604 E Church Ave · Longwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale - 3/1 GREAT LOCATION, so convenient to 434, 17/92, shopping, etc. Sold As-Is.
Key facts
- New hot water heater
- No hoa restrictions
- Private laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.14 acres (61 x 100); Total acreage less than 1/4 acre
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces north; MDU zoning
- Construction: Block construction; Other roof type; Slab foundation; Built as a single-level residence
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Longwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in FL, #1,438 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $210k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.79%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,260
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 665 E Church Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 836 (0%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $281 | 88 |
| 633 E Church Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 865 (+4%) | 12mo | $269,900 | $312 | 82 |
| 455 E Palmetto Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+0%) | 7mo | $259,900 | $309 | 78 |
| 453 E Jessup Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+3%) | 18mo | $165,000 | $191 | 70 |
| 1041 Hamilton Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 920 (+10%) | 8mo | $248,000 | $270 | 42 |
| 1062 Reams St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 920 (+10%) | 12mo | $262,000 | $285 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-20,683
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $3,597
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32750
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,803 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $245 | +0% $186 | +5% $126 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $114 | +0% $186 | +5% $257 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $239 | base $186 | +0.5pp $131 | +1.0pp $76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 E Church Ave Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,795 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 564 N Wayman St Unit 564 Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 444 Georgia Ave Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,900 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 300 Orange Ave Unit B Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $1,417 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 912 Bryan Ct Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 945 Bryan Ct Longwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 834 | $1,650 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 100 Myrtle St Longwood, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,824 | $1.68 | 3d | 11 | 0.53mi |
| 681 Addison Longwood Ter Longwood, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $2,323 | $2.60 | 3d | 15 | 0.54mi |
| 211 W Bay Ave Unit A Longwood, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $1,590 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1450 Sunshadow Dr Casselberry, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,744 | $2.02 | 3d | 8 | 0.83mi |
| 1 Laurel Oaks Dr Winter Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $1,548 | $1.50 | 2d | 31 | 0.87mi |
| 542 Colonnades Cv Casselberry, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,775 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 375 Summer Cypress Cv Longwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $2,100 | $2.08 | 2d | 22 | 1.16mi |
| 1050 S Ronald Reagan Blvd Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $2,713 | $2.67 | 5d | 44 | 1.26mi |
| 881 W Warren Ave Longwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,380 | $2.22 | 2d | 26 | 1.31mi |
| 300 Sheoah Blvd Winter Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1183 | $1,752 | $1.48 | 2d | 9 | 1.32mi |
| 10 Sheoah Blvd #8 Winter Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,650 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 400 Morrill Ter Casselberry, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $210,000
-
2026-03-13status Active
-
2026-03-04status Pending
-
2026-02-16status Active
-
2026-02-11status Pending
-
2026-02-05$220,000 Active
-
2014-06-11soldstatus $85,000
-
2010-02-24soldstatus $50,000
-
2010-02-19soldstatus $50,000 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Short Sale - 3/1 GREAT LOCATION, so convenient to 434, 17/92, shopping, etc. Sold As-Is.
-
2009-05-22$56,000 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Short Sale - 3/1 GREAT LOCATION, so convenient to 434, 17/92, shopping, etc. Sold As-Is.
-
2007-06-13$169,900
-
2007-05-29historical
-
2007-04-02$167,900
-
2006-11-27historical
-
2006-09-05$169,900
-
2006-05-19soldstatus $121,000
-
2006-05-09soldstatus $121,000
-
2006-03-27$156,400
-
1995-04-04soldstatus $49,900
-
1990-09-01soldstatus $41,000
-
1985-12-01soldstatus $40,000
-
1981-11-01soldstatus $41,500
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $600 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,143/yr (+$95/mo · 190.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,731
- − Management
- −$1,731
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$1,348
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$324
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Longwood
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longwood, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 55,088
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,164
- Household income
- $86,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.13%
- Current HPI
- 335.7221
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+452.6% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-22 Listed $56,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-13 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Listed $167,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-05 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-09 Sold (MLS) $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-27 Listed $156,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 1990-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1985-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1981-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $600 · -80.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…