the home provides easy access to I-20 and Highway 138, making commuting to Atlanta and surrounding areas simple and efficient. Enjoy being just minutes from shopping centers, restaurants, schools, and local conveniences.
-
2026-02-13$229,990 New 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Freshly painted and move-in ready, this beautifully refreshed home offers a bright, clean interior that feels welcoming from the moment you step inside. The recent updates give the property a crisp, modern look while maintaining a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living or rental potential. Conveniently located in Conyers, the home provides easy access to I-20 and Highway 138, making commuting to Atlanta and surrounding areas simple and efficient. Enjoy being just minutes from shopping centers, restaurants, schools, and local conveniences.
-
2025-01-19historical $1,730
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2024-12-14$1,730
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2024-12-14historical $1,730
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2024-12-07$1,730
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2024-03-13historical $1,735
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2024-03-05$1,735
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2024-03-05historical $1,735
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2024-03-02$1,735
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2022-11-23historical
-
2021-04-02soldstatus $149,000
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2021-03-31historical 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-30soldstatus $149,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-30soldstatus $149,000 Sold 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-10status Under Contract 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-01status Back on Market 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-03-01status Active
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-02-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-02-19status Under Contract 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-02-12$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
-
2021-02-12$149,900 New 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Investor opportunity! New Paint! New Floors! Amazing Split Level! Double Deck in the backyard, HUGE front porch! Fenced backyard! Stone fireplace in the family room! This home is a great opportunity to make your own! Cash offers
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1999-10-26soldstatus $100,000
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1995-03-07soldstatus $78,900
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1988-08-17soldstatus $67,900
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1987-01-28soldstatus $198,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,426 · $369/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,426 · $369/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$4,426
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,844
- − Management
- −$1,844
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$4,794
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,150
- After-tax cash flow
- $61/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockdale County
- NCES district ID
- 1304410
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,325
- Composite
- 19.42/100
- National rank
- #8776
- State rank
- #136 of 174 in GA
Livability — Conyers
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #10533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rockdale County · 96,534 people
- City population
- 96,534
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,731
- Household income
- $88,530
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 549.0
Population outlook (Rockdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,145 people
- By 2030
- 104,558 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 116,100 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 127,827 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 159,113 · +60.5%
- By 2100
- 181,178 · +82.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+47.5) · D 73.4% · R 25.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 47.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+47.5 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -168.06%
- Current HPI
- 205.627
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+13.6% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $224,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $229,990 GAMLS
- 2025-01-19 Rental Removed $1,730 RENTLY
- 2024-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,730 RENTLY
- 2024-12-14 Rental Removed $1,730 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-07 Listed for Rent $1,730 BUILDIUM
- 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $1,735 RENTLY
- 2024-03-05 Listed for Rent $1,735 RENTLY
- 2024-03-05 Rental Removed $1,735 BUILDIUM
- 2024-03-02 Listed for Rent $1,735 BUILDIUM
- 2022-11-23 Rental Removed — FMLS
- 2021-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-03-30 Sold (MLS) $149,000 GAMLS
- 2021-03-30 Sold (MLS) $149,000 FMLS
- 2021-03-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-03-10 Pending — FMLS
- 2021-03-01 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2021-03-01 Relisted — FMLS
- 2021-02-19 Pending — FMLS
- 2021-02-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-02-12 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
- 2021-02-12 Listed $149,900 FMLS
- 1999-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 1995-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
- 1988-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
- 1987-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,426 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…