Griffin Plan · Youngsville, LA 70592

$302,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,916 sqft · SingleFamily · 533 Days on market

Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

None

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 532 days

🏗️ New construction. The $302,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $307,021.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $302k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (7.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (19.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $243k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Youngsville Middle School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #37 of 218 statewide, top 18%, 646 students, 49% FRL); O. Comeaux High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #86 of 265 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1059 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 155d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 533 days — a 12% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $243,198 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 533 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.51%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.80%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $307,021
• List price: $302,000
• Delta: -1.64%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
205 High Point Way	0.05mi	3/2.0	1,920 (+0%)	0mo	$323,309	$168	97
209 San Domingo Dr	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,944 (+2%)	2mo	$350,000	$180	88
201 Central Village Way	0.21mi	3/2.0	1,896 (-1%)	4mo	$319,500	$169	85
212 Santander Dr	0.22mi	3/2.0	1,945 (+2%)	4mo	$350,530	$180	84
223 Santander Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,966 (+3%)	2mo	$327,000	$166	82
208 Central Village Way	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,767 (-8%)	4mo	$309,999	$175	77
238 Santander Dr	0.26mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,972 (+3%)	4mo	$381,500	$193	71
104 Rio Dr	0.26mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,803 (-6%)	3mo	$314,200	$174	71
107 Rio Dr	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,639 (-14%)	3mo	$294,500	$180	68
120 Roxanne Dr	0.53mi	3/2.0	1,863 (-3%)	4mo	$230,000	$123	68
211 San Marcos Dr	0.34mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,065 (+8%)	3mo	$368,000	$178	64
109 Border Ct	0.73mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,864 (-3%)	2mo	$235,000	$126	55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.24×
• Total profit: $-65,742
• Equity at exit: $45,778

10-year hold

• IRR: -20.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.01×
• Total profit: $-86,558
• Equity at exit: $26,546

Cash invested: $85,966 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 51 active · 21 under contract
• Months of supply: 14.6 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $316,700 ($174/sqft)
• Median days on market: 249 d
• This list price: 31% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -7.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 70592

• Home prices YoY: -23.4%
• Rents YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 1059
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,432 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,610
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$384 /mo · $4,605/yr
• Insurance: −$128
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$511
• Net cashflow: $-200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,686

Max offer price $278,011

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $12	-5% $-94	+0% $-200	+5% $-307	+10% $-413
Rent	-10% $-393	-5% $-297	+0% $-200	+5% $-104	+10% $-8
Rate	-1.0pp $-46	-0.5pp $-122	base $-200	+0.5pp $-280	+1.0pp $-361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $76,755
• Closing costs: $9,211
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
200 High Point Way Youngsville, LA	3.0	2.0	1600	$2,300	$1.44	1d	1	0.02mi
305 San Sebastian Dr Youngsville, LA	4.0	3.0	2128	$2,800	$1.32	184d	1	0.30mi
117 San Sebastian Dr Youngsville, LA	4.0	3.0	2239	$3,500	$1.56	154d	1	0.33mi
213 Garden Oaks Ave Youngsville, LA	4.0	3.0	2334	$2,600	$1.11	184d	1	0.64mi
106 Royal Oak St Youngsville, LA	3.0	2.0	1616	$1,895	$1.17	184d	1	0.65mi
102 Border Ct Youngsville, LA	4.0	2.0	1786	$2,100	$1.18	154d	1	0.75mi
111 Abbeywood Ct Youngsville, LA	3.0	2.0	1616	$1,800	$1.11	162d	1	0.78mi
109 Abbeywood Ct Youngsville, LA	4.0	2.0	1704	$2,000	$1.17	10d	1	0.78mi
110 Canton Ct Youngsville, LA	3.0	2.0	1423	$1,995	$1.40	184d	1	1.40mi
106 Bejeweled AVE Youngsville, LA	4.0	3.0	2075	$2,500	$1.20	28d	1	1.45mi
106 Bejeweled AVE Youngsville, LA	4.0	3.0	2075	$2,500	$1.20	14d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-11-08
   days on market $302,000 Active 533 DOM
2. 2026-11-07
   days on market $302,000 Active 532 DOM
3. 2026-11-06
   days on market $302,000 Active 531 DOM
4. 2026-11-05
   days on market $302,000 Active 530 DOM
5. 2026-11-04
   days on market $302,000 Active 529 DOM
6. 2026-11-02
   days on market $302,000 Active 527 DOM
7. 2026-11-01
   days on market $302,000 Active 526 DOM
8. 2026-10-31
   days on market $302,000 Active 525 DOM
9. 2026-10-30
   days on market $302,000 Active 524 DOM
10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $302,000 Active 523 DOM
11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $302,000 Active 522 DOM
12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $302,000 Active 521 DOM
13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $302,000 Active 520 DOM
14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $302,000 Active 519 DOM
15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $302,000 Active 518 DOM
16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $302,000 Active 517 DOM
17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $302,000 Active 516 DOM
18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $302,000 Active 515 DOM
19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $302,000 Active 514 DOM
20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $302,000 Active 513 DOM
21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $302,000 Active 512 DOM
22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $302,000 Active 511 DOM
23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $302,000 Active 510 DOM
24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $302,000 Active 509 DOM
25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $302,000 Active 508 DOM
26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $302,000 Active 507 DOM
27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $302,000 Active 506 DOM
28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $302,000 Active 505 DOM
29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $302,000 Active 504 DOM
30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $302,000 Active 503 DOM
31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $302,000 Active 502 DOM
32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $302,000 Active 501 DOM
33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $302,000 Active 500 DOM
34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $302,000 Active 499 DOM
35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $302,000 Active 498 DOM
36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $302,000 Active 497 DOM
37. 2026-10-03
    days on market $302,000 Active 496 DOM
38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $302,000 Active 495 DOM
39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $302,000 Active 494 DOM
40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $302,000 Active 493 DOM
41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $302,000 Active 492 DOM
42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $302,000 Active 491 DOM
43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $302,000 Active 490 DOM
44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $302,000 Active 489 DOM
45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $302,000 Active 488 DOM
46. 2026-09-24
    days on market $302,000 Active 487 DOM
47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $302,000 Active 486 DOM
48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $302,000 Active 485 DOM
49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $302,000 Active 484 DOM
50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $302,000 Active 483 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,184
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,198
• − Property taxes: −$4,605
• − Insurance: −$1,535
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,335
• − Management: −$2,335
• − Depreciation: −$8,932
• Taxable loss: −$7,755
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,861
• After-tax cash flow: $-544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can further enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both New roof inspection — Ensures long-term durability and value ↑

D Composite school gradezoned avg 55/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Green T. Lindon Elementary School B+ LA #37/646 Nat'l #4,921/41,679 Middle Youngsville Middle School D+ LA #37/218 Nat'l #4,159/14,009 High Southside High School C- LA #30/265 Nat'l #4,948/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafayette Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200870
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -24.00%
• Median HH income: $50,238
• Composite: 36.15/100
• National rank: #4741
• State rank: #19 of 98 in LA

B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Youngsville

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #8
• US rank: #2614

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Youngsville, LA
• County: Lafayette Parish · 280,930 people
• City population: 32,167
• Metro: Lafayette, LA
• Population (ZIP): 32,167
• Household income: $93,204
• Rent vs Own: 12.9% rent · 87.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 6% of renters

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Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 280,930 people
• By 2030: 301,092 · +7.2%
• By 2040: 339,456 · +20.8%
• By 2050: 375,156 · +33.5%
• By 2075: 451,672 · +60.8%
• By 2100: 497,203 · +77.0%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -41.24%
• Current HPI: 135.2825
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.65%
• Metro: Lafayette, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-05-24 Listed $302,000 Zillow